1. #1
    5mike5
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    WATKINS GLEN--5mike5

    Alright guys and gals, were headed off for some road course racing this weekend at WATKINS GLEN!!...this is the 2nd and last road course of the Sprint Cup season...the nationwide series will also be racing at the glen on saturday afternoon..the truck series is off this week..personally, i think the Glen is 10x the race that sonoma is every year, just WAY more action and way faster as well....i always enjoy this race....

    ill be focused on going big again on a few single H2H plays and picking a few winners...also will be more picky than usual on my early wagers....ive already started watching past 4 races, and looking over my personal notebooks for all drivers and my Wakins Glen track notebook...

    Watkins Glen is a 2.45 mile road course with a total of 7 turns

    as always just want to invite all regulars here to post any useful thoughts/leans for the races this weekend...no way this thread is the HUGE moneymaker it is without everybody's participation each and every week...and i appreciate all our regular OPs help all season long....ill be going for my 14th straight winning CUP race this week....

    GOODLUCK to everybody and hope we all win big money...AGAIN!!!


  2. #2
    5mike5
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    SPRINT CUP SCHEDULE:

    PRACTICES: FRIDAY @ noon and 4pm (both airing on SPEED channel)

    QUALIFYING:SATURDAY @ 11:30AM and is on ESPN2

    RACE: SUNDAY @ 12PM ON ESPN

    **
    all times listed are et

  3. #3
    5mike5
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    NATIONWIDE SCHEDULE: (WATKINS GLEN)

    PRACTICES: FRIDAY @ 2pm airing on SPEED channel

    QUALIFYING: SATURDAY @ 9:30am (ESPN)

    RACE: SATURDAY @ 2pm AIRING ON ABC

    **all times listed are et

  4. #4
    5mike5
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    the TRUCK series is off this weekend, and will be back at Michigan on Aug 18th

  5. #5
    Optional
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    Woo Hoo... road racing weekend.

  6. #6
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Woo Hoo... road racing weekend.
    watkins glen>sonoma

    Last edited by 5mike5; 08-06-12 at 10:09 AM.

  7. #7
    MatI
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    Did I hear someone say Ambrose!?!?!


  8. #8
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post

    watkins glen>sonoma

    I used to think so as well. But I've come to quite like Sonoma too.

    Montreal beats em both.

  9. #9
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by MatI View Post
    Did I hear someone say Ambrose!?!?!

    Do you think he deserves auto favoritism here Matt?

    I think he has lost most of his natural advantage on road courses now. Still the best I'd say, but not that much ahead of everyone else after 5 or 6 years on ovals now.

  10. #10
    MatI
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Montreal beats em both.
    Definitely, I would love to see Cup guys race at Montreal. Such an awesome truck.

    I do prefer Watkins compared to Sonoma, WG is such a fast flowing track with a nice rhythm, but both are pretty cool. Sonoma very technical.

  11. #11
    5mike5
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    i totally agree Opti

    no way i would back ambrose at a crazy price below +500...he just doesnt deserve it imo..but worst fiish of 3rd place in 4 career races hard to argue i guess...these teams realy focus on road courses now

    but sonoma just way too slow for my liking, the glen is a much more action packed race with high speeds
    Last edited by 5mike5; 08-06-12 at 10:50 AM.

  12. #12
    MatI
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post

    Do you think he deserves auto favoritism here Matt?

    I think he has lost most of his natural advantage on road courses now. Still the best I'd say, but not that much ahead of everyone else after 5 or 6 years on ovals now.
    I do think he will be auto favourite, but probably nowhere near as much as he was at Sonoma. Especially since he screwed it up come race day.

    But he is a gun at WG. He has killed it at Watkins the last 2-3 years in both Nationwide & Cup. Off the top of my head worst result was like 2nd or 3rd?

  13. #13
    5mike5
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    1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen
    Points Awarded:

    MatI gave 5mike5 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  14. #14
    MatI
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen
    Thanks, I knew it was solid. He has also won the last 2 races in Nationwide I believe.

    I will be loading up on Marcos Top 5 finish.

  15. #15
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen
    pretty damn amazing actually

  16. #16
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by MatI View Post
    Thanks, I knew it was solid. He has also won the last 2 races in Nationwide I believe.

    I will be loading up on Marcos Top 5 finish.
    would have to bet 1,000 to win a few hundred probably

    -300 to -400 i would guess...i dont bet top 3 and 5s so maybe im way off as i dont know that market well

    top 3 maybe little bit more reasonable

  17. #17
    MatI
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    would have to bet 1,000 to win a few hundred probably

    -300 i would guess and maybe alot more juic

    top 3 maybe little bit more reasonable
    Last year it was -200. I remember because I went way too large on it and I was nervous all week!

    I am thinking it will be good parlay filler this time around.

  18. #18
    5mike5
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    marcos has won 3 nationwide races (think everytime he has entered actually)

    2008,2009,2010

    he did not enter last years race (kurt busch won)

  19. #19
    5mike5
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    so basically between 7 races in nationwide/CUP races, the worst finish Ambrose has ever had is 3rd place at the Glen



    thats flat out amazing

  20. #20
    5mike5
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    stewart and ambrose are definatley biggest threats to win the race

    too bad theres no way in hell u can bet both and make any money

    just have to pick 1 and go with it, sprinkled with 1-2 others to win at high prices

    smoke has won 4 of last 8 races at the glen
    Last edited by 5mike5; 08-06-12 at 11:30 AM.

  21. #21
    Reno Paul
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    No way I can play a low number on Ambrose this week.

    Think I'm more hyped up on the PGA Championship compared to this race.

  22. #22
    5mike5
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    cant agree on that, i wouldnt be more excited about golf if only a nationwide race was on, but thats just me

  23. #23
    5mike5
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    all depends on the prices for me on race winner

    ill be focused on going big on a few H2H singles

  24. #24
    Optional
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    Let's hope Tony is generous with the openers, I want to bet Marcos.

  25. #25
    shaunovery
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Let's hope Tony is generous with the openers, I want to bet Marcos.
    7-2 with me opti

  26. #26
    Optional
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    Well that's a little worse than what I thought it would be. Wanted Tony to give us 5-1

  27. #27
    5mike5
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    be interesting to see

  28. #28
    Optional
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    All time at The Glen





    Last 5 Races at The Glen


  29. #29
    Reno Paul
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    Looking at drivers who has to win to make the chase (i.e. Kyle, Gordon)

  30. #30
    5mike5
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    watched last 4 races today, not much slow time in them either

    and noticed were some BAD wrecks almost every race here....lots of race action at the Glen,thats why i like it so much better than sonoma...

  31. #31
    DDT
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    Do we think Gordon will be the favorite coming off his win?

  32. #32
    5mike5
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    no way...

    he will be 3rd or 4th favorite imo

    no way hes above smoke and ambrose

  33. #33
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    I used to think so as well. But I've come to quite like Sonoma too.

    Montreal beats em both.
    Road America >Montreal >sonma > the glen

  34. #34
    5mike5
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    gordon only has 1 finish inside top 10 since his last win here over 10 years ago, and that was a 9th place finish

    hes NOT that good here over the last decade

  35. #35
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    Road America >Montreal >sonma > the glen
    sonoma by far the worst imo...

    WAY too slow and absolutley NO action

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