So I want to try to keep track of betting on the reverse line movement. I've been paying attention to that sort of thing, and it seems like the reverse line always comes through. I'll start keeping track today.
81% of the public is on the hawks who opened at 4.5, but are currently at 4 (slight rlm to the clips)
what if, right before tipoff the line goes to 5? that could easily be sharp money as well - i like incorporating rlm as one of many factors, but i dont think its straight forward enough to use by itself. i guess if you filter it in a way that works, you could find something. good luck.
I don't like to mess with them on only half a point moves... If it goes back up right before gametime I bail out. If it continues to go down or stays the same then I stay with my play.
Yes, with out any other Info. RLM is the Best Indicator of the, Steam and Sharp Money...
R.L.M. makes up for about 90% of my plays, and Long Term I make Profits. esp. with Totals.
bol,
"Now, (IMO) That's The Way To Capp da Games"
ooohhh yes must also get the game at the Original Number, even If you must buy pts...
like to move line 2 or 3pts off the oddmakers number, lastnite as posted SA moneyline.
wake M/L
Bos-7.5
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Tonight, dosn't look to great except for maybe Rhode Island
just look at the thread yisman posted. it has all the information u will ever need.
-has a link to an article about it's past performance
-has information for betting RLM on MLs and spreads
-has alternative ways to track where the money is going.
-has a tracked sample size of 100 plays (excl. nhl)
I have found the RLM principle pretty damn successful when you couple it with NCAAB home team dawgs. So when you have a home team dawg and the RLM principle in play, you have a favorable outcome more times than not. Home court advantage appears to be more of a factor in college than in pro.
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Reverse Line Movement Theory
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