1. #1
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    NHL Series Plays

    For whatever reason NFL teasers/future and NHL series parlays seem to be the most profitable for me. I hit a BAL-SF superbowl final (over +4300, only $20 tho) bet I made on Christmas day (in week 16 iirc) this year and in 2011 BOS made me some nice $$. Anyway I made some series bets before playoffs started and now adding some more so I thought I'd share.

    I really like the value for LA to win the series here. It's a must win tonight. Using bet365:

    LA to win series 4-2 +800 ($50)
    LA to win series 4-3 +500 ($50)

    When will series finish (4 series parlay):
    BOS in 5, LA/STL in 7, DET/ANA in 7, CHI in 5 +6000 ($20)

    Original Bets (2 bolded plays my favorites):

    6 Series Parlay: CHI, PIT, BOS, LA, WASH, MTL +1200 ($80)
    8 Series Parlay: CHI, PIT, BOS, LA, WASH, MTL, SJ, DET +5200 ($20)

    3 Series Parlay: CHI, PIT, BOS +125 ($200)

    8 Combination Series Plays ($8 x 8 combos = $64)
    CHI, BOS, PIT to win either 4-1 or 4-2 (Pays between $600 to $900)

    4 Combination Series Plays ($10 x 4 combos = $40)
    WASH, MTL to win either 4-2 or 4-3 (Pays between $250 to $350)
    Last edited by Deol; 05-04-13 at 01:52 PM.

  2. #2
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

    Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.

  3. #3
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

    Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.
    +800 is about right, isn't it? Assuming they win today (1.64) odds should be roughly the same for game 4. Would be slight dogs in game 5 (2.10) and if they won 3 straight odds would be a bit lower, around 1.6 for game 6 at home:
    Roughly: 1.64 x 1.64 x 2.10 x 1.60 = +803

    I just can't see them losing either game at home. LA's pretty deadly at home, only lost 4 or 5 all year. It's more of a value bet, I think most likely it'll be 2-2 so the best value is now. Defending champs, they won't go down easy. And lucky run? They were up 3-0 in almost every series last year.

  4. #4
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Adding: LA (1-2), MTL, (1-2), BOS (1-1), ANA (2-1): $25 pays $400

  5. #5
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

    Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.
    Lucky? They were on fire. I call that hot not lucky.

  6. #6
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Quote Originally Posted by riffraff24 View Post
    Lucky? They were on fire. I call that hot not lucky.
    Its called lucky.

    Like winning bunch of coin flips in poker. You could say Jamie Gold was on fire too....

    As always the following year, variance catches up......

  7. #7
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Its called lucky.

    Like winning bunch of coin flips in poker. You could say Jamie Gold was on fire too....

    As always the following year, variance catches up......
    Clearly you either don't know enough about hockey or didn't watch any of the Kings games last year. They were the better team in almost every game last year, but yah that's luck. Get a grip. Luck isn't the reason they won 16 games in the playoffs.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: riffraff24

  8. #8
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post

    LA to win series 4-2 +800 ($50)
    LA to win series 4-3 +500 ($50)
    LA Kings showing why they're the defending champs. Coming back from being down 2-0 and 3-2 (in the 3rd) with the series essentially on the line, against a team like STL with Hitchcock as their coach in the playoffs = Extremely impressive and definitely not luck k13. If STL around -120 or better for series I will probably hedge $100 to basically be free rolling with Kings.

  9. #9
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    KINGS!!!! I really should hedge but I think LA takes it at home.

  10. #10
    Vegas39
    Vegas39's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-11
    Posts: 30,686
    Betpoints: 214

    Damn this series gonna kill me

  11. #11
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Expected a lot more from MTL even with the injuries. Cost me $165!! But poised to make some nice coin with the KINGS an the CHI/PIT/BOS bets.
    Last edited by Deol; 05-09-13 at 07:46 PM.

  12. #12
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    I really like the value for LA to win the series here. It's a must win tonight. Using bet365:

    LA to win series 4-2 +800 ($50)

    LA to win series 4-3 +500 ($50)
    Like a f**kin boss!!!! $50 returns $450 Hope someone tailed!!

  13. #13
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    3 Series Parlay: CHI, PIT, BOS +125 ($200)

    8 Combination Series Plays ($8 x 8 combos = $64)
    CHI, BOS, PIT to win either 4-1 or 4-2 (Pays between $600 to $900)
    The odds of this: (CHI 4-1, PIT 4-2, and BOS 4-2 series finals) were 90.25 to 1, so $8 wins me $722. If BOS wins tomorrow I will win both bets quoted here totalling ($1172 win - ($200 + $64) risked = $908. Basically just over $900 if BOS wins. I really should hedge but this has been such a good year (SF-BAL superbowl) I think I should let it ride. Partial hedge? Anyone have an opinion on this?
    Last edited by Deol; 05-12-13 at 12:46 AM.

