Miami's defense has been stellar for almost the entire playoffs until Game 1 of this series. I expect the Heat to turn it up a notch on the defensive end of the floor tonight and really shut down the Bulls. I don't see Rose shooting as well from the perimeter as he did in Game 1 - he's proven to be streaky and I expect it to continue.
He may or may not get his going to the rim tonight but ultimately I think this game comes down to the Bulls' role players making shots - they made them Sunday night (including 10 3s) but a lot of those shots came because Miami wasn't closing out. The Heat have the athleticism to close out on shooters so I really just think it's a matter of them turning it up another level on D like we saw in the previous series.
Haven't made a play yet but thinking something along the lines of 2-3x each on the Heat and the Under.