Better late than never to start a thread for 2011, been doing pretty well this season in NRL and AFL most weekends. Usually mix it up with a few plays in tennis and US sports too as appropriate.
If the Storm and Crusaders hadn't lost the weekend before last it would have been an epic season already. Getting burned on two 6:1 dogs in one weekend always hurts when you have them in a number of multis.
Moving on ...
Monday 23 May
Parramatta/Raonic/Bellucci @ $2.18
Late steam on Parramatta and they are now at +7.5. Gallen being out for the Sharks in an already depleted front-line is one factor but more importantly Hayne will be fired up after missing out on Origin and I expect him to make this a statement game.
Without these factors I would have liked the Sharks, even at +6.5 as they've been playing some good footy, and keeping games close against quality sides (despite losing). Eels have also had a shocking season and can't be trusted to hold a lead.
That's why I'm going with a parlay of Parramatta and Raonic/Bellucci in the French Open.
Raonic is playing Berrer who is rubbish on Clay, with a 9-17 record since 2008. Clay is not Raonics speciality but he'll still get plenty of free points on his serve, and has been challenging solid Clay players of late. He has a 9-5 record this year on Clay and always fights hard, so I like him in my parlay.
Bellucci has been in stellar clay form, and in Madrid beat Murray, Berdych and Mayer - all quality clay court players. He comes up against Golubev who's lost his last 6 on clay, and exited in the French Open in the 1st round last year. Golubev can be challenging when playing his A game but I expect a hard fought win for Bellucci - it may take more than 3 sets but I don't expect much chance of an upset.
Lean to the U38.5 also in the NRL game as despite some of the high scoring affairs the Eels/Sharks have been in, the Monday night trend is the under - only 2 games this season have gone over 38.5.
BOL all.