1. #1
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Melbourne Cup

    Quick discussion or what your on for the big race tomorrow.

    I'm looking at making a decent play on Green Moon to place.

  2. #2
    Gee
    Gee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-08-10
    Posts: 4,547
    Betpoints: 2327

    I'm not sure what I'll be on, but it won't be green moon.

    Burnt me in the cox plate and pulled up sore. Wasn't impressed at all.... big question marks over the distance, but from a good stable, so probably wouldn't be in this race if couldn't stay.

    I quite like Dunaden... its rare I like the favourite in this race.

  3. #3
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Yeah I know he has been running poorly but I think he'll make a solid impact.

    Dunaden is looking nice but at 59kg i dont know if he can pull it out...

    Red Cadeaux/Mount Athos both not been running in Aus, I reckon one of them will have a solid run.

  4. #4
    Coopertrooper
    Coopertrooper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-12
    Posts: 925

    Originally liked Green Moon for the Cup and had it in some doubles early on, but after that Cox Plate run (wasn't expecting it to win or even place, but expected more than that) you couldn't think that it could back up for the Cup and roll them.

    Not sure about the big weight for Americain/Dunaden, and I don't really like anything in particular, but I think the winner will come out of Mount Athos/Maluckyday/Mourayan/lights of Heaven/Kelinni

    Really tough race this year.

  5. #5
    Gee
    Gee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-08-10
    Posts: 4,547
    Betpoints: 2327

    Watch out for Americain/Maluckyday if its a dry track. Both need some softness underfoot.

    Red Cadeaux can't win IMO.

    Mt Athos and Dunaden are my two top picks for tomorrow.

    Weight is less of a factor tomorrow and is being played up a LOT. Bottom weight has been steadily increasing the last few years (and is now 50kg, compared to 47kg). That fact is something everyone is overlooking...

  6. #6
    Crowing Capers
    Crowing Capers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-12
    Posts: 295

    Olly will get Americain home...

    Lights Of Heaven the value with Maluckyday to be right amongst the finish

  7. #7
    alias69
    betting is a disease. who cares.
    alias69's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-09
    Posts: 1,017

    i like My quest for peace, Dunadean n mt Athos.

  8. #8
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,270
    Betpoints: 79

    Taking a shot on my quest for peace

  9. #9
    That Guy
    That Guy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-12
    Posts: 973
    Betpoints: 361

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdealau View Post
    Quick discussion or what your on for the big race tomorrow.

    I'm looking at making a decent play on Green Moon to place.
    Damn.. forgot to make a wager on this.
    Hope you went big make!

  10. #10
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Quote Originally Posted by That Guy View Post
    Damn.. forgot to make a wager on this.
    Hope you went big make!
    penetrating CASH IT

    had the ML too

    SICK DAY

  11. #11
    garygroundwork
    garygroundwork's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-12
    Posts: 715
    Betpoints: 12445

    good call mate...what did u get him for

    i had green moon in the cox plate and got done

    like ur work congrats

  12. #12
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Quote Originally Posted by garygroundwork View Post
    good call mate...what did u get him for

    i had green moon in the cox plate and got done

    like ur work congrats
    cheers pal

    got the win at 22.40 and the place at 7.60

  13. #13
    Crowing Capers
    Crowing Capers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-12
    Posts: 295

    yep, great tip RealDeal. great work winning on the donkeys today.

    books pulverised us punters. First 4 pays 1.4 million.......

  14. #14
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Quote Originally Posted by Crowing Capers View Post
    yep, great tip RealDeal. great work winning on the donkeys today.

    books pulverised us punters. First 4 pays 1.4 million.......
    Thanks pal. Makes me wonder if the public can be faded some way in the Melbourne cup.

    Did you hear about the lady first time bettor put 8c on the first 4 on sportsbet.com.au and won 77k? Unreal.

    I gave all my Melb Cup winnings (approx $790) to World Vision, sponsored a child for a year and donated the rest. Feels really good.

  15. #15
    Gee
    Gee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-08-10
    Posts: 4,547
    Betpoints: 2327

    Great bet buddy. well done.

    Got buried yesterday... but didn't bet big - never bet big on the cup. We had a boxed trifecta that missed because of Jackalberry... ffs. One horse I never thought was a chance at even placing...

  16. #16
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Quote Originally Posted by Gee View Post
    Great bet buddy. well done.

    Got buried yesterday... but didn't bet big - never bet big on the cup. We had a boxed trifecta that missed because of Jackalberry... ffs. One horse I never thought was a chance at even placing...
    Yeah the cup in my eyes is definitely a social gamble, the beautiful thing was just the odds on Green Moon made the pay outs huge. Thats unlucky about the boxed tri. I didn't expect any of the other horses to place, was really an insane race. Bookies all booked first class tickets to Hawaii after that race.

  17. #17
    Coopertrooper
    Coopertrooper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-12
    Posts: 925

    Very nice realdeal!

    I can't believe Green Moon could put in such a howler and then produce a week later. Wish I had've stuck with it, but was happy to just let the race go this year.

Top