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Mrmarket's coinflip at best bet tracking extravaganza!
Don't come here looking for money because there is none to be made. I'm still learning sports betting and getting a feel for what it takes to cap NHL hockey successfully. I'll be using my spreadsheet but I want to also track my picks here so people can offer help, criticize, make fart jokes whatever.
And to start this thread off with a bang I'm going to begin by betting the favorite of square betters everywhere: The parlay!
March 21, 2010
ATL Thrashers +175
Over -120
1u risked
March 21, 2010
ATL covers ML but fails to cover over
-1u
March 22, 2010
LA Kings -150 ML
1u risked
YTD 0-1-0
The Kings have scored 3 goals in their last 3 games, all at home. They actually won one of those games, shutting out the I's 1-0.
March 22 Results
Kings win in OT + 0.67u
YTD Results
1-1-0 -0.23 u
March 23, 2010
Pick tonight is PHX. They are 3-0 against Chicago this season and 4-4-2 in their last 10 games while PHX is 9-1-0 in their last 10. Brian Campbell, Kim Johnsson and Brent Seabrook are still out with injuries for the Hawks. Christian Huet is scheduled to be in net tonight but it is his first game after returning from flu and he his facing a good team in PHX so I do not expect him to be playing 100% even with the Rivalry between the teams taken into account.
Now I am not confident in PHX to win tonight but with a ML of +145 I think the line is wrong. I think it should be in the +110/+120 Range. At +145 it is too good to pass up and I think that that the bet is +EV.
ML PHX +145
EDIT:
Lined moved even more so i was happy to pick this up at +160. Same reasoning applies.
Last edited by mrmarket; 03-23-10 at 02:07 PM. Reason: Lined moved so i canceled bet and made it at more favorable odds
March 23, 2010 PHX Loses 2-0 to CHI. -1u
March 24,2010
NYI@NYR: NYI ML +125 1u
YTD Results
(1-2-0) -1.23u
pretty tough to do "worse" than a coin flip
I am managing quite nicelyOriginally Posted by PRC
.
March 24, 2010
NYR Win 5-0 against NYI: -1u
March 25, 2010
Dal @ SJS
SJS -230 ML 1u
YTD Results
(1-3-0) -2.23u
March 25, 2010
Dal @ SJS
SJS -230 ML 1u
SJS wins 3-0 against Dallas + 0.43u
March 26, 2010
MIN@DET o5.5 -115 2u
YTD Results
(2-3-0) -1.80u
Last edited by mrmarket; 03-26-10 at 01:50 PM.
March 26, 2010
MIN@DET o5.5 -115 2u
Result: Det wins 6-2 = 8 +1.74u
March 27, 2010
NYI@COL o5.5 +105 1u
YTD Results
(3-3-0) -0.06u
March 27, 2010
NYI@Col o5.5 +105 1u
NYI win 4-3 again Columbus TOTAL 7 +1.05u
March 28, 2010
EDM@SLJ o5.5 -120 1u
YTD Results
(4-3-0) +0.99u
Last edited by mrmarket; 03-28-10 at 10:45 AM. Reason: Changed my pick
March 28, 2010
St-Louis Wins 2-1 against Edmonton and over fails to cover -1u
March 29,2010
Carolina Hurricanes @ Atlanta Thrashers
-125 u6 1u
YTD Results
(4-4-0) -0.01u
Last edited by mrmarket; 03-29-10 at 03:18 PM. Reason: Canceled MIN with top scorer Koivu out
March 29,2010
Carolina Hurricanes @ Atlanta Thrashers
-125 u6 1u
Result: Car 4 ATL 1 = 5 and u6 covers +1u
March 30,2010
