1. #1
    bureK
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    Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) 70.5 points tonight?!!

    Found this interesting prop.


    Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Over 70.5 points
    Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Under 70.5 points






    Over is -110
    Under is -125


    Where's value?

  2. #2
    korbal29
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    under is the nuts no way they will reach that

  3. #3
    LionsFTW
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    Going on the 2006 series, Wade avg about 35/game. With less shots this year, he won't avg 35, but he will be in the 25-27 point range. LeBron will be around the same, so it comes down to Bosh needing 18-20 pt, which won't happen. We've learned from the season that its a Big 2, with the third only supplementing, regardless of who is hot that day. There's about a 77% chance of the under with the moneyline laying about 55%. There is your value.

  4. #4
    bureK
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    Thanks I'm taking the under

  5. #5
    JOHON8
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    Quote Originally Posted by LionsFTW View Post
    Going on the 2006 series, Wade avg about 35/game. With less shots this year, he won't avg 35, but he will be in the 25-27 point range. LeBron will be around the same, so it comes down to Bosh needing 18-20 pt, which won't happen. We've learned from the season that its a Big 2, with the third only supplementing, regardless of who is hot that day. There's about a 77% chance of the under with the moneyline laying about 55%. There is your value.
    Good analysis, but Dallas will concentrate their defense on Wade/Lebron like every other playoff team this season leaving Bosh wide open. Even with this I still agree with the under.

  6. #6
    bureK
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    Chandler will him up


    He will sh1t his pants in the game 1 of the finals I mean his hands wont be that still I hope.


  7. #7
    sanchez
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    Quote Originally Posted by bureK View Post
    Found this interesting prop.


    Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Over 70.5 points
    Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Under 70.5 points






    Over is -110
    Under is -125


    Where's value?
    One could argue there isn't any value with -110 and -125

  8. #8
    bureK
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    With saying value I meant what is preferably to take.

    If as Lions says it's about 77% to go under then even -125 is big value.

  9. #9
    jizay
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    Quote Originally Posted by bureK View Post
    With saying value I meant what is preferably to take.

    If as Lions says it's about 77% to go under then even -125 is big value.
    But where did he pull that from? In the 5 games against the Bulls, big 3 went 63, 63, 73, 71, 69. Against Boston it was 67, 80, 44, 83, 81. I could easily see this series being higher scoring than those.
    Last edited by jizay; 05-31-11 at 02:00 PM.

  10. #10
    LionsFTW
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    Sorry gentlemen, it was an Accuscore statistic

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