Here's my 2013 AFL thread, you're welcome to critique and give advice, we're all here to make money!
I have wondered why the Crows line is so generous, then I realise I'm right here and can see that it's a little wet, and Crows with some injury concerns... of-course. But I still like the Crows. The weather isn't too bad for football, it's only a little wet though enough to be slippery, also very cloudy. There's possible showers, I don't think it's going to rain, typical Adelaide, though conditions will still affect scoring IMO.
Being round 1, I wouldn't be too surprised at anything, just had a look on Bet365, they have a pic up of an Adelaide Crow, which is a bit worrying since I have gone for Crows. I hope Crows can pick up where they left off, if so, even in the slight wet, they should be too good and a class above Essendon.
I like Port ML, good value above $2.00, either Hinkley makes the same mistakes as Primus did (Port loss) or he doesn't (Port win). Port were #1 or #2 at contested clearances last year, they just had no one to kick to afterwards... fix that and Port will be much better this season. I think they will.
Crows -13.5
Port ML.