Chi @ STL
CHI ML -130 1u
YTD Results
(5-4-0) +0.79u
March 30,2010
Chi @ STL
CHI ML -130 1u
Result: STL 4 CHI 2 -1u
March 31, 2010
CHI @ MIN
total o5.5 -125 1u
YTD Results
(5-5-0) -0.21u
March 31, 2010
CHI @ MIN
total o5.5 -125 1u
Result: CHI 4 MIN 0 -1u
April 01,2010
Day of the dog, i feel like gambling tonight
ATL@WAS: ATL ML +220
COL@DET: COL +245
FLR@Bos : FLR +190
YTD Results
(5-6-0) -1.21u
April 01,2010
ATL@WAS: ATL ML +220 RESULT: -1u
COL@DET: COL +245 RESULT: -1u
FLR@Bos : FLR +190: RESULT +1.9u
April 02,2010
CHI@NJ: CHI ML +105 1u
MTL@PHI: MTL ML +125 1u
YTD Results
(6-8-0) -1.31u
April 02,2010
CHI@NJ: CHI ML +105 1u Result CHI 2 NJ 1 +1.05 u
MTL@PHI: MTL ML +125 1u Result MTL 1 PHI 0 +1.25u
April 03, 2010
Nashville@Det: Nash ML +170 1u
YTD Results
(8-8-0) +0.99u
April 03, 2010
Nashville@Det: Nash ML +170 1u Result Nashville 4 Det 3 +1.70u
April 04, 2010
CGY@CHI o5.5 +120 1u
YTD Results
(9-8-0) +2.69u
what's with the title? do you use a coin to make ur picks? or was that just a name to show results are mostly random anyway?
No I don't use a coin to make my picks. Yes it was a play on the fact that for most sports bettors their bet is a coinflip -vig. I chose the title because it was better than Mrmarket's picking teams with little success because he sucks at handicapping.
Hahaha. Nice work market.
April 04, 2010
CGY@CHI o5.5 +120 1u Result: CHI 4 CGY 1 -1u
April 05, 2010
CBJ@STL: o5.5 +120 1u
YTD Results
(9-9-0) +1.69u
did you try tailing someone? if you didn't you are not good at handicapping. maybe you can try tailing someone?
GL on your picks!!
I know I suck. I don't mind tailing someone but I'm more interested in why they make their picks and not many cappers reveal this information. If you know a capper that makes money and shares his knowledge suggest it please. I'm not going to tail someone who just shares his picks without saying why even if they are winners because I won't get anything out of it.did you try tailing someone? if you didn't you are not good at handicapping. maybe you can try tailing someone?
GL on your picks!!
April 05, 2010
CBJ@STL: o5.5 +120 1 Result (Stl 2 CBJ 1 Total 3) -1u
April 06, 2010
NYR@BUF: NYR ML +105 1u
YTD Results
(9-10-0) +0.69u
April 06, 2010
NYR@BUF: NYR ML +105 1u Result: BUF 4 NYR 2 -1u
April 07, 2010
STL@CHI:STL ML +170 1u
YTD Results
(9-11-0) -0.31u
April 07, 2010
STL@CHI:STL ML +170 1u Result CHI 5 STL 4 -1u
April 08, 2010
Buf@BOS: Buf +155 ML 2u
YTD Results
(9-13-0) -1.31u
April 08, 2010
Buf@BOS: Buf +155 ML 2u Result: Buf 1 Bos 3 -2u
April 09, 2010
PHI@NYR: o5.5 +110 4u
YTD Results
(9-14-0) -3.31u
I think the most obvious thing I've learned is that I don't know what the hell I'm doing.
April 09, 2010
PHI@NYR: o5.5 +110 4u Result: NYR4 PHI 3+4.4u
April 10, 2010
BUF@OTT: o5.5 +120 1u
YTD Results
(10-14-0) +1.09u
April 10, 2010
BUF@OTT: o5.5 +120 1u Result: Buf 5 OTT 2 +1.2u
April 11, 2010
NYR@PHI: o5.5 +115 1u
YTD Results
(11-14-0) +2.29u
Last edited by mrmarket; 04-11-10 at 11:32 AM.
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