1. #1
    Flea Hotel
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    Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays

    I've been betting NHL and NBA totals since I was in high school. I've been a winner most years, including last year where I almost hit 60% betting NHL and NBA totals.

    I'm a stats doctorate candidate and I cap using formulas and statistical analysis that only people wrapping up PhD's in stats, like myself, would understand. I love cash money, hot Asian girls and stats. That's how I roll.

    That being said, I'm getting massacred by NHL totals this year. Looking at my databases, I've noticed that while I'm getting trained on totals, I'm 10-10 on PL -1.5 and -2.5. I put a nice bet on Montreal last night -2.5 and that resulted in a lot of cash money. You can't date the quality of hot Asian trim that I do unless you have a lot of cash money; I'm not Brad Pitt. I'm a Stats PhD student!

    Therefore, I will use my statistical acumen, my love of hockey (I played Major Junior in the WHL. 4th line but I can play) and my legendary ability to win money to make you money by nailing PL's. I will only be posting plays when my confidence level is extremely high so I wouldn't expect more than a pick a day, at most.

    Year to Date (Documented)
    0-0 (0 units)

    First play coming soon, crunching numbers. Hate me if you must, but if you like cash money, tail and watch the trolls come and go as I end up in the black at the end of the season.

    ONLY PUCK LINE -1.5's and occasional -2.5's HERE!

  2. #2
    Joe'Dad
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    Wow, I thought you were the troll

  3. #3
    Flea Hotel
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    Not sure what that means and couldn't care less.
    Quote Originally Posted by Joe'Dad View Post
    Wow, I thought you were the troll

  4. #4
    Flea Hotel
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    First play.

    Washington PL -2.5 + 190

  5. #5
    Flea Hotel
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    Good start. My models had it as 4-1 or 5-1 but I'll take it.

    YTD (1-0, +1.9u)
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    First play.

    Washington PL -2.5 + 190

  6. #6
    Flea Hotel
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    Today's play. Pretty obvious. Anyone laying -340 on the ML should apply to the Mars One program. (Most of you will have to google that.)
    YTD (1-0, 1.9u)

    Pittsburgh PL -1.5 - 110 (1.1 units to win 1 unit)

  7. #7
    Flea Hotel
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    Another win. I bet the -2.5 but didn't post it. It's scary how much money I'm winning lately. I truly am a PL Legend. Damn.

    You guys chase dreams, I'll bet winners and make cash money.

    YTD
    (2-0, 2.9u)

    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Today's play. Pretty obvious. Anyone laying -340 on the ML should apply to the Mars One program. (Most of you will have to google that.)
    YTD (1-0, 1.9u)

    Pittsburgh PL -1.5 - 110 (1.1 units to win 1 unit)

  8. #8
    Flea Hotel
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    Tuesday's NHL play.

    YTD (2-0, 2.9u)


    Minnesota PL -1.5 +215 (1 unit to win 2.15 units)

  9. #9
    Flea Hotel
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    Adding another.

    Edmonton PL -1.5 +275 (1 unit to win 2.75 units)

  10. #10
    Flea Hotel
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    Golly. 3 for 3 on PL's. Good start. My Edmonton PL isn't looking good but I'm liking where this is going.

    WINNER
    YTD (3-0, 5.05u)
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Tuesday's NHL play.

    YTD (2-0, 2.9u)


    Minnesota PL -1.5 +215 (1 unit to win 2.15 units)

  11. #11
    Flea Hotel
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    LOSS
    My bad. My models had this exactly at the line's IP (26.7%). I broke my own rule of posting any play that doesn't clear my model by at least 5%. Ironically, Columbus winning 3-1 came up 9% of the time, the highest final score breakdown of the lot. Oh well. I'll come back strong with another winner. All I know is all three of my threads will end up in the black, just like I always end up in something Asian.
    YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Adding another.

    Edmonton PL -1.5 +275 (1 unit to win 2.75 units)

  12. #12
    Flea Hotel
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    MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT

    I will be adding -1's to my PL thread. There is a lot of value on -1's this season. We pay so much juice for OT and the SO which are crap shoots, I'd rather find games that don't go to OT, then find the one's which are likely to be won by 2, 3 or more. However, last night, I personally went 2-0 on -1's and nail a lot of them so I will be adding them here so you can make more cash money and maybe more hot Asian girls. As long as you leave my Montreal and Toronto hot Asian women alone, you can enjoy the free cash money. If you live in Vegas or LA, you are living in Hot Asian girl wonder world, and for that...


    BOL

  13. #13
    Flea Hotel
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    Today's action. I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play -1's for two games. (I'm not sure about your book, but I use 5Dimes and Bet365. To find the -1, look for "3 Way Betting"

    Pittsburgh -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Calgary -1 (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units


    YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
    BOL

  14. #14
    Nostradam
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    Unfortunately Pinnacle does not offer -1 lines for regulation time only, just -1 with OT included.

    For regulation (60 minutes only) wagers they have only ML & -/+ 1/2 a goal wagering.

    Best of luck tonight!
    Last edited by Nostradam; 12-14-16 at 03:57 PM. Reason: my bad

  15. #15
    Flea Hotel
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    Weird, my books only offer -1 in regulation time, but not OT included. I should put some money in my Pinnacle account just in case I want to make such a play. Pit and Cal in reg time are still good non-chalk plays. I play the reg time and the -1 myself.
    Quote Originally Posted by Nostradam View Post
    Unfortunately Pinnacle does not offer -1 lines for regulation time only, just -1 with OT included.

    For regulation (60 minutes only) wagers they have only ML & -/+ 1/2 a goal wagering.

