1. #1
    pm9964
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    2011-12 SMT Original System thread

    QUOTE=spankmythighs;12062981]
    A) I only use GameBookers.com for these bets because they offer O/U between 4.5 and 6.5
    B) Take the total GF and GA average for both teams and add them together. Then divide them by 2. If it equals less than 5.5 go with UNDER 6.5. If it is greater than 5.5 go with the OVER 4.5.
    [/QUOTE]

    I wanted to start this thread to post his original systems daily plays for those of us that want to play this specific system. Please feel free to double check my plays.

    Will NHL.com suffice for GA and GF purposes?

  2. #2
    pm9964
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    Can you not edit posts on us forum? Wtf?

  3. #3
    pm9964
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    Monday November 10th Qualifiers:

    Boston - Edmonton................. 4.55 .................. 6.5 Under

    Columbus - Chicago................ 5.86 .................. 4.5 Over
    St Louis - Toronto................... 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over
    Winnipeg - Florida .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over
    Colorado - N.Y Islanders ......... 5.32 .................. 6.5 Over
    Phoenix - Montreal................. 5.37 .................. 6.5 Over
    L.A Kings - Vancouver ............ 5.17 .................. 6.5 Over

    San Jose - Minnesota ............. 4.84 .................. 6..5 Over

    ----------------------------------

    Playing each to win 1 unit. Please let me know if I missed anything or made an error. Best of luck.

  4. #4
    McNamara Banned
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    Here is what I got for Today, using his 1st System.

    Boston - Edmonton
    ................. 4.55 .................. 6.5 Under

    Columbus - Chicago................ 5.86 .................. 4.5 Over

    St Louis - Toronto
    ................... 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over

    Winnipeg - Florida
    .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over

    Colorado - N.Y Islanders
    ......... 5.32 .................. 6.5 Under

    Phoenix - Montreal
    ................. 5.37 .................. 6.5 Under

    L.A Kings - Vancouver
    ............ 5.17 .................. 6.5 Under

    San Jose - Minnesota ............. 4.84 .................. 6.5 Under

    Congratz, pm9964, you got it spot on.

    Good Luck I hope you do very well.

    Personally, My own system has St Louis a good chance of hitting 6 Over so 4.5 for
    that Game looks very good indeed.




    Last edited by McNamara Banned; 11-10-11 at 06:20 PM.

  5. #5
    McNamara Banned
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    Dude why have you got Monday 10th Nov on your post

  6. #6
    dominate.
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    Sorry if I'm reading this incorrectly, but shouldn't both your posts say: 6.5 UNDER for the games Colorado to San Jose?

  7. #7
    pm9964
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    Quote Originally Posted by McNamara Banned View Post
    Dude why have you got Monday 10th Nov on your post

    because it will not let me edit it, thats why.

  8. #8
    pm9964
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    Quote Originally Posted by dominate. View Post
    Sorry if I'm reading this incorrectly, but shouldn't both your posts say: 6.5 UNDER for the games Colorado to San Jose?

    correct, good catch.

    Thursday November 10th Qualifiers: (revised)
    UNDERS
    Boston - Edmonton................. 4.55 .................. 6.5 Under
    San Jose - Minnesota ............. 4.84 .................. 6..5 Under
    Colorado - N.Y Islanders ......... 5.32 .................. 6.5 Under
    Phoenix - Montreal................. 5.37 .................. 6.5 Under
    L.A Kings - Vancouver ............ 5.17 .................. 6.5 Under
    OVERS
    Columbus - Chicago................ 5.86 .................. 4.5 Over
    St Louis - Toronto................... 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over
    Winnipeg - Florida .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over

    So I show 5 unders, 3 overs- correct?

  9. #9
    dominate.
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    That's what I'm seeing

  10. #10
    McNamara Banned
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    Dominate What did you mean about colorado to san jose, they were all 6.5 under anyway.

  11. #11
    McNamara Banned
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    Just saw it now thanks, it is 6.5 under not 6.5 over

  12. #12
    McNamara Banned
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    Gee its a ghost town in spanky post, like someone died or something, no activity for ages

  13. #13
    pm9964
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    Thursday November 10th Qualifiers: (revised)
    UNDERS
    Boston - Edmonton................. 4.55 .................. 6.5 Under (LOSS)
    San Jose - Minnesota ............. 4.84 .................. 6..5 Under (WIN)
    Colorado - N.Y Islanders ......... 5.32 .................. 6.5 Under (LOSS)
    Phoenix - Montreal................. 5.37 .................. 6.5 Under (WIN)
    L.A Kings - Vancouver ............ 5.17 .................. 6.5 Under (WIN)
    OVERS
    Columbus - Chicago................ 5.86 .................. 4.5 Over (WIN)
    St Louis - Toronto................... 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over (WIN)
    Winnipeg - Florida .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over (WIN)

    6-2 last night, +.8 units. Not the best night, but still a positive one.

    Im about to calculate tonight's plays, be back in a sec!

