[Cicima6709]

Why have the favorites gotten so pricey? The odds weren't this crazy all season, why the sudden jump now?

Van -300? NYr -230? A tb team playing like crap at -175? I think these teams will win but wow they are way overpriced, really good value on the dogs...

[LizReed44]

I think it's primarliy due to the fact that the prohibitive favorites (> -170) seem to be winning the vast majority of the time - more so they they typically have in year's past.

For example I track Fantasy Sports Gametime's Hockey plays and they are the biggest squares you have ever seen - they literally release the Canucks, Bruins, Red Wings and/or Black Hawks every day regardless of price (Ex. on Saturday they released the Blues -230 and the Red Wings -350, as if anyone would need a "professional" to tell you that those two mismatches would get the cash).

But they're 54-27 over their last 81 selections, which is 66%. Now granted they aren't up that many units but when you can hit 2 out of every 3 over the course of 81 games by blindly banging public plays, it proves that the heavy chalk is coming in at an abnormally high rate.

Vegas had to adjust.

[byronbb]

Yeah seems like the good teams are running over the bad teams. Parity as we saw it before has evaporated.

[k13]

This always happen in the latter part of the season.

Books figure out which teams are much better and put down high juice games.

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