1. 01-02-12 12:05 AM #1
    odog11
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    Odog's only the best bets please. NHL 2012.

    Starting a thread that I will try to keep going through the year. Idea is to try to find the best plays at the best time(within my ability to be online checking lines and reading up on games) and cut out hunch bets, quick judgements and bets just to have action. 1 unit per play unless noted and will also mention some other plays I feel good about, but are for "entertainment purposes" only. Feedback welcome and I won't blindly tail someone, but no reason not to be "inspired" to make a good play when you see someone else on it. If you feel you have a best bet feel free to share and some type of insight into your thinking is appreciated always.

    Going to start off with an entertainment purposes only play for the Winter Classic. In Lundqvist we trust:

    Parlay Rangers +115 and under 5.5 -150 1 unofficial unit to win 2.62 unoficial units.
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  2. 01-02-12 04:04 AM #2
    SlimZ
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    Tough to choose a side here 45/55 to the flyers home advantage I say... Can't pull the trigger for me but I choose NYR if I had to at the moment for +119 pinny
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  3. 01-02-12 03:19 PM #3
    odog11
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    Looks like under when it dropped to -140 was the play here, surprised line moved that much that way.

    Official play

    Chicago -.5/three way betting -139 1 unit to win .71 units.

    Was tempted to go with the puckline at +120, but taking the safer route here with the regulaton bet. Chicago has won a lot of games in OT/SO, but feel like they can get it done in 60 here. I orinally was thinking -1 would be the play, but juiced all the way up to -147.
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  4. 01-02-12 03:43 PM #4
    odog11
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    Official play number two is a bit juicy, but I like it a lot. Duchene out and Varlamov in net for Avs which means 2 of there main cogs in their recent success not in this one. Surging Kings should take care of business fairly easily here, Quick confirmed in net.


    LA Kings ML -160 1 unit to win .62 units.


    Also an entertaiment only puckline parlay LA +190 and Chi +120 1 unofficial unit to win 5.4 unofficial units.
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  5. 01-02-12 06:35 PM #5
    mrginandtonic
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    Official play number two is a bit juicy, but I like it a lot. Duchene out and Varlamov in net for Avs which means 2 of there main cogs in their recent success not in this one. Surging Kings should take care of business fairly easily here, Quick confirmed in net.


    LA Kings ML -160 1 unit to win .62 units.


    Also an entertaiment only puckline parlay LA +190 and Chi +120 1 unofficial unit to win 5.4 unofficial units.
    I took COL instead.
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  6. 01-03-12 12:47 AM #6
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrginandtonic View Post
    I took COL instead.
    Lucky you, Kings dominated and should have won, but inability to finish and some sick saves from Varlomov saved the Avs. 0-2 to start, down two units, only place to go is up, right? Early play on a PL I think should move the other way.

    Washington -1.5 +160. 1 unit to win 1.6 units.

    Carltary in a tough spot travel wise and will take my chances that Caps bury them, rather than all the juice on the ML -180.
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  7. 01-03-12 01:12 AM #7
    nammertl
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    i like the play. washington is better at home, calgary is much worse away (nevermind what the vancouver game says). caps are finding their groove back with an impressive Vs against rangers, sabres and jackets.

    Also would absolutely play the carolina game. Something about teams going into Carolina that causes them to lose, even very good teams, and the islanders is certainly not a good team.
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  8. 01-03-12 02:10 PM #8
    odog11
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    Adding an unofficial play, unofficial because I couldn't make it with real money, hint hint, look quick before line changes. Put a decent deal of my non money "bankroll" on this.

    TB +125 parlayed with Over 5.5 -130. 1 unofficial unit to win 2.98 unofficial units.
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  9. 01-04-12 11:22 AM #9
    odog11
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    Hit the last official play with Washington on the PL.

    Official Record:
    1-2 -.4 units

    Unofficial Record:
    1-2 +.62 units

    One unofficial play so far that I like and will probably have one official play later.

    Bruins ML -160 parlayed with over 5 -135. 1 unofficial unit to win 1.83 unofficial units.
    Expect Bruins to bounce back here.
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  10. 01-04-12 11:29 AM #10
    leafs_ducks
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    Like the Bruins too. Brodeur hasn't gone more then 3 games with a save % higher then .900 this season.
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  11. 01-04-12 04:10 PM #11
    odog11
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    One more unofficial play.

    Bruins and Montreal, both in regulation -101 and +121 1 unit to win 3.4 units.
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  12. 01-05-12 09:14 AM #12
    odog11
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    Official and "unofficial" plays both hit yesterday with B's and Habs getting it done big time.

    Official record:
    2-2 +1.43 units.

    Unofficial record:
    2-2 +4.02 units.

    Lots on the board tonight and so far I see 3 plays I like as official plays.

    Bruins PL +125. 1 unit to win 1.25

    Blackhawks/Flyers over 5.5 -125. 1 unit to win .8 unit

    Parlay Bruins -240 and over 5.5 +125 1 unit to win 2.19 units.

    If it goes over, who do you think is likely to win? If you don't like this play, you must really like the under, which I agree is more likely, but is around -140 most places. Just too much correlation with Bruins and the over to pass up IMO.
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  13. 01-05-12 09:36 AM #13
    odog11
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    Add on one unofficial play, it's a round robin with, so there are three two team parlays and one three team. All on the PL

    Boston +120 Ottawa +200 and St. Louis +145. 1 unit to win 7.88 units
    If two of three hit will still be up on the play, just not as much.
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  14. 01-05-12 12:36 PM #14
    odog11
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    "Entertainment purposes only" play. Looks like Weber returns, Preds out for revenge and Rinne back in form.

