Closing Day
Del Mar
Race 1
Card starts off with a very weak for the condition Cal Bred MSW turf route.It's like every other Cal bred turf horse broke their maiden and you are left with an 0 for 10 favorite and an 0 for 17 second choice.Followed by a couple other horses 3rd and 4th on the ml who have lost several times.Trainers seem to have took notice and have entered their maiden claiming horses here.I guess the favorites can win but hard to be confident with them.I'm in between the only one with upside having only raced once and tries turf and routing for the first time in 7-Flowinwiththebreez 6-1 and the horse who has some of the fastest back numbers 8-LL Cool Jo 10-1.Will give minor edge to the 8 because she has proven turf form.Steps up from a maiden claimer but that was on synthetic in 2 sprints.Now goes 3rd off long layoff and trainer brings back rather quickly which says horse is doing well.
8-LL Cool Jo 10-1
7-Flowinwiththebreez 6-1
3-Three Blondes 5-2
Race 2
Very tricky race for such a short field.The 7-5 fave 6-Seeking The Sherif drops out of a 3rd place Grade 1 run but will be dueling through the whole 6f with 3 of the other 5 horses entered 2-Ain't No Other 6-1 , 3-Heir Of Storm 10-1 and 5-Ankeny Hill 5-1.Think the exacta is in there as the others will likely have too much to do.It comes down to which , if any concedes the lead.If no one does the the fave could be hung widest.Will go with the 2 as key due to the fact he is the only one of the 4 speeds that can still run on if he has to sit just behind pace.
2-Ain't No Other 6-1
5-Ankeny Hill 5-1
6-Seeking The Sherif 7-5
3-Heir Of Storm 10-1
Race 3
Ron Ellis who has fave race 2 has another strong chance here with 6-Tiznow Or Then 4-1.Drops a notch in class out of a 25k claimer that 2 horses have already came back and won out of.Throws blinkers on to a horse who already has ample early speed so should make the lead and get a 1w1w trip.
6-Tiznow Or Then 4-1
Race 4
1-Reneesgotzip 5-2 lays over this field with her best race which makes 5-2 more than enough.8-Kinz Funky Monkey 8-1 will be chasing her around the track and 7-Belle de Lune 8-1 will try and run them down.Take notice of the track and if speed isn't holding the 7 could be a nice play.The main track on Sunday/Monday and a lot of the meet has been a super speedway so will be a surprise if so.
1-Reneesgotzip 5-2
8-Kinz Funky Monkey 8-1
7-Belle de Lune 8-1
Race 5
3-World Famous Sam T 7-2 goes from a 16kn2l to an open 8k claimer so not as big of a drop as appears.Will 11-Zip Cat 9-2 come back from 300 day layoff ready to fire best? If he does it will be tough for the others.12-Sunrise Legacy 6-1 gets a big barn switch and looks to tuck in right behind the speed with a good break.No good opinion here.Won't be surprised if anyone wins but hard to make a case.
12-Sunrise Legacy 6-1
3-World Famous Sam T 7-2
11-Zip Cat 9-2
Race 6
We have a beatable favorite and a few nice angles on long shots.However the 2nd choice 9-Sky Preacher 3-1 is solid off debut run.C Autrey is a wizard with 2 year olds but have to pick between the fave and 2nd choice .1-Daddy D T 8-1 comes out of what might have been the fastest baby race in the country so far this year.That was a synthetic sprint though and now stretches out on the turf.Something Sadler is just OK at.The big price is 5-Increase 20-1 who does the same synth sprint to turf stretchout but is bred nicely for it and it is one of A C Avila's best moves.I'm going to guess 7-Conquest Bespoke 8-1 can run with Casse debuting him here in a stake race.Casse has had a very good first full meet at Del Mar.His horses just started wining but started off with a ridiculous amount of 2nd place finishes.The horse who just misses the cut is 10-Highway Boss 12-1 who drops out of G2 Best Pal.Sired by Street Boss who gets big jump ups first turf and M Pearson is very good with babies.A lot going on this race which probably results in some big payouts.
