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D tightened up in the second half. J Rich struggled last night and I see him getting back on track tonight against Kevin Martin who's one of the worst 2 guard defenders in basketball. Dwight's matchup is pretty laughable as well and he should dominate that. Houston can score points but I'm considering a play on the Magic spread.Originally Posted by sportfan
What do you think Paul?
Originally Posted by Goat Milk
This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts
wow
Got a few plays on mind, but I like MAgic and Blazers the most. Rockets perimeter defense was pretty laughable last year, don't think that's gonna be fixed all of the sudden. Just a bit worried about Houston's second unit dominating Orlando's but I do have a good feeling about this.
I kinda wanted to bet the Grizz since they dominated San An last year but don't wanna really go against the Spurs on their home opener with the everyone well rested.
I also think the Blazers win and cover tonight. With Camby starting Aldridge can play PF and his size will give him advantage against Brand
Goatie; nothings changed with you , i see
Going big on the bucks+magic parlay!
good luck man. wouldn't rec going big on anything for first couple days but gl
Play #5: Bucks -4 -110 Risk $55 for $50
Like it. Goat lookin forward to your activity man...
Like checking in always.
I am happy
Play #6: Mavs/Nuggets 2nd Half OVER 97 -110 Risk $55 to get $50
Play #7: Grizz/Spurs OVER 96 -110 2nd HALF Risk $55 to get $50
Play #8: Suns -5 -110 Second Half Risk $55 for $50
That's it for tonight. Knocking out. Be back tomorrow.
Couple of unlucky pushes there GM. Not much you can do about that. Two pushes that shouldve cashed easily, Not to worry shows your on form
Thanks Alamo.
Play #9: Lakers -2.5 (-110) 1st Half: Risk $55 to get $50
Play #10: Miami ML/Hawks ML: Risk $200 to win $175
Play #11: Kings +8 -110 Risk $110 to win $100
taking a few others involving the same teams. Be back later.
Goat, always appreciate your write ups, they're very insightful. Any thought gone into tracking your units +/-?
Like your play #10 , I played the same posted thing for $150 . posted earlier on my thread... Bol man!
Yeah end of the week. Glad someone gets something out of them.
GL whiskey
Play #12 Miami -3 -110 1st quarter Risk $55 to get $50
bummer, i was thinking about playing heat first quarter...now i cant
I like this the most.
And the Wussy parlay will cashed too.
GL GM
surprised you werent on the wolves...they could be an ATS underdog machine.
Play #13: Lakers/Jazz OVER 93 -110 2nd half (BetIslands) Risk $165 for $150
woow this guy teribble .just like the goat we know o m g.
goat you should be in church...not gambling
Play 14: 76ers ML -125 Risk $125 to win $100
Marking the thread to follow, GL
Play #15: Miami -10 -110 Risking $110 for $100
Play #16: Boston -1 -110 (1st Half) Risking $110 for $100
adding:
Play #17: 76ers -1 -110 Risk $110 to win $100
With the Suns roster a mess right now and confusions about certain rotation, I expect Doug Collins to have a solid strategy to attack the weak interior defense of the Suns. The Suns lost to a Hornets team that couldn't move the ball at all. It was essentially all isolation. Trusting the rookie in that situation to make a cross court pass to Nash for 3 at the end of the game is simply stupid. There are few guys in the NBA that can make that pass under pressure. Nash is going to have trouble today getting much more than 15 and 10 against a very strong and quick handed defender in Drew Holliday. Frye struggled shooting the ball but I expect him to get some open looks today. On the other hand, Elton Brand has a serious advantage down low in this game against anyone they want to throw at him. Jared Dudley is too big to be starting at the 2 and I don't like that lineup change from last year. Lopez and Gortat played well against the Hornets but they each will not duplicate those performances. Spencer Haws was 1 assist away from a triple double against the Blazers I believe. The challenge gets much easier for Philly today playing a team that likes to take a lot of jumpers versus a slashing team like Portland who gave Philly a lot of trouble with their penetration.
Dudley and Grant will both have important assignments in this matchup with Andre and Evan Turner. Don't forget about Meeks who is a knock down shooter. Nash will have trouble guarding Holliday on the offensive end. We are talking about a 6'5 pg here who weighs atleast 220. Philly has one of the best bench in the NBA by far with Thad Young, Turner, Lou Williams, and Speights. All four of these guys would start on 50% of NBA teams. Nevertheless, the PHX bench has gotten worse. They are used to guys like Dudley and Frye sparking their bench and now those guys have been forced into the starting lineup and the strength of their bench has completely deteriorated. Shannon Brown and Childress are both solid players but have undefined roles with this team.
The Suns could be one of the worst teams in the Western Conference this year. Their roster is absolutely terrible and I don't see them being able to hang with Philly tonight.
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Play 18: Miami -11.5 -110 2nd Half Risk $275 to win $250
Get on this play now.
U ever update your record
end of the week. Will be updated every sunday
Taking them to win the game at +146
Play 19: Amare Stoudemire OVER 23.5 Points +110 (BetIslands Prop) Risk $45 to get $50
The Knicks are going to utilize Amare to the max tonight. He is very familiar with Golden State and has shit on this team several times in the past. I think Amare drops close to 30 tonight with David Lee guarding him the majority of the time.
I'll have another play at the half probably.
Play 20: Nuggets +5.5 @ Portland Risk $440 to win $400
Last edited by Goat Milk; 12-29-11 at 12:03 AM. Reason: risk 440 total now
totally nailed mia to win and sixers. too bad grizz shit the bet... let okc hit too many 3s
goat why are the mavs only +6.5 tomorrow?
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lyon804 gave Goat Milk 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.