    Predators -1.5 +225 (Reduced on 5Dimes)
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  15. 01-05-12 05:42 PM #15
    a4u2fear
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    Why official unofficial?!?!? Just make all of them your plays and you'll do fine
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  16. 01-05-12 08:11 PM #16
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Why official unofficial?!?!? Just make all of them your plays and you'll do fine
    Don't worry about it, got it under control. All plays not "created" equally or in the same way so this is a way I keep track for myself. Lookig good so far tonight, need St Louis and Ottawa to pot a few more goals.
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  17. 01-05-12 08:12 PM #17
    nammertl
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    Huge night for u bro
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  18. 01-05-12 09:26 PM #18
    odog11
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    Late last minute official play

    Phoenix/LA under 5 +116.
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  19. 01-06-12 01:40 AM #19
    odog11
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    Tonights Official plays 4-0 +5.4
    Tonights unofficial play was a round robin, basically 4 separate parlays, one of which hit for a total of + .65 units.

    YTD
    Official 6-2 + 6.83

    Unofficial will call it 3-2 as tonights play was positive: +4.67
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  20. 01-06-12 01:40 PM #20
    leafs_ducks
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    What is official n unofficial plays?
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  21. 01-06-12 01:58 PM #21
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by leafs_ducks View Post
    What is official n unofficial plays?
    The unit size for official is larger and uniform, unofficial is smaller and varies in size, but for sake of keeping track putting it as a "unit." Also, the unofficial are often "hunch" plays or sometimes just tailing someone else's play without putting in as much thought/research as I do into the official plays. This way I can keep track of which "system" is working better for me.

    Here is an example, it's kind of a hunch play and will give me some interest in a game I want to watch without having to pick a side to root for. Saw this at -140 most places and when i saw I could get it at -135 I said, lets do it:

    Unofficial play: Rangers/Penguins over 5 -135. 1 unit to win .74 units.
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  22. 01-06-12 02:05 PM #22
    leafs_ducks
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    Ohic. Kool. Thanks for the explanation. Good luck this season!
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  23. 01-06-12 04:04 PM #23
    odog11
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    Earlier play:
    Unofficial play: Rangers/Penguins over 5 -135. 1 unit to win .74 units

    Adding:

    Official play:
    Carolina -.5/regulation +1.60 1 unit to win 1.6

    Unofficial plays:
    New Jersey -145 and over 5 -120 parlay 1 unit to win 2.10

    NJ PL +210 parlay with Chi PL +150 1 to win 6.75
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  24. 01-06-12 08:56 PM #24
    odog11
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    Late game last minute, 2 Unofficial plays:

    Islanders -.5/regulation +176 1 for 1.76

    Isleanders over 2.5 -125 1.25 for 1
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  25. 01-07-12 10:39 AM #25
    odog11
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    YTD
    Official 7-2 +8.43

    Unofficial 4-6 +2.77

    I like the Bruins today, really clicking and Vancouver has an easy coast early start. That being said the odds are not great, so not going huge on the Bruins today.

    Early plays
    Official:
    Bruins -5/regulation +101 1 unit to win 1.01

    Ottawa +150 parlay with over 5.5 -130 1 unit to win 3.44

    Unofficial
    Bruins -1.5 +180(5Dimees reduced) 1 unit to win 1.8
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  26. 01-08-12 01:51 PM #26
    odog11
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    Too busy and using phone to update now

    Official
    Philly/Ott. Over 5.5 -127
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  27. 01-08-12 06:31 PM #27
    odog11
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    Last minute unofficial.
    Detroit/Chicago over 5.5 -115.
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  28. 01-08-12 10:54 PM #28
    odog11
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    Ok update time, four straight unofficial losses, tough one with the Detroit/Chicago over 5.5 after 3 goals in the first. Hit the only offcial play today with Philly/Ottawa going over easy. Tough losses on Satruday with the Bruins, strange game with cool calm and collected Bruins letting the Cannucks get to them and take too many penalties.

    Official
    8-4 +7.24

    Unofficial.
    5-11 -13 units.
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  29. 01-09-12 09:43 AM #29
    odog11
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    No reason not to be on this one. Kings offense not getting it done, Quick getting it done big time. He isn't confirmed, but have to believe he will play as LA needs a win and they need him in net to get it.

    Official:
    Wash/LA under 5 +101 1 unit to win 1.01
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  30. 01-10-12 03:10 PM #30
    odog11
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    Lost last night, will update record after tonights plays. One play I like so far.

    Official
    Ottawa -.5/regulation +200 1 unit to win 2 units.
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  31. 01-10-12 03:22 PM #31
    odog11
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    Adding

    Philly/Carolina over 5.5 -120. 1 unit to win .83
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  32. 01-10-12 03:40 PM #32
    odog11
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    Adding:

    Unofficial
    Toronto -145 parly with over 5.5 -110 1 unit to win 2.23 units.
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  33. 01-10-12 03:47 PM #33
    buzzer
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    hit the sens also dog gl
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  34. 01-10-12 03:54 PM #34
    nammertl
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    oh shit, just realized roloson is in net for TB tonight. Strong lean towards the over for sure on that one.
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  35. 01-11-12 08:04 AM #35
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by buzzer View Post
    hit the sens also dog gl
    Do we fade the Pens again tonight against the Caps is teh question.
    Quote Originally Posted by nammertl View Post
    oh shit, just realized roloson is in net for TB tonight. Strong lean towards the over for sure on that one.
    I know, I ended up getting greedy and did a small parlay with over with vancouver, but also threw in the Philly/Carolina over.

    Official plays record:
    9-6 +7.24 units

    Unofficial 5-12 -1.13 units.
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