1. #1
    Razor3880
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    Two Free New Year's Eve Plays with analysis

    Wild/Blues UNDER 5 +100
    Wild ml +115

    This afternoon's matchup in St. Paul's will truly feature a tale of two teams. Although both the St. Louis Blues and the Minnesota Wild have generally been known to be two of the better teams in the West this season, they have really found themselves rapidly drifting in opposite directions recently.

    The Wild, who were at one point very hot and among the top of the standings, have now found themselves on the outside looking in on a playoff spot. They are currently riding a five game losing streak, and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team has also experienced significant injuries during the stretch. They have lost arguably their most dangerous scoring threat Zach Parise to a foot injury. However, more importantly, Minnesota really started to plummet when their goaltender Josh Harding had to take a week of absence to attend to his medical condition. He returned (after the team had lost four straight with stretches of horrific goaltending by Niklas Backstrom) in Sunday's 5-4 loss to the Islanders in what was arguably the worst loss of the season for the Wild. The good news is that Harding will be just fine. It was a team meltdown, and he should be in good form for this afternoon.

    Head coach Mike Yeo appeared to have a very calm approach, both following practice yesterday, and in an interview today. The vibe suggested a refresh mode for the team. He also added that the loss to the Islanders was enough to force the team to look at the tape and address their holes.

    Anyone who has followed the Minnesota Wild this season (or any of their past few seasons for that matter) knows that the team operates on a culture of strict defense. At home, they usually have a bit of momentum on their side from their crowd. If they get an early lead, it usually tightens up for the rest of the game. Knowing that they just blew a 3-0 lead to one of the worst teams in hockey (which should be the last straw at this point), they will be even more alert within the defensive system that they have seem to have mastered for the most part this season. They also know St. Louis is no slouch.

    The truth is, although the Blues have been absolutely outstanding and impressive, they are coming off two hard fought character wins with their two most important forwards injured. This will be the third game in four nights for St. Louis, and with the amount of north-south end to end travel these past three days, fatigue should be kicking in at this point. Apart from the general drive to exceed as a top team in the standings of course, there is no known extra motivation for St. Louis to treat this like a do or die type of game, whereas there is every reason in the world for Minnesota to do so.

    The bottom line is that the Wild will be more mentally consumed in the concept of doing everything right this game. They will really be looking to get their confidence back here. The only way they function successfully within the lines of their game style is if they play flawless defense backed by solid goaltending. At the end, their chip and chase approach should involve scoring just enough goals to win the game. Essentially, this should be a hard fought grind, similar to that of the Blackhawks and Kings game last night. Goals should come few and far between, with Minnesota having the motivational edge against a fatigue and somewhat satisfied St. Louis squad.
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  2. #2
    CatHawk
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    Nice write up buddy! I'll tail you on the Wild. Very accurate analysis.

    You've inspired me to continue my own write ups again. They may not be as good though... Anyways, good luck!

  3. #3
    Razor3880
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    Thank you! Let's hope Minny can get some swag in the third period...feel free to link me to your write ups as well!

  4. #4
    CatHawk
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    Hard pick man. I won't feel bad if we lose... we still got the third period.

    I guess you'd like to push on the under and win with wild 3-2. Or even up with an under and Wild loss. Wild are good in OT but suck when they trail this big.

    It's hard calling under 5 and a ML on the same game. You'd need the opposing team to score 1 goal or less to win both bets.

  5. #5
    CatHawk
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    uhh link? to my old write ups?

  6. #6
    Razor3880
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    or anything you write from here on..Yeah I actually had a bigger play on that Under so I am happy, but would have been nice to get that Wild win. St. Louis looks great at the moment though..

  7. #7
    CatHawk
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    I don't mind showing you these cause they were ok write ups and they both went ok. Hopefully we can both keep it up.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/hockey-bet...2-19-13-a.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/hockey-bet...ucks-wild.html

    Thanks for reading man. I love talking hockey!!

  8. #8
    CatHawk
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    Yeah, St. Louis is solid this year. I love it... good to see other teams doing well besides the usual suspects.

  9. #9
    CatHawk
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    You know the Wild just nose dived after Parise was injured. Backstrom struggled sure... but missing Zach hurt them. I swear he is such an important part of that team's make-up right now.

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