Outstanding as always.
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01-30-13 09:14 AM #36
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01-31-13 08:30 AM #37
Blackhawks lost in SO, so the Wild fade continues
to their next game.
Net adjusted to +236
Avalanche chase (1) +140
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01-31-13 10:41 PM #38
Great call on this one...
I'm still trying to figure out what happen on the last 3 minutes of the game where suddently 3 goal got scored within not even 3 minutes
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02-01-13 08:51 AM #39
Avalanche chase completed (1)
2 Game Limit record: 9-2
Net: +336
Wild fade (2) take Ducks -125
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02-02-13 08:28 AM #40
Wild fade completed (2)
2 Game Limit record: 10-2
Net: +446
Maple Leafs chase (1) +120
Devils chase (1) +155
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02-02-13 08:37 AM #41
Nice start! Keep up the good work!
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02-02-13 10:31 AM #42
Been following since the season started keep up the good work
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02-03-13 07:29 AM #43
lost .84 on Maple Leafs (1)
lost .65 on Devils (1)
2 Game Limit record: 10-2
Net: +299 = was +446 - (.82) - (.65)
Devils chase (2)
to win 1.00 +.65 = bet 1.44 to win 1.65
Go Ravens.Last edited by Snowball; 02-03-13 at 03:08 PM.
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02-03-13 01:55 PM #44
Why aren't devils a play today?
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02-03-13 03:03 PM #45
sorry, that was a mistake on my part. I somehow missed today's game.
Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz
It's already started. Therefore, if they win today, their chase ends and
I will have to mark it as a win. If they lose, the chase ends with a loss.
The line was +115.
Also, the Leafs are indeed playing tomorrow.
I have to wait until at least 9am from now on.
Some websites don't have correct info first thing.
I am also distracted by Superbowl.
Post entry above has been modified to be correct.
My apologies.Last edited by Snowball; 02-03-13 at 03:09 PM.
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02-03-13 07:23 PM #46
This a 3 game chase correct?
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02-04-13 05:46 AM #47
No, any chase or fade is limited to 2 games and the first Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz
cannot be higher than -150.
If we chase a team to a 3rd game, it's the beginning of a new one.
Devils chase completed (2)
2 Game Limit record: 11-2
Net: +464
Maple Leafs (2) (to win 1.00 + the .82 lost) = to win 1.82
odds pending
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02-04-13 08:26 AM #48
Maple Leafs (2) @ -115
2.09 to win 1.82
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02-05-13 08:22 AM #49
Lost Maple Leafs chase (2)
2 Game Limit record: 11-3
Net: +255
Islanders fade (1) take Penguins -145
Blackhawks chase (1) +105Points Awarded:
Vinnie Paz gave Snowball 4 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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02-06-13 06:52 AM #50
Islanders fade completed (1)
Blackhawks chase completed (1)
2 Game Limit record: 13-3
Net: +455
no plays tonight.
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02-07-13 08:34 AM #51
Senators chase (1) -130
Rangers fade (1) take Islanders +150
Coyotes fade (1) take Blackhawks -115
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02-08-13 07:16 AM #52
Coyotes fade completed (1)
Rangers fade continues (lost .67)
take Lightning on Sunday
Senators chase continues (lost 1.15)
vs Jets on Saturday
2 Game Limit record: 14-3
Net: +273
no bets tonightLast edited by Snowball; 02-08-13 at 07:19 AM.
Points Awarded:
Vinnie Paz gave Snowball 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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02-09-13 08:55 AM #53
Bets
Senators chase (2) (-155) to win back 1.15 +1 = 3.33 to win 2.15
Rangers chase (2) - tomorrow.
Panthers chase (1) +105 = .95 to win 1.00
@ Capitals (next game also vs. Capitals)
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02-10-13 09:41 AM #54
Senators chase lost @ (2) cost 3.33
may continue this one
Rangers fade (2) take Lightning (120) to win 1.00 + the .67 lost
bet: Lightning 1.39 to win 1.67
Panthers chase (2) tuesday hosting Capitals (to win 1.95)
Running Net -1.55
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02-11-13 08:39 AM #55
guys I don't like the way it's working out
on a martingale here. the doubling-down affect
turned what would have been a winning record
spot-up into a losing one - it seems that a 2-Game Limit
will not work, that a 3rd or 4th game is sometimes necessary
if the martingale is to be employed.
I added up my individual games as 16 wins and 13 losses, which
is a winning record, but limiting the lost chases to 2 games made
me lock in losses.
Therefore I will discontinue the 2-Game limit approach.
I still believe a chase/fade system can work in NHL if one is willing
to keep doubling down into 3rd,4th, and so on.. no team is going
to lose or win every game for the rest of the season, but anyone
can do this without me posting on it.
I will probably continue the unlimited chase in MLB but will have to
set stricter parameters than -150... maybe as low as -130.
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