1. #106
    ScouTT
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    ledjend Thank you for your kindness for posting your picks and sharing it with us!
    I am giving it a try today

  2. #107
    karstman7
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    Eh. The way I see it he is keeping the method to himself for one reason or another - but he clearly doesn't want to divulge so why bother? He's got a good thing going here regardless.

  3. #108
    ledjend
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    Quote Originally Posted by Miggs View Post
    Hey Ledjend, that backtest shows some remarkable results. Well done on creating this system!

    I have to ask though, why the reluctance to share the methodology you use?

    If you were selling the picks, I'd completely understand protecting your process. But this is a public forum and you're giving your picks away freely, so keeping the community in the dark seems an odd choice. There are other posters (Wallco99 comes to mind) whose methodology is completely transparent, so why not join their ranks and put the doubters to rest?

    G/L the rest of the way and thanks for the picks.
    Just a personal choice.

  4. #109
    ledjend
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScouTT View Post
    ledjend Thank you for your kindness for posting your picks and sharing it with us!
    I am giving it a try today
    Welcome - and you're welcome.

  5. #110
    Miggs
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    Quote Originally Posted by ledjend View Post
    Just a personal choice.
    Thanks for the reply Ledjend. It's a free country, so each to their own. Gotta respect your choice. Though I do think you'd get more respect from the critics if you went the other way, but winning over the long run will accomplish the same thing. Here's to continued success

  6. #111
    karstman7
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    man i picked the wrong to day to change my tailing from tailing to tailing big.....

  7. #112
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/18

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 25-2, +20.18 u)

    - Det at -174 - Loss
    - NYR +1.5 at -320 - Loss

    Year to date - 25-4, +15.24 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 25-0, +25 u)

    - Det A bet - Loss
    - NYR A bet (vs Win) - Loss

    Year to date - 25-0, +25 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 23-4, +13.24 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 2-0, +2 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  8. #113
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/19


    - Nas A bet -
    currently -128, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -380 (2000 est)
    - NYI A bet -
    currently -163, play Money Line (2100 est)


    Upcoming B bets on 12/20 and 12/21.

    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  9. #114
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/19

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 25-4, +15.24 u)

    - Nas +1.5 at -380 - Win
    - NYI at -157 - Loss

    Year to date - 26-5, +14.67 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 25-0, +25 u)

    - Nas A bet - Win
    - NYI A bet - Loss

    Year to date - 26-0, +26 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 24-5, +12.67 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 2-0, +2 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  10. #115
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/20


    - Det B bet -
    currently -180, play Money Line (1900 est)


    2 more B bets on 12/21.

    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  11. #116
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/20

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 26-5, +14.67 u)

    - Det at -185 - Win

    Year to date - 27-5, +15.67 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 26-0, +26 u)

    - Det B bet - Win

    Year to date - 27-0, +27 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 24-5, +12.67 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 3-0, +3 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  12. #117
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/21


    - NYI B bet -
    currently -125, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -425 (1900 est)
    - Edm B bet (vs Win) -
    currently +107, play Puck Line +1.5 at -300 (2100 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  13. #118
    Hudini
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    Did you tested only A bets and profits tru 10 years?

  14. #119
    ledjend
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hudini View Post
    Did you tested only A bets and profits tru 10 years?
    No.

  15. #120
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/21

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 27-5, +15.67 u)

    - NYI +1.5 at -425 - Win
    - Edm +1.5 at -295 - Win

    Year to date - 29-5, +17.67 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 27-0, +27 u)

    - NYI B bet - Win
    - Edm B bet (vs Win) - Win

    Year to date - 29-0, +29 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 24-5, +12.67 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 5-0, +5 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  16. #121
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/26


    - TB A bet -
    currently -179, play Money Line (1900 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  17. #122
    tecmoslayer
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    Thanks
    Points Awarded:

    ledjend gave tecmoslayer 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  18. #123
    splitH
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    thank you legend
    Points Awarded:

    ledjend gave splitH 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  19. #124
    ledjend
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    SATURDAY 12/26

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 29-5, +17.67 u)

    - TB at -185 - Win

    Year to date - 30-5, +18.67 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 29-0, +29 u)

    - TB A bet - Win

    Year to date - 30-0, +30 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 25-5, +13.67 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 5-0, +5 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  20. #125
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/28


    - Nas A bet -
    currently -138, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -390 (2000 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.
    Points Awarded:

    karstman7 gave ledjend 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  21. #126
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/28

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 30-5, +18.67 u)

    - Nas +1.5 at -385 - Win

    Year to date - 31-5, +19.67 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 30-0, +30 u)

    - Nas A bet - Win

    Year to date - 31-0, +31 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 26-5, +14.67 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 5-0, +5 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)

  22. #127
    karstman7
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    keep up the good work!
    Points Awarded:

    ledjend gave karstman7 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  23. #128
    ledjend
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    Next play 12/31.