    Best of luck tonight!
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-14-16 at 05:18 PM.

  16. #16
    Flea Hotel
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    I knew this would happen. I'm adding .5 regulation plays to my thread. If I could rename the thread to Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays I would.

    One more play for the night.

    Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 in regulation +137 (1 unit to win 1.37 units)

    BOL

  17. #17
    Flea Hotel
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    I almost never play parlays but Pit, Phil and Cal ML at almost +400 seems fun. Not a thread play and not hedgeable but just throwing it out there...

  18. #18
    2Shirts
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    Just does not seem realistic that all three favorites would win.

    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    I almost never play parlays but Pit, Phil and Cal ML at almost +400 seems fun. Not a thread play and not hedgeable but just throwing it out there...

  19. #19
    Flea Hotel
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    I know.. And EVERYTIME I say that, they do. That's one of the many reasons I don't do parlays. You always remember the one you didn't play or just missed, and forget the one you just lost the second you fire up another one.
    Quote Originally Posted by 2Shirts View Post
    Just does not seem realistic that all three favorites would win.

  20. #20
    Flea Hotel
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    Interesting night of NHL. Don't feel bad about my -1 on the Pens, the Pens should have won that by 3. Missed the Calgary game but got the total on my other thread, and nailed the Philly game. I'll focus more on just putting the best of the best plays now that school is winding down.

  21. #21
    Flea Hotel
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    LOSERS!
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Today's action. I'm going to try something different. I'm going to play -1's for two games. (I'm not sure about your book, but I use 5Dimes and Bet365. To find the -1, look for "3 Way Betting"

    Pittsburgh -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Calgary -1 (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units


    YTD (3-1, 4.05u)
    BOL

  22. #22
    Flea Hotel
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    WINNER!
    YTD (4-3, +3.42u)
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    I knew this would happen. I'm adding .5 regulation plays to my thread. If I could rename the thread to Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays I would.

    One more play for the night.

    Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 in regulation +137 (1 unit to win 1.37 units)

    BOL

  23. #23
    Flea Hotel
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    Today's play. YTD (4-3, +3.42u)

    Minnesota def Nashville in regulation +175 (1 unit to win 1.75 units)

    BOL, I have Team Total on this game in my Iconic Team Totals Thread

  24. #24
    Flea Hotel
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    Weird. I need a scientist to tell me why anyone would tail anyone's threads other than mine. I guess loving cash is going out of style.
    Points Awarded:

    the tross gave Flea Hotel 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  25. #25
    Flea Hotel
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    C'est un WINNER
    CASH MONEY. If you hate making cash money, fade or pass on my picks. I'm old school, I'm all into cash money. Is that bad?
    YTD (5-3, +5.17u)
    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Today's play. YTD (4-3, +3.42u)

    Minnesota def Nashville in regulation +175 (1 unit to win 1.75 units)

    BOL, I have Team Total on this game in my Iconic Team Totals Thread

  26. #26
    JayRow
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    Nice work my friend! We might take over the world with our hockey picks

  27. #27
    BankrollMafia
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    just started reading through your thread, quite hilarious. anyway how early do you usually post before game time?

  28. #28
    Flea Hotel
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    I think we're figuring it out!
    Quote Originally Posted by JayRow View Post
    Nice work my friend! We might take over the world with our hockey picks

  29. #29
    Flea Hotel
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    I try to get them on there no later than 2PM EST. It usually depends on school and my insanely whiny girlfriend but usually, 2PM EST or earlier. Luckily, there isn't too much line movement in the NHL, though enough for me to aim for earlier than later.
    Quote Originally Posted by BankrollMafia View Post
    just started reading through your thread, quite hilarious. anyway how early do you usually post before game time?
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-16-16 at 11:06 PM.

  30. #30
    Flea Hotel
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    I think just one play today, swamped with marking papers so I didn't have as much time as I usually do to do calculations...
    YTD (5-3, +5.17u)

    Columbus def Calgary in regulation (+133) 1 unit to win 1.33 units

    This was so close to being a -1 play but not close enough. I'm also on this game in my team total thread.

  31. #31
    Nostradam
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    Both teams very hot lately. I'm not sure why the BJs are even favored at Calgary, although the Flames
    have been only average at home & the BJ's strong on the road with the better overall record. The BJ's
    wins on their present 7 game streak have been almost all against cupcakes. The Flames also beat
    them at Columbus recently 2-0.

  32. #32
    Flea Hotel
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    Bet the Flames then, BOL!
    Quote Originally Posted by Nostradam View Post
    Both teams very hot lately. I'm not sure why the BJs are even favored at Calgary, although the Flames
    have been only average at home & the BJ's strong on the road with the better overall record. The BJ's
    wins on their present 7 game streak have been almost all against cupcakes. The Flames also beat
    them at Columbus recently 2-0.

  33. #33
    Nostradam
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Bet the Flames then, BOL!
    GL to you 2.

    I have no opinion on a side.

  34. #34
    Flea Hotel
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    WINNER
    (YTD 6-3, 6.5u)

    Really? Another chalk free win? How do I do it? You'd probably need at least a MsC in Stats to figure it out. I love mixing school with cash money. Also been known to like hot Asian girls too.
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-16-16 at 10:35 PM.
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    the tross gave Flea Hotel 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  35. #35
    Flea Hotel
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    FLEA HOTEL OVERALL STATS

    My Legendary Chalk Free Plays Thread: 6-3, 6.5u
    My Iconic NHL Team Totals Thread: 6-1, 5.33u
    My Life Redefining NBA Totals Thread: 2-1, 1.72u

    OVERALL
    14-5, 13.55u
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 12-16-16 at 10:44 PM.

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