5-Increase 20-1
9-Sky Preacher 3-1
7-Conquest Bespoke 8-1
1-Daddy D T 8-1
10-Highway Boss 12-1
Race 7
Impossible MSW field of mostly first time starters.Usually can just differ to the Baffert 6-Fame And Power 9-2 but he hasn't been his dominant self with firsters this meet.May just be waiting to get them on dirt at SA.Taking a weird guess and judging by the name I'll assume they think this one is a runner.He has had several babies with nothing but fast workouts not run like they usually do so hard to say.If he does get bet hard then he is probably live.I have been trying Kantharos babies every chance I get.He was the best 2 year old in his day and will say he throws fast 2 year olds right out of the gate until proven otherwise.9-Smuggler Union 6-1 is sired by him but goes for a trainer that sucks getting them ready first out.The breeding may supercede any trainer dificiencies .If the 1-All Indians 5-1 breaks well his chance improve greatly.Rider switch is nothing as Desormeaux is Hess's go to rider.The Dorf is one of best with 1sters but in this field as the fave I have to try and beat him.The price is 3-Winclude 12-1 first out for Bonde.
9-Smuggler Union 6-1
1-All Indians 5-1
6-Fame And Power 9-2
3-Winclude 12-1
Race 8
The Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity stacks up to be a great race so hopefully it isn't marred by a super speed favoring track.One of three horses on my new watch list is 2-Oh Newman 8-1 .He made a spectacular late run on a speed friendlyish track at 5 1/2f. This 7f distance should fit him perfectly.Just not sure the track bias will.1-American Pharoah 6-1 , 4-Calculator 8-1 , and 5-Iron Fist 5-1 come out of that very good MSW heat that Daddy D T does R6.Baffert owns this race winning it 11 times I think.That is pretty crazy so have to use both the 1 and 8-Holiday Camp 9-2.
8-Holiday Camp 9-2
1-American Pharoah 6-1
2-Oh Newman 8-1
5-Iron Fist 5-1
Race 9
Don't know how you can take 3-1 on the Hollendorfer/Bejarano favorite.Is not fast on figs and failed as shortish price last race despite good trip.Another Baffert 1ster but this one bred by Bob and owned by Jill Baffert.Got a 3f bullet blowout a few days ago probably to try and excape the rail draw.If the rail is enough of a deterrent the 5-Diamond Debbie 6-1 is the horse I want.Sire Decarchy is pretty good with juvies 1st out on synth.7-Stormy Adieu 7-2 is the one with a race and that race would probably win this but it was at Arlington.Who knows if that will translat to Del Mar as many that made that switch haven't fared well.If skeptical 10-Watdifrenzdzitmake 15-1 is the price to throw in as Papa Clem babies have ruled on synthetic and 1st out on synthetic.
5-Diamond Debbie 6-1
1-Flat Footed Mama 4-1
10-Watdifrenzdzitmake 15-1
7-Stormy Adieu 7-2
Race 10
Final race of the meet has another Dorf/Bejarano entry I'll try and beat making first turf start.2-Disregarded 5-1 is in a position to control this race from start to finish with a clean break.Race 3 back wins this by lengths and even last race would be competitive.8-Kukaluka 8-1 has runs fast enough to win recently and that was with a inferior jock.Gets a upgrade to Van Dyke even if he has cooled off lately.Want to use one of the Calaghan 12-1 horses but can't decide which one so will go with 9-Gender Agenda 5-1 first US start and 1st lasix for good turf trainer C Gaines.May use a bunch of horses and try something new like super or super hi 5.
2-Disregarded 5-1
8-Kukaluka 8-1
9-Gender Agenda 5-1
1-Taste Like Candy 7-2
5-Love In The Desert 12-1
6-Pillow 12-1