1. 06-20-11 01:27 PM #1
    pellibr
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    Live Handicapping

    Hello guys,

    Anyone is good at live betting in basketball? Any specific strategy?
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  2. 06-20-11 02:16 PM #2
    pellibr
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    Halt time now, let's do some tests on Eurobasket Woman

    PREMATCH LINES
    CZECH - BELARUS
    +1.50 @ 1,86
    O122.50 @ 1,86

    HT LINES (39-26)
    -8.50 @ 1,83
    O128.50 @ 1,86

    Belarus is getting better on the match, I see value on +8.50
    MY BET: BELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4


    PREMATCH LINES
    GREECE-FRANCE
    +13.50 @ 1,86
    O120.50 @ 1,86

    HT LINES (19-31)
    +17.50 @ 1,83
    O107.50 @ 1,83

    Can't see value on +17.50, Greece, I'll give a try on the over MY BET: OVER 107.50 STAKE 4
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  3. 06-20-11 05:09 PM #3
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    BELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4
    OVER 107.50 STAKE 4
    Good Start Let's Keep the Study
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  4. 06-21-11 12:44 PM #4
    pellibr
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    Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56 Stake 7 - Sbobet
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  5. 06-21-11 12:53 PM #5
    pellibr
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    Chicago reaction on third, lines changed a lot. Still believe in AD

    Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 2.06 Stake 3 - Sbobet (completing 10stake)
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  6. 06-21-11 01:58 PM #6
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56/2.06 Stake 10 - Sbobet
    Really bad bet. Chicago made a good reaction on the third and fourth.
    The best bet available was on half time Chicago +10.50 at 2.00.

    Study Record

    2-1 (-3.12)
    Last edited by pellibr; 06-21-11 at 02:01 PM.
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  7. 06-21-11 07:23 PM #7
    pellibr
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    Was +10.50 stk 5
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  8. 06-21-11 09:07 PM #8
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Was +10.50 Stk 5
    Also got San Antonio +14.50 on a big stake bet but it was very fast I couldn`t post.
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  9. 06-21-11 09:24 PM #9
    hels
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    A technique I have used and found successful is looking for line movements that make little sense in the 1q. For example let's say pregame the O/U is 200 at EV. After the first 6 minutes (one would expect 25 points to be scored) but there have been 30 points scored and the line is at 200.5 - EV. Of course the average joe blow jumps on the over but more often than not the correct play is the Under.
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  10. 06-22-11 08:59 AM #10
    pellibr
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    Thanks Hels, I`m trying something like that, but the results are not so good as the handicap, at last on WNBA, let`s keep researching.

    Right now looking for a edge on Croatia - Montenegro around +18.50
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  11. 06-22-11 09:28 AM #11
    columnsicky
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    Good record, good luck for you pellibr.
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  12. 06-22-11 09:50 AM #12
    pellibr
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    Pick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86
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  13. 06-23-11 06:30 AM #13
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by columnsicky View Post
    Good record, good luck for you pellibr.
    Thanks man, I'm only studying the better way to make money, let's see if we find out a good strategy.
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  14. 06-23-11 06:33 AM #14
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Pick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86
    The game as balanced at the end of third, I was expecting at last a slight reaction of Croatia, but the game went to the other side, the other team scored 9 points straight, the line went up to +25.50, the best bet of the match. Let's keep the study...

    Record (3-2)

    Regards
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  15. 06-23-11 06:40 AM #15
    pellibr
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    Today Matches

    Belarus - Russia (Women)
    Spread: -6 Russia
    Total: 131.50

    Great Britain - Lithuania
    Spread: -14.50 Lithuania
    Total: 125.50

    Turkey - Czech
    Spread: -7 Czech
    Total: 130.50

    NY Liberty - TUL Shock
    Spread: -3.50 NY
    Total: 162

    CON Sun - CHI Sky
    Spread: -4.50 CHI
    Total: 152
    Last edited by pellibr; 06-23-11 at 06:43 AM.
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  16. 06-24-11 09:43 AM #16
    pellibr
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    Spain - Lativia
    At end of Third (46-36)
    Pick: Lativia +10.50
    Odds: 1.76
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  17. 06-24-11 10:15 AM #17
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Spain - Lativia
    At end of Third (46-36)
    Pick: Lativia +10.50
    Odds: 1.76
    Final Score 66-57
    Record 4-2
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  18. 06-24-11 02:34 PM #18
    pellibr
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    Montenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
    52 - 47
    France +3.50 @ 1.80
    Under 147.50 @ 1.76
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  19. 06-24-11 03:05 PM #19
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Montenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
    52 - 47
    France +3.50 @ 1.80
    Under 147.50 @ 1.76
    Final Score 73-68

