Had both teams for under in the completion rates. With 40 seconds to go the sharks get the ball and completion rate just under 73.5%. I'm sweet ?! No .. Not sure what Luke was penalised for and the penalty gives the sharks a completion and game ends on 73.8% .... Seriously ????
No .. I could only loose if they completed a set or received a penalty ... They were never going to complete the set. Not even sure what the penalty was for
Davopnz .. I wish I could be as well informed as you are.
You know me well enough to know I'm a degen ..
You know that the sharks average 68.4% completion rate this year.
You know that they played Souths earlier this and completed 57.5%
You also know that they went over 73.5 % only twice from 10 games
And you obviously know it was pouring at Cronulla tonight.
If it wasn't for the bizarre penalty at the end plus a huge penalty count of 11, I would have hit.
If I'm a degen I would love to know how much you research your bets
This was not a degen bet this was a sharp bet given season stats and the weather. Brutal beat but these are the little gems the books pay little attention to and are some of the most inefficient markets.
What other angles like these you been using this season s22?
Anyway I cashed Souths. I have been following completion rates for two weeks and would have done well had I bet it but thought I'd be disciplined since I never paid much attention to it before.
When the rain was pouring and no adjustments to the numbers, I had to jump on Cronulla, then I thought to be safe I would put on Souths under 75.5 as well as a safety bet cause I thought no way both sides complete well on a night like that.
Where have you been benrama ?been checking ur thread every weekend but you have gone missing
Sorry mate no time for keeping the thread going, plus I swear I am jinxed with publicly posted plays, been on a tear since I stopped officially putting plays on SBR.
Good luck mate, would love to hear your thoughts when u have time. I like Dragons +7.5
Another bet I like is Nightengale over 105.5 meters, every time he played wing this year he got 100+, avg a little down cause he played centre and fullback a couple of times. Also kickers will be avoiding Dugan so he will benefit from that. I am pretty sure he is up against that new winger from the Dogs so they should go to him more than Vidot
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
Bad beat sharks
Reply With Quote