1. #1
    veriableodds
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    Nh 17-18 season picks

    NHL doesn't kick season off till next Wednesday but starting thread early. Rules are pretty league trendy and hover about the same win rate as MLB league trends which is about {58%} that is home favorites only. Going with 3 plays everyday unless its a light card then maybe 1 play or none. On one play days risk size is 1u. ON 3 play days 4u equally portioned or [1.33u] per play. This is the main focus is the 3 home favs a day. I will have dogs either road or home and also total plays if I see value but equally those plays will be [.25u] only plays. When picking home favorites I will not lay more than -175 so if a card is filled with say 7 favorites and only two of those lines are at -175 or under will rate it and probably be just a one play day. Going to use last years season stats ,and other ranking factors for first few weeks of season. Will keep track of units carefully and post them next to each pick to ensure no confusion on how this works. BOL cant wait for this new season

  2. #2
    veriableodds
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    Okay first plays of season. Not waiting around for reduced lines ,their are going to be so many wagers coming even if posted 25 bets for day with bad lines it would not matter. Lets get right to it
    ----------------
    Winnipeg/-130/1u
    Calgary/+140/0.25u

    That's all she wrote for day1 BOL HAPPY SEASON

  3. #3
    veriableodds
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    Winnipeg was got @ +100 /-130 was typo

  4. #4
    veriableodds
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    10/4--0W-2L
    ytd/0-2/(-1.25u)

    10/5
    Nashville/+105/0.25u
    Philadelphia/+150/0.25u
    Anaheim/1u/ WHEN lines comes AND IF line is @ -175 or lower or it does not qualify for a play

  5. #5
    veriableodds
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    Anaheim/1u/ WHEN lines comes AND IF line is @ -175 or lower or it does not qualify for a play

    Looks like a play picked it up @-170

  6. #6
    veriableodds
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    FUKK am I gonna str8n this out. Waiting a few days before adding totals.
    day/1-2/+0.09

    ytd/1W-4L/(-1.16u)

    10/6
    NY islanders/+120/0.25u
    FL panthers/+155/0.25u
    LV golden/+200/0.25u

  7. #7
    veriableodds
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    day/1W-2W/0.00u
    YTD/2W-6L/(-1.16U)


    10/7
    Colorado/+130/0.25u
    ny rangers/+120/0.25u
    Minnesota+100/0.25u
    Waiting on lines but I have 2 possible other dogs. If line is +100 its a fire Tampa bay, and Vegas. AS far as home teams go waiting on lines will update later

  8. #8
    veriableodds
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    10/7 adds because of late lines
    Vegas/+158/0.25u
    home teams/ The first qualified home play day
    Ottawa/-135/1.33u
    saint louis/-135/1.33u
    Anaheim/-120/1.33u
    -------
    that's 7 plays /BOL

  9. #9
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-5L/-2.04u

    YTD/4W-11L/(-3.20U)

    10/8
    PASS

  10. #10
    veriableodds
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    YTD/4W-11L/(-3.20U)

    10/9
    saint louis/+100/0.25u
    Chicago/+115/0.25u
    Edmonton/-155/1u

  11. #11
    veriableodds
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    day
    1W-2L(-1.00U0
    --------
    YTD/5W-13L/(-4.20U)

    I feel if I continue @ this rate its gonna be a half season battle lol, GOT a little exited I suspect to the start of a new season. Nothing wrong with the system its just to early ,going to wait for some more games to be played to get an edge on stats I can find useful. Prolly pick thread back up Saturday BOL

  12. #12
    veriableodds
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    Changing betting structure a little ,favorite ceiling is lifted to -195 maximum. All wagers are created equal so weather a home or away or total each wager is now a (0.33u) play. Away team betting is only +105 or higher.