    Record 5-3

    ------------------

    I`m getting good results guys, it seems to be a good technique. I also made other personal picks but didn`t had time to post here and they where all winners, the selection would be 8-3. But let`s keep studying, maybe it`s a good way to make money.
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  20. 06-24-11 07:18 PM #20
    pellibr
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    PHX - ATL
    Atlanta Under 95.5 @ 1.83
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  21. 06-25-11 07:31 AM #21
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    PHX - ATL
    Atlanta under 95.5 @ 1.83
    Final Score
    PHX 92 - 83 ATL

    Record: 6-3
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  22. 06-25-11 11:12 AM #22
    blinky88
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    Live betting seems a little too tempting......
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  23. 06-26-11 09:23 AM #23
    pellibr
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    Eurobasket Women
    Poland - France
    Beginning of Third
    Over 101.50
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  24. 06-26-11 10:06 AM #24
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Eurobasket Women
    Poland - France
    Beginning of Third
    Over 101.50
    Final Score 58-54 (112) Sweet!
    Record 7-3
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  25. 06-26-11 10:07 AM #25
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by blinky88 View Post
    Live betting seems a little too tempting......
    Anything is good when you make money!!
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  26. 06-29-11 07:44 AM #26
    pellibr
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    First 10 bets: 70% Hit Rate.

    I`ll try to keep this hit rate in the long term betting, with the average odds around 1.80 I can get a 26% Yield.

    From now on I`ll use flat stakes U$ 50,00 for every match, some times it can be splited in more than one bet. I`ll have at last 30 bets next month.

    The main bets are: Team Handicap, Game Total and Team Total.
    Other bets with higher odds: Money Line, Winning Margin.

    The Leagues: Any league of basketball.

    That`s it, let`s do it!!
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  27. 06-29-11 07:57 AM #27
    pellibr
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    Matches

    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Latvia - Russia
    Handicap: Latvia +5.5
    Totals: O/U 125.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 2.75/1.40

    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Czech - Croatia
    Handicap: Croatia +8.5
    Totals: O/U 133.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 1.20/4.25
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  28. 06-29-11 11:30 AM #28
    pellibr
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    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Latvia - Russia
    Handicap: Latvia +5.5
    Totals: O/U 125.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 2.75/1.40
    Pick Nš 11
    Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69

    Under 153.50@ 1.83*50
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  29. 06-29-11 01:36 PM #29
    pellibr
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    Pick Nš 11
    Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69

    Under 153.50@ 1.83*50
    Final Score: 72-83 ' 155
    New Record: 0 - 1
    Bankroll: U$ -50,00
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  30. 06-29-11 02:48 PM #30
    pellibr
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    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Czech - Croatia
    Handicap: Croatia +8.5
    Totals: O/U 133.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 1.20/4.25
    Pick Nš 12
    Match Details: Break` 4` 67-40` 107

    Croatia +26.50 @ 1.83*50

    Reaction of Croatia!!
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  31. 06-29-11 03:12 PM #31
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Pick Nš 12
    Match Details: Break` 4` 67-40` 107

    Croatia +26.50 @ 1.83*50
    Final Score: 79-63 ' 142
    New Record:1 - 1
    Bankroll: U$ -8,50
    Last edited by pellibr; 06-29-11 at 03:21 PM.
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  32. 06-30-11 09:13 AM #32
    pellibr
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    Matches

    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Croatia - Latvia
    Handicap: Croatia +5.50
    Totals: O/U 133.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 2.20/1.57

    League: Under 19
    Match: Russia - Brazil
    Handicap: Brazil +2.50

    League: Under 19
    Match: USA - Egypt
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  33. 06-30-11 09:26 AM #33
    pellibr
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    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Croatia - Latvia
    Handicap: Croatia +5.50
    Totals: O/U 133.50
    Team Totals: N/A
    ML Odds: 2.20/1.57

    Pick Nš 13
    Match Details: 10` 3` 37-34` 71

    Under 139.50 @ 1.86*50
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  34. 06-30-11 10:14 AM #34
    pellibr
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellibr View Post
    Pick Nš 13
    Match Details: 10` 3` 37-34` 71

    Under 139.50 @ 1.86*50
    Final Score: 84-75 ' 159
    New Record:1 - 2
    Bankroll: U$ -58,50

    Not a good start to my system. I was expecting less points in the end, based on the past results and the physical condition.
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  35. 06-30-11 11:40 AM #35
    pellibr
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    League: Women Eurobasket
    Match: Montenegro - Turkey
    Pick Nš 14

    Over 114.50 @ 1.86*50
    Last edited by pellibr; 06-30-11 at 01:34 PM.
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