  14. #14
    McNamara Banned
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    At least you made a profit, everyone in spanky's post lost a lot of money, because they won 4 and loss 4.

    At the odds they got, for every loss they need to win 3 times, right now they have to get 8 wins tomorrow,
    just to make most of their money back from today.

    You on the other hand can carry on and still chase the wins.


    Good on you

  15. #15
    Romanov
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    You guys are all going to burn. You are getting AWFUL lines for the actual probability that these events occur. The juice is horrendous. Please quit now before you ruin yourself.

    How do you think you will beat the books BY AVERAGING GOALS FOR AND AGAINST? How square must you fxcking be? Just stop. For your own good

  16. #16
    McNamara Banned
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    This is spankings system and everyone thinks it is working but yep they got burnt big time today with 4 wins and 4 losses.

    we hear you but what if we only take 4.5 over games, do you think that may cut our losses if we lose a game.

  17. #17
    Romanov
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    No. You cannot beat the books by averaging those two statistics. Youve had a great run but stop before u give it all back

  18. #18
    McNamara Banned
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    Wow dude, spanky's gone back to the original system, I still wonder though which of his systems have that strike rate as he chops and changes all the time.

    Why didn't you post your picks.

  19. #19
    pm9964
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    because i work 18 hour shifts

  20. #20
    McNamara Banned
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    All goods if you want I can check the stats for you and put them up if not that's cool

  21. #21
    McNamara Banned
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    Here is what I got for Today, using his 1st System.

    Boston - Buffalo ....
    .......................... 5.45 .................. 6.5 Under

    Toronto - Ottawa ............................. 6.27 .................. 4.5 Over

    Washington - New Jersey
    ................. 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over

    Carolina - Pittsburgh ......
    .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over

    Detroit - Dallas .......................
    ......... 5.09 .................. 6.5 Under

    Columbus - Winnipeg ......
    ................. 6.07 .................. 4.5 Over

    Nashville - Montreal .............
    ............ 5.30 .................. 6.5 Under

    St Louis - Tampa Bay ....................... 5.47 .................. 6.5 Under

    Colorado - Calgary .......................... 5.24 .................. 6.5 Under

    L.A Kings - Minnesota ....................
    .. 4.25 .................. 6.5 Under

    San Jose - Phoenix .......................... 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over


    Good Luck




  22. #22
    McNamara Banned
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    Hey pm9964

    Someone said to do this as your losses won't be as much as spankys way.

    Try this system the 4.5 over but with bigger line for over. I mean bet on the same system but put over 5.5 odds I think you will be in a plus. The chance for a game to go with 5 goals is nearly the same going with six goals, but the odds for over 4.5 are round 1.25 1.3 while the odds for over 5.5 are round 2, 2.1 so you will have far bigger return with near the same risk.

  23. #23
    McNamara Banned
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    I did Today's Games for you,

    Florida - Philadelphia
    ............................ avg 6.03 .......... 4.5 Over

    Chicago - Edmonton ............................. avg 5.00 .......... 6.5 Under

    Anaheim - Minnesota ........................... avg 4.49 .......... 6.5 Under

    Vancouver - N.Y Islanders .................... avg 5.47 .......... 6.5 Under


    Don't forget what that guy said, if you go 5.5 over for any Games with 4.5, you will get c.70 cents more
    and if they are going over 4.5, quite possibly they made also hit 5.5, your profit will be better and a loss
    won't hurt as much.


    Good luck.




  24. #24
    spankmythighs
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    Wow you got ass raped last night! Nice 5-6 night!

  25. #25
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    Wow you got ass raped last night! Nice 5-6 night!

    what a fxcking asshat. You are both going to lose, just wait. it will come spank. yours will come. you can't keep laying this kind of juice on such unlikely events and not get hit hard with a regression to the mean.

  26. #26
    McNamara Banned
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    Quote:
    Originally Posted by spankmythighs
    Wow you got ass raped last night! Nice 5-6 night!

    Lols, what a dumb ass, the creator of this system which he said gave him 9-0 and 14-0 is laughing at his own system and he changed to another moving away from the one which was working fine.

    His new system is going great guns 7-4 last night, and 16 -10 the last 3 night.
    For every loss you need (to be kind) 3 wins to break even so he needs 14 wins from now with no losses.

    And he says he had a good night 7-4 lols you are 5 wins behinds now with that win rate.
    Last edited by McNamara Banned; 11-13-11 at 04:58 PM.

  27. #27
    McNamara Banned
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    Here are my picks for tonight although a little late:

    FLA OVER 4.5
    CHI UNDER 6.5
    ANA UNDER 6.5
    VAN OVER 4.5

    Later guys. I will have an updated record shortly.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Lols, now he is posting after the 1st Game has FINISH, Florida - Philadelphia was 2-3 and this dumb ass quickly put his selection 4.5 over
    Thanks Spanks you sure did rape your followers with that Game they missed out on.

    0-1 soon to be 0-2 lols for today so 6 wins now needed to break even.

    Last 4 days, right now 16-12, you need 20 wins to get all your money back with no more losses.





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