I really like Tampa as a home underdog tonight. They've been playing as good of hockey as anyone in the NHL and this can be a statement game to prove to themselves that they are legit. Pittsburgh is on the last leg of a three-game road trip and Tampa has been home for a few days. It looks like Smith is going to be in goal tonight for the Lightning, who I actually like better than Ellis. I expect Tampa to be the favorite before the line closes tonight. They are currently sitting around Even at most books are +105 at Matchbook.