I'm playing the Avalanche here to win in Regulation, and here are my main reasons for this pick:
Goaltender situation:
- Goaltending is a serious serious problem in Winnipeg. Pavelec is just too unreliable, up and down all the time.
Montoya in Goal, he IS NOT a NHL quality goaltender. This is one of the strongest point to this bet.
Varlamov is good in goal and is the clear Nr 1 goalie in Colorado.
Finish year on a positive note from a team that has been playing well overall.
- Finish of the end of the year with two Wins against teams they are suppose to beat if they want to go to the playoffs.
Dynamic Line with fast skating sounds like a bad mismatch for Byfuglien and co.
Top line for Colorado with Matt Duschene will be to difficult for Ellerby and Byfuglien to contain, generally fast and dynamic lines is not good for big and slow defense.
Losing streak, need to be broken
The fact that Colorado has lost 3 in a row now, 2 in OT against LA and Sharks away (Hard losses), got to think that they are due to put this game away in Regulation.