Just going to keep track of how the dogs do:
YTD: 57-80 -5.38 units
Day 1: 1-3 -1.60 units
Day 2: 3-5 -1.30 units
Day 3: 5-1 +5.34 units
Day 4: 7-7 +1.73 units
Day 5: 0-1 -1.00 unit
Day 6: 1-2 -1.00 unit
Day 7: 1-0 +1.15 units
Day 8: 3-9 -5.05 units
Day 9: 2-3 +0.40 units
Day 10: 4-2 +4.05 units
Day 11: 6-7 +0.55 units
Day 12: 1-1 +0.20 units
Day 13: 1-2 -1.00 unit
Day 14: 2-2 +0.55 units
Day 15: 2-2 +0.55 units
Day 16: 4-5 -0.50 units
Day 17: 3-1 +3.70 units
Day 18: 3-10 -6.15 units
Day 19: 1-1 +.05 unit
Day 20: 1-2 -0.80 units
Day 21: 2-4 -1.30 units
Day 22: 0-5 -5.00 units
Day 23: 4-5 +1.05 units
Last edited by moses millsap; 10-25-07 at 11:56 PM.
Road Dog Wins: +140, +135
Home Dog Wins: +125, +105
Better %age for Home Dogs.
Looking at todays schedule, Wash and SJ fits into this criteria for Road Dogs. I'd tend to lean to SJ for this cause Wash played terrible against Atl last year and the Sharks played well in back to back games last year.
FYI, last year NHL underdogs returned 44.81 units (using Pinnacle overnight lines). Their overall record was 445-650 (.406), and to break it down further, home dogs returned -.63 units while road dogs returned 45.44 units. Their respective records were 136-181 (.429, home) and 309-469 (.397, road). You'll notice that the total number of games is only 1095, while the NHL season has 1230 games. The discrepancy arises because I don't start calculations until three weeks into the season, when teams have begun to reveal themselves to some extent. I'm sure I could go back and add in the first three weeks of the season, but I doubt the result would change dramatically.
And don't worry if you miss a few days OWNED. I track this every day for all major professional and college sports. Just ask if you need some data posted.
Unfortunately, I began this project only last year. If I had access to the lines from 05-06 I could process the data in a matter of seconds, but finding reliable line archives is next to impossible. I'd say that last year's results are strong enough to make one think twice before betting a home favorite, but I certainly wouldn't trust them enough to blindly bet road dogs (at least not yet).
OWNED, the link helps, but since I can't just import all the lines at once it will take some extra time. Might be a few days, but I'll get around to it.....
Look at NFL, horrible last 3 weeks (3-11, 4-9 L2 weeks all with mostly smaller dogs winning). Today 1-6 so far if Texans hold on with Buffalo +135 being the only one.
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'cause i would use them. keep up the good work
