1. 11-22-17 11:46 AM #1
    Notorious_Donk
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    NHL Trend -- 10-1 This Month

    3 picks for today based on a trend I discovered. Teams at home after a road loss and 2 days of rest are 65% since 2016, 64% in 2017, and 10-1 this month. I will be making small wagers on these plays, nothing extravagant, so tail at your own risk. BOL

    Panthers +100
    Islanders -150
    Kings -135
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  2. 11-22-17 12:55 PM #2
    PeterJohnson
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    Just curious whats the avg line for that cant see it being less then -130 ish. Gl tonight
    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    3 picks for today based on a trend I discovered. Teams at home after a road loss and 2 days of rest are 65% since 2016, 64% in 2017, and 10-1 this month. I will be making small wagers on these plays, nothing extravagant, so tail at your own risk. BOL

    Panthers +100
    Islanders -150
    Kings -135
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  3. 11-22-17 01:39 PM #3
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by PeterJohnson View Post
    Just curious whats the avg line for that cant see it being less then -130 ish. Gl tonight
    Since 2016 average line is -138.6 with almost 15% ROI.
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  4. 11-22-17 02:00 PM #4
    PeterJohnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    Since 2016 average line is -138.6 with almost 15% ROI.
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  5. 11-23-17 09:20 AM #5
    Notorious_Donk
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    2-1 Last night!
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  6. 11-23-17 10:13 AM #6
    Mike Huntertz
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    Interesting angle.
    GL
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  7. 11-24-17 12:54 PM #7
    Notorious_Donk
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    Canadiens are a trend play tomorrow. Waiting to see the line
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  8. 11-25-17 03:45 PM #8
    Notorious_Donk
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    Canadiens -195

    BOL on your wagers
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  9. 11-25-17 10:52 PM #9
    Notorious_Donk
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    Winner
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  10. 11-27-17 10:25 AM #10
    Notorious_Donk
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    In the month of November, this trend is 13-2 with 47.6% ROI

    Sabres are a play tomorrow night!
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  11. 11-27-17 02:56 PM #11
    doubledime
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    Interesting indeed

    Good luck Donk
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  12. 11-27-17 03:21 PM #12
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Interesting indeed

    Good luck Donk
    Thanks DD. To you as well
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  13. 11-27-17 04:40 PM #13
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    worth keeping tabs on

    gl Donk
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  14. 11-27-17 04:47 PM #14
    HockKid11
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    Nice Donk, love when people actually back-test theories, what my entire plays are based on.
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  15. 11-27-17 05:47 PM #15
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    worth keeping tabs on

    gl Donk
    Quote Originally Posted by HockKid11 View Post
    Nice Donk, love when people actually back-test theories, what my entire plays are based on.
    Thanks fellas

    I'm currently working on some other angles too so I'll post if any of the results are worthy. BOL on your wagers
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  16. 11-27-17 07:24 PM #16
    GzaTheGenius
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    Good stuff donk, will definitely be keeping tabs here

    https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-bye-wee...on/c-290159620

    We got bye weeks coming Jan 7th, NHL switched up their style with byes this year so we won't have so many teams coming off byes playing against teams that aren't(as they will be playing vs each other) but when they are we will have something to look for, made a lot of money on this one last year
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  17. 11-27-17 08:30 PM #17
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by GzaTheGenius View Post
    Good stuff donk, will definitely be keeping tabs here

    https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-bye-wee...on/c-290159620

    We got bye weeks coming Jan 7th, NHL switched up their style with byes this year so we won't have so many teams coming off byes playing against teams that aren't(as they will be playing vs each other) but when they are we will have something to look for, made a lot of money on this one last year
    Awesome info G. Will definitely have to revisit this once we get closer to January!
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  18. 11-28-17 04:54 PM #18
    Notorious_Donk
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    Sabres +150

    I'm interested to see how this one ends up. This is by far the biggest underdog play we have had this season so tail with caution. However, last year we had two plays over +130 and both won so who knows! BOL on your wagers
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  19. 11-29-17 09:33 AM #19
    Notorious_Donk
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    We had a loser last night, but the trend still continues to be profitable. Here are the numbers up to this point...

    2017 Season = 19-11 (63.3%) with 14.4% ROI

    Since Nov 2017 = 13-3 (81.2%) with 41.4% ROI
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    darkghost gave Notorious_Donk 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  20. 11-30-17 03:25 AM #20
    darkghost
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    How'd I miss this thread? Great stuff again from Donk!
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  21. 11-30-17 10:50 AM #21
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkghost View Post
    How'd I miss this thread? Great stuff again from Donk!
    Thanks darkghost. Glad you're here
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  22. 11-30-17 10:53 AM #22
    Notorious_Donk
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    11/30/2017

    Another system play tonight. Need to bounce back after the loss two nights ago!

    Wild -160
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  23. 12-01-17 11:18 AM #23
    Notorious_Donk
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    Another winner last night. Caps off a "Wild" November with a record of 14-3 (82.4%) and +42.7% ROI!

    One system play tomorrow!
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  24. 12-04-17 01:18 PM #24
    Notorious_Donk
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    Wasn't able to post over the weekend but we had another winner on Saturday with Lightning winning 5-2 over Sharks. That brings us to a total record of 21-11 and 15-3 since the beginning of November.

    Two more plays tomorrow... Blue Jackets and Red Wings!
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  25. 12-05-17 01:12 PM #25
    Notorious_Donk
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    12/5/2017

    Blue Jackets -190
    Red Wings +115
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  26. 12-05-17 05:28 PM #26
    Notorious_Donk
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    Plays from other systems posted on my twiter as well
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  27. 12-06-17 06:13 PM #27
    Notorious_Donk
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    No system plays tonight
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  28. 12-07-17 09:45 AM #28
    Dynasty3669
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    Hey Donk, in your research, did you look at teams coming off a road loss with 2 days or MORE of rest? I took the Maple Leafs last night based on that data and they won. Just curious if an extra day off (or more) made a difference.
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  29. 12-07-17 11:38 AM #29
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dynasty3669 View Post
    Hey Donk, in your research, did you look at teams coming off a road loss with 2 days or MORE of rest? I took the Maple Leafs last night based on that data and they won. Just curious if an extra day off (or more) made a difference.
    When a team has 2 days or more of rest, the numbers actually go down.

    2 days of rest
    Since 2016, 65.2% with +15% ROI

    2 days OR MORE of rest
    Since 2016, 61.7% with +7.9% ROI

    You could definitely play some of these, however, I personally would pick and choose some of the plays. Bring in some other factors to pinpoint the best plays. But hey, in the end both are still profitable.

    Good thought Dynasty!
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  30. 12-07-17 11:50 AM #30
    Dynasty3669
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    Interesting that the ROI goes down with additional rest. Choose wisely I guess. I’m looking forward to tonight’s plays.
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  31. 12-07-17 11:51 AM #31
    Notorious_Donk
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    12/7/2017 System Plays

    Bruins -210
    Sharks -125
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  32. 12-08-17 12:06 PM #32
    Notorious_Donk
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    2-0 last night! We're now at 24-12 on the season, and 18-4 since the start of November
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  33. 12-08-17 04:17 PM #33
    robert1d
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    Thank you for two winners!
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  34. 12-08-17 05:57 PM #34
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by robert1d View Post
    Thank you for two winners!
    No problem. Glad you tailed
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  35. 12-08-17 05:58 PM #35
    Notorious_Donk
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    No plays tonight
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