  24. #129
    ledjend
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    TODAY 12/31


    - Was A bet (vs Car) -
    currently -125, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -400 (1800 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  25. #130
    MecStar
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    Just started seeing your plays.... so you take the team Ml and also the reverse puckline? So tonight your wagering Washington ML as well as Washington +1.5 ?? Good numbers you have going way to go

  26. #131
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 12/31

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 31-5, +19.67 u)

    - Was +1.5 at -390 - Loss

    Year to date - 31-6, +15.77 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 31-0, +31 u)

    - Was A bet (vs Car) - Loss

    Year to date - 31-0, +31 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 26-6, +10.77 (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 5-0, +5 (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 (85% past 10 yrs)


    *B bet on 1/2.*

  27. #132
    ledjend
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    Quote Originally Posted by MecStar View Post
    Just started seeing your plays.... so you take the team Ml and also the reverse puckline? So tonight your wagering Washington ML as well as Washington +1.5 ?? Good numbers you have going way to go
    Just the Rev PL - and thanks.

  28. #133
    ledjend
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    TODAY 1/2


    - Nas B bet (vs Car) -
    currently -115, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -330 (1900 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  29. #134
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 1/2

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 31-6, +15.77u)

    - Nas +1.5 at -335 - Win

    Year to date - 32-6, +16.77 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 31-0, +31 u)

    - Nas B bet (vs Car) - Win

    Year to date - 32-0, +32 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 26-6, +10.77 u (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 6-0, +6 u (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)

  30. #135
    ledjend
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    TODAY 1/5


    - Min A bet -
    currently -120, play Alternate Puck Line +1.5 at -350 (1900 est)
    - Nas A bet (vs Win) -
    currently -176, play Money Line (2000 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  31. #136
    ledjend
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    TUESDAY 1/5

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 32-6, +16.77u)

    - Min +1.5 at -350 - Win
    - Nas -172 - Loss

    Year to date - 33-7, +16.05 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 32-0, +32 u)

    - Min A bet - Win
    - Nas A bet (vs Win) - Loss

    Year to date - 33-0, +33 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 27-7, +10.05 u (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 6-0, +6 u (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)

  32. #137
    ledjend
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    TODAY 1/7


    - Dal B bet (vs Win) -
    currently -155, play Money Line (2030 est)
    - Tor A bet (vs LA) - currently +161, play Puck Line +1.5 at -185 (2230 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  33. #138
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 1/7

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 33-7, +16.05 u)

    - Dal at -165 - Win
    - Tor +1.5 at -175 - Win

    Year to date - 35-7, +18.05 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 33-0, +33 u)

    - Dal B bet (vs Win) - Win
    - Tor A bet (vs LA) - Win

    Year to date - 35-0, +35 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 28-7, +11.05 u (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 7-0, +7 u (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)
    Points Awarded:

    sod77 gave ledjend 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    splitH gave ledjend 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    karstman7 gave ledjend 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    NCarts gave ledjend 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  34. #139
    ledjend
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    TODAY 1/9


    - Tor A bet -
    currently +125, play Puck Line +1.5 at -245 (1900 est)
    - SJ A bet -
    currently -138, play Alt Puck Line +1.5 at -400 (1900 est)


    Even though Toronto and San Jose are playing each other they both qualify as A bets.

    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.

  35. #140
    ledjend
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    YESTERDAY 1/9

    Flat Betting
    (Entered day 35-7, +18.05 u)

    - SJ +1.5 at -415 - Win
    - Tor +1.5 at -165 - Loss

    Year to date - 36-8, +17.40 u


    Chase
    (Entered day 35-0, +35 u)

    - SJ A bet - Win
    - Tor A bet - Loss

    Year to date - 36-0, +36 u


    Important Note:
    I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


    Additional Helpful Info:
    A bets = 29-8, +10.40 u (73% past 10 yrs)
    B bets = 7-0, +7 u (83% past 10 yrs)
    C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)

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