    10/14--YTD/5W-13L/(-4.20U)

    NYR/-185/0.33u
    SJ/-140/0.33u
    STL/+124/0.33u
    PITT/-170/0.33u

  13. #13
    veriableodds
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    DAY/1W-3L/(-0.8u)
    ---
    YTD/6W-16L/(-5.00U)

    I am picking great spots this is very frustrating to say the least.

    10/15
    ANH/-150/0.33u
    LVK/+135/0.33u
    LAK/-140/0.33u

  14. #14
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-1L(+0.72u) damn hockey
    ---
    YTD/8W-17L/(-4.28U)

    10/16 not with a ten foot poll. Meditation of a masterpiece

  15. #15
    veriableodds
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    YTD/8W-17L/(-4.28U)



    10/17
    wsh/-135
    ott/-179
    nsh/-175
    edm/-135
    lvk/-105
    each (0.33U)

  16. #16
    veriableodds
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    day/2w-3L(-0.49u)
    ytd/10W-20L(-4.77u)

    Trend is average @ 56% win rate but my record isn't reflective and I am sticking with the best possible home plays ,and only playing dogs on the road with better records. Would of been wise to wait this month out shooting for November. Passing till Saturday

  17. #17
    veriableodds
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    ytd/10W-20L(-4.77u)


    10/21
    phi/-116/1u
    sj/+125/1u

  18. #18
    veriableodds
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    10/21
    1W-1L(-0.14u)
    ytd/11W-21L(-4.91u)


    Saturday 10/28
    tb/-165/0.33u
    nj/IF line is !-190! or under/for 0.33u
    fl/-150/0.33u
    phi/+145/0.33u
    nyr/+125/0.33u
    nyi/+120/0.33u
    clb+120/0.33u

  19. #19
    veriableodds
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    picked up NJ/-144/0.33u play
    That's 7 plays and 2.33u @ risk today nhl

  20. #20
    veriableodds
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    day/3W-4L(-0.22u)

    ytd/14W-25L(-5.13u)


    10/29

    anh/+135/0.33u

  21. #21
    veriableodds
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    day/1W-0L(+0.45u)-10/29

    ytd/15W-25L(-4.68u)

  22. #22
    veriableodds
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    10/30

    vegas/+155/0.33u
    clb/-150/0.33u
    ott/-115/0.33u
    la/+105/0.33u
    sj/-115/0.33u

  23. #23
    veriableodds
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    ADDING 1 didn't think line would qualify

    phi/-185/0.33

    6 plays 1.98u @ risk

  24. #24
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-4L(-0.83)

    ytd/17W-29L(-5.51u)



    10/31
    vg/+193/0.33u
    det/-163/0.33u
    wnn/+133/0.33

    1u @ risk

  25. #25
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-1L(+0.31u)

    ytd/19W-30L(-5.2u)




    11/1
    --
    phi/+130/0.33u
    anh/-120/0.33u
    sj/-130/0.33u

  26. #26
    veriableodds
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    day/1W-2L(-0.41u)
    ytd20W-32L(-5.61u)

    11/2
    vg/+190
    nyi/+130
    tb/-170
    det/+130
    stl/-170
    mnn/-135
    ptt/+115
    la/-145
    all 1/3 unit plays or 2.64u @risk

  27. #27
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-6L(-1.52u)
    ytd/22W-38L(-7.13u)

    going to switch it up again tacking more to basics all wagers 1u now
    11/4
    stl/-135/1u
    la/-155/1u
    Last edited by veriableodds; 11-04-17 at 09:06 AM. Reason: forgot date

  28. #28
    veriableodds
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    day/1W-1L(-0.10u)
    ytd/23w-39L(-7.23u)


    11/6 all 1/3u plays
    vg/+195
    wnnp/+129
    det/+140

  29. #29
    veriableodds
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    day/2W-1L/+0.56u
    ytd/25W-40L/(-6.67u)


    11/7
    nyi/-122
    fl/+135
    vg/+170
    clg/-175
    all 1/3u so 1.33u @ risk

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