  14. #14
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Rattling to say the least... Almost want TOR to win even if it costs me the big bet.

  15. #15
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Total Risked: -$549.00
    Total Returned: +$700.00
    Net: +$151.00
    Boston not winning game 6 was the biggest difference maker ($722 swing)
    Last edited by Deol; 05-13-13 at 09:50 PM.

  16. #16
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Round 2 Play:
    I won my biggest bet in Round 1 so hopefully it continues here, only play for Round 2 for now:
    Series Play (2 combinations): BOS, CHI, (SJ-LA Ends in 6 or 7)
    Pays : 7.2 to 1 Total Risk: $300 Possible Return: $1080

  17. #17
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    I think SJ-LA is going 7 so I like the value on this play ($80):
    2 play Combo ($40 each): SJ to win 4-3 (series), CHI to win (4-2 or 4-3), BOS to win
    Pays: 26 - 27.8 to 1, $80 wins $1040 or $1110
    SJ to win 4-3 is 6.00 to 1 BOS to win is 1.23 CHI to win 4-2 (3.50) or 4-3 (3.75)

  18. #18
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)

  19. #19
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)
    FKN RITES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  20. #20
    Vegas39
    Vegas39's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-11
    Posts: 30,686
    Betpoints: 214

    Well done deol

  21. #21
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Hit the sikk live bet on BOS last game so adding to my original thoughts. I can't see CHI losing this game and like the value on SJ winning the series.
    2 game parlay: SJ (2.40) ML & CHI ML (1.71) = 4.10 to 1 ($40 returns $164)
    2 series parlay: SJ (2.20) & CHI (1.95) = 4.30 to 1 ($60 returns $258)

  22. #22
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Think SJ gets a few PPs in the 3rd and they bury one and hopefully tie it late. So taking them live (0-2 2nd Int) at 15.50 to 1 for $25. Bet365

  23. #23
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Round 2 Results:
    1) Series Play (2 combinations): BOS, CHI, (SJ-LA Ends in 6 or 7)
    Pays : 7.2 to 1 Total Risk: $300 Return: $1080
    Net: + $780

    2) SJ to win 4-3 is 6.00 to 1 BOS to win is 1.23 CHI to win 4-2 (3.50) or 4-3 (3.75)
    Pays: 26 - 27.8 to 1, $80 wins $1040 or $1110
    Net: - $80 (FKN SAN JOSE)

    3) Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)
    Pays: $245 and $260 respectively: Total Risk: $70 Returns: $505
    Net: +435

    4) 2 game parlay: SJ (2.40) ML & CHI ML (1.71) = 4.10 to 1 ($40 returns $164)
    2 series parlay: SJ (2.20) & CHI (1.95) = 4.30 to 1 ($60 returns $258)
    So taking them live (0-2 2nd Int) at 15.50 to 1 for $25
    Net: -$125

    RECAP:
    Round 1: +151
    Round 2: +1,010
    Total: +1,161
    Last edited by Deol; 05-29-13 at 10:10 PM.

  24. #24
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    RECAP:
    Round 1: +151
    Round 2: +1,010
    Total: +1,161
    If BOS beat TOR in game 6 instead of game 7, profit for round 1 would be $722 higher
    If SJ beat LA in game 7, profit for round 2 would be $1030 higher

    Rattling to be that close, but up a significant amount regardless .... anyways on to round 3.

    Round 3 Plays:

    1) Series Play: CHI (1.71) & PIT (1.47) = 2.513
    Total Risk: $600 Possible Return: $1508


    2) Series Correct Score 4 Combination Play ($100 EACH):
    CHI to win 4-2 or 4-3 & PIT to win 4-1 or 4-2
    Total Risk: $400 Possible Return: $2250 - $2750

    Bet365:
    CHI 4-2 @ 5.50 to 1 CHI 4-3 @ 5.00 to 1
    PIT 4-1 @ 4.50 to 1 PIT 4-2 @ 5.00 to 1

  25. #25
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    3) PIT to win 4-3 (4.10) and CHI to win 4-2 (4.00) / CHI to win 4-3 (5.00) $50 each (total $100) to win $820 - $1000

Top