[Sunde91]

-140

Minus points probably hits, but games have been too close, especially with refs making it that way it seems.

Pretty obvious refs were favoring Mavs last night (though Heat got a few big calls, Chalmers back court 3, Wade phantom foul to end half) and they probably will again. Feels like the first time this season you can actually tell "what the NBA wants" (NBA didn't want Lakers swept or both Conference Finals in 5 games but happened) and see the refs doing what's necessary on the court to help make it happen, and that's a 7 game series, 6 minimum.

It will also be a desperation game for Dallas, much like game 4 at home for OKC, game 5 at home for Bulls. Both had those games won and were pumped with adrenaline all game pouring it on, but the inexperience lost it for them. Dallas won't let it get away.

Dirk gets help? Seriously no one there. Barea about 5-20 in the series, Peja 2 points, Terry not good enough. These guys are simply missing. Chalmers showing up big and no one on Dallas bench is the difference in series. Marion has been pretty good and gets it going like games 1 and 2. Also Haywood should be back.

This opened at 2.5, up to 3 already despite 68% on Heat. http://pregame.com/EN/main/sports-be...-spy-insights/

This should close at probably 3.5. Look at playoff history of home team losing a game at home, then the spread jumping over a point for the next game in antipation of a big bounce back for home team. Take last year LAL/BOS. Game 3 at 2.5 (LA wins), game 4 closes at 4. (Bos wins). covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/pastresults/2009-2010/team403977.html Just like Game 3 here at 2 (MIA wins), Game 4 closes at 3.5 (Dallas wins).

After all the shit Dallas has been through and overcome, they will win this and get back in the series with the crowd behind them.

ML and points will climb.

[pattymayo]

Dallas will win next two, then lose in Miami then game 7 will be up for grabs. Has to be

[jetsjets1028]

dallas hopefully and should will win game 4 but still need win 2 out of 3

[redrum]

The heat is on fire should be 3-0

[ParlayJunkie]

The heat is on fire should be 3-0

Should of, would of, could of. I like Mavs to take control in game 4.

[hugh4310]

I like Mavs too

[cockblocker]

Need Caron Butler back!

[pittmatt80]

With all the missed free throws and easy shots that Dallas missed last night it's no reason they lost. They definitely should of won but of course they didn't. They need to win the next two at home to just have a chance to win this series. I'm taking them in Game 4 Good Luck to All.

[NY Playa]

LOVE DALLAS....to win game 4, 5 and yes, 7!!!!!

[Sawyer]

Game-4 Dallas
Game-5 Miami
Game-6 Miami

[bleek88]

My view is that this series should be 3-0. Miami had control of game 2 but stopped playing and the mavs took advantage no doubt they can score but its the Miamis D that's able to shutdown everyone but fork. I don't see Miami losing game 4 literally there on a mission

[riskyProps]

I have to ride the Heat until the train derails. Dallas is good but sometimes your best just isn't good enough.

[oopfish]

mia game 4

[NY Playa]

dallas 2-4-5-7 for the title

[canadiantruth]

Your thoughts mirror my own.

The line movement away from the public consensus is key.

My only point of contention is where the line will end up. It seems these playoffs, the early money pushes the line (and totals) one way, only to have the public bet it back to where it was. Expect it to close at -3, hopefully the juice moves to around -103.

Also expecting heavy late action on dallas. The moneyline movement will also be interesting, IMO.

Good luck
New to this board, I"ll be sure to check your threads.

[DarkMage]

Like DAL for game 4. They will want to come out fighting and yes the NBA would like to see this series go as long as possible.

Plus I bet the public will go heavy on the heat and you know the crowd is usually wrong

[bulichme]

If you are willing to take Dal ml, you should be more than willing to take MIA +6

[monkeyking]

dallas will probably be +money at some point in the game, i'd take it then

[twelvejewelz]

"It's a call to arms. One man's not going to win it," Terry said. "Obviously, the big-wig [Nowitzki] is going to need to get some help, and I'm going to tell you this -- that we will be there in Game 4."

[btd]

I agree with your reasoning in picking Mavs tonite. Thanx

[Vortexx00]

Best of luck tonight

[gipsyz]

Wagered -3 at Pinnacle.
GL

[Sunde91]

Not really one to bump, but fuk the heat, they choke again, and Mavs sixth 4th Q comeback by 7+ these playoffs

[No coincidences]

Nice call Sunde.