1. 10-08-13 09:03 PM #1
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

    Got my NHL system up and running again. Hope it turns out ok.
    Plays are graded as Gold Silver Bronze plays

    Gold = 1u
    Silver= .5u
    Bronze= .25u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-08-13 09:03 PM #2
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Here was todays plays

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-09-13 10:07 AM #3
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Short Card
    Gold= OTT
    Silver= MTL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-10-13 06:35 PM #4
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    damn forgot to post

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-11-13 02:30 PM #5
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    So PIT game and CHI has some errors so be carefull with them eventhough i like both of them. And i hate to have PHX a gold since they are playing my fly guys but oh well. GL

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-11-13 02:31 PM #6
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    record so far
    Gold $10
    Silver $5
    Bronze $2.50

    W L % $ W L %
    Gold 7 3 70.00% $50 ML 13 8 61.90%
    Silver 0 3 0.00% -$19.5 O/U 5 6 45.45%
    Bronze 4 1 80.00% $7.5 REG 17 3 85.00%
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-11-13 02:33 PM #7
    USAF K9
    USAF K9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-13
    Posts: 111
    Betpoints: 426

    I like the flyers tonight u need to read hucks thread about b2b and u will feel better bout ur fly guys tonight !
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-11-13 02:59 PM #8
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Yeah i read that thread. The system im running takes all that into account including travel and simulates the game based on each players stats. its a monster of a spreadsheet.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-11-13 04:17 PM #9
    USAF K9
    USAF K9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-13
    Posts: 111
    Betpoints: 426

    care to share it with me lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-11-13 04:17 PM #10
    USAF K9
    USAF K9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-13
    Posts: 111
    Betpoints: 426

    I think im just gonna go with the over 5.5 in the flyers game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-11-13 05:56 PM #11
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    ha its a little tough to share. So each player has stats for the last 82 games they have played, the most recent games are weighted higher then say games from last year. each night i strip the stats from each game report and enter them into my spreadsheet. Other factors are say b2b and travel through timezones. This system was given to me by someone who just didnt have the time to do it anymore since he is moving on with other projects. If you really want more info i can always have him chime in to expand on it.
    Points Awarded:

    Jackie Moon gave calmeat 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-12-13 11:47 AM #12
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Todays Card. Lots of gold on there today

    Last edited by calmeat; 10-12-13 at 11:52 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-13-13 12:27 PM #13
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    nothing real good today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-13-13 12:50 PM #14
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    8-1 yesterday so that was def a good sat.
    Record updated
    Gold $10
    Silver $5
    Bronze $2.50

    W L % $ W L %
    Gold 12 3 80.00% $103.5 ML 26 10 72.22%
    Silver 2 4 33.33% -$14.5 O/U 10 9 52.63%
    Bronze 6 1 85.71% $12.5 REG 30 5 85.71%
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-13-13 11:20 PM #15
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Early looks 10/14/13

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-14-13 12:17 PM #16
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    updated with Goalies

    Last edited by calmeat; 10-14-13 at 12:23 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-14-13 09:47 PM #17
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    another Gold win!!

    WSH MIN and the MIN Under all hit. too bad boston couldnt win for the sweep
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-15-13 12:03 PM #18
    Alien Lanes
    Alien Lanes's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-15-13
    Posts: 3
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by calmeat View Post
    another Gold win!!

    WSH MIN and the MIN Under all hit. too bad boston couldnt win for the sweep
    calmeat, your stats are fantastic.

    Keep up the good work buddy! Looking forward to your picks tonight

    I'm thinking Toronto ML, Penguins -1.5, and Avs ML
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-15-13 12:16 PM #19
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    So ran the system. Just waiting for Goalies and ill post.

    @ Alien. Sheet is on MIN (dont like that pick) i lean TOR on that as well. Also PIT is high % and so is COL CHI NYI

    So with the sheet. I mainly go by GAME WIN %. The Gold silver bronze picks are based on WIN% and value with the line. SO PIT Tonight is not a gold silver or bronze because of the high ML but the Game Win % is high so its kind of a at your own risk.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-15-13 01:14 PM #20
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    GL Today. Not all goalies are confirmed but figured id get this out there now.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-15-13 01:48 PM #21
    rainman416
    rainman416's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-12
    Posts: 1,248
    Betpoints: 994

    Love the chart, already made my plays for the day, but will def be looking over the chart before hand next time. Good info

    SJS at + money stood out to me as the play of the day.. Would be betting with the STL side if they were the ones at +money.. hard not to take the odds there on two undefeated teams.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-15-13 01:58 PM #22
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Thanks glad its helpful. Yeah i just stayed away from that game Im tracking the Game win% as well to see how those games turn up and here is what i got and you can see from 55%-65% records not great.

    W L %
    50 2 0 100.00%
    55 12 6 66.67%
    60 5 4 55.56%
    65 3 0 100.00%
    70 8 1 88.89%

    and record to date

    W L % $ W L %
    Gold 13 3 81.25% $113.5 ML 30 13 69.77%
    Silver 2 5 28.57% -$19.5 O/U 12 10 54.55%
    Bronze 6 1 85.71% $12.5 REG 37 5 88.10%
    Points Awarded:

    potlimit gave calmeat 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-15-13 06:45 PM #23
    potlimit
    potlimit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-11
    Posts: 22
    Betpoints: 1759

    Love the charts, great tool... keep em coming.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-16-13 10:42 AM #24
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849



    W L % $ W L %
    Gold 15 4 78.95% $124.5 ML 37 18 67.27%
    Silver 4 6 40.00% -$16.5 O/U 14 12 53.85%
    Bronze 6 3 66.67% $5.12 REG 46 8 85.19%

    Game Win %
    W L %
    50 2 0 100.00%
    55 13 9 59.09%
    60 7 4 63.64%
    65 4 2 66.67%
    70 11 1 91.67%
    Last edited by calmeat; 10-16-13 at 01:15 PM. Reason: Updated Goalies
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-16-13 11:34 AM #25
    racer43
    racer43's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-10
    Posts: 211
    Betpoints: 1103

    a couple questions for you, if you dont mind.... what do the arrows in the totals column signify? Also in the odds column, the odds posted, are they the odds the spread sheet comes up with? They differ from closing odds
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-16-13 12:17 PM #26
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    @racer43
    Arrows are the play for the total. Straight down RED is a play on the under. UP green is the play Over and the yellow arrow are leans. As for the lines they are the lines when i run the system.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-16-13 01:15 PM #27
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Updated goalies
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-16-13 05:16 PM #28
    racer43
    racer43's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-10
    Posts: 211
    Betpoints: 1103

    ok thanks, thats what I thought, but wasnt sure. I mainly bet totals on NHL so will be following along here...

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-17-13 12:36 PM #29
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    GL today !

    Last edited by calmeat; 10-17-13 at 02:05 PM. Reason: updated goalies
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-17-13 02:21 PM #30
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    and with these #s for Gold and
    W L %
    Gold 15 4 78.95%
    Silver 4 7 36.36%
    Bronze 6 3 66.67%
    70% and above Game Win%
    W L %
    50 2 0 100.00%
    55 13 9 59.09%
    60 7 4 63.64%
    65 5 3 62.50%
    70 11 1 91.67%

    ill be playing SJS -.5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 10-19-13 11:41 AM #31
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Goin to a wedding so wont be updating Goalies. GL!

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 10-21-13 09:04 AM #32
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Posting early got a concert today and tomorrow so goalies may not get updated.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 10-22-13 12:29 PM #33
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 10-22-13 03:03 PM #34
    btd
    btd's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-08
    Posts: 455
    Betpoints: 6828

    Can u explain what the circles in the first column represent and also how can i tell which plays are gold, silver , and bronze ? Thanx
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 10-22-13 03:21 PM #35
    imarkp
    imarkp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-05-12
    Posts: 233
    Betpoints: 1248

    Quote Originally Posted by btd View Post
    Can u explain what the circles in the first column represent and also how can i tell which plays are gold, silver , and bronze ? Thanx
    look at circles boxed, 1 gold 1 silver 3 bronze. not sure what moon shapes are.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Hockey Betting | Next Thread »