These were underdogs so more likely than not they got an average of +120.
Regardless, business as usual. All fun and games, until a C bet comes around... Let's win tomorrow!
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11-04-13 10:39 PM #2871
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11-04-13 11:49 PM #2872
People who can't read? The line for the Ducks/Rangers changed and the Ducks were the favorites in the morning. So anyone who bet the ML on that game made their bets early in the day.
Originally Posted by miss_sbets
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11-05-13 04:42 AM #2873
Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 30-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +30.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-13.49 units)
(11/4/13):
#32 Anaheim (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
#33 Winnipeg (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
v1 Fades
(A) 21-5
(B) 3-0
(C) 0-0
Losses: None
v2 Plays
(A) 6-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-0
Losses: None
Games for (11/5/13):
#26 Philadelphia @Carolina(+1½) v2 (C) (7:35 pm EST)
#27 Vancouver(+1½) @ Phoenix v1 (B) (9:05 pm EST)
#29 Resumes v1 (B) on 11/6/13
#20 Ottawa @ Columbus (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.Last edited by Wallco99; 11-05-13 at 01:15 PM.
Points Awarded:
Tboonepickem gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
GeorgeLynch gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
UnderDog_Philip gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Maxi_EV gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-05-13 06:57 AM #2874
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11-05-13 07:05 AM #2875
(A) bet I think Originally Posted by Icey bets
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11-05-13 07:11 AM #2876
What's the reason that the sharks bet wouldn't continue today?
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11-05-13 07:14 AM #2877
why would they make any other bet than to win 1 unit? Originally Posted by SuperHappyTime
Last edited by djmano; 11-05-13 at 08:21 AM.
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11-05-13 08:33 AM #2878
It was a bet against Phoenix I think. So Vancouver is a (B) bet against Phoenix tonight. Originally Posted by Icey bets
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11-05-13 09:09 AM #2879
GL everyone on C bet today as of right now I have odds for Carolina @ -315 needing to win 8.5 units so the bet if placed now is only 26.77 units for a C bet that is not really uncommonly high.
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11-05-13 09:23 AM #2880
Well, if you call top 1% not uncommonly high. LOL. But all have been winners above 20
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11-05-13 09:45 AM #2881
Game #20 was a win in post 2727.
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11-05-13 09:58 AM #2882
Looks like confusion has crept in already. As far as I recall, Columbus were played as an A bet to fade 3x winners Penguins, they lost, therefore it's Rangers next as B bet vs Penguins. Originally Posted by igziabeher
Columbus DO qualify as A bet for v2, as they have lost 3x in a row by BOTH ATS and S/U.
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11-05-13 10:00 AM #2883
It's an A bet for v2 me thinks. Originally Posted by Wallco99
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11-05-13 10:18 AM #2884
Yea it is an A bet. Wow this C bet is 32 units, I've never been so nervous before Originally Posted by ridersonthestorm
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11-05-13 10:20 AM #2885
Won't you be tempted to play ML to risk 3x times less amount? Originally Posted by joseberk
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11-05-13 11:33 AM #2886
Yea, too bad I already placed my bet. Statistically this system seems to work, but it doesn't statistically account for the cost of the xanax I'm going to need to place these 30 unit bets Originally Posted by ridersonthestorm
Won't you be tempted to play ML to risk 3x times less amount?
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11-05-13 12:34 PM #2887
LOL, to be 90% sure, better place Carolina +2,5 bet. Just a 100+ units to win (for these series overall) a whopping single. Originally Posted by joseberk
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11-05-13 01:09 PM #2888
Post #2447 Originally Posted by Icey bets
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11-05-13 01:15 PM #2889
Wallco NHL GOLD
2013-14 System to date: 30-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +30.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-13.49 units)
(11/4/13):
#32 Anaheim (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
#33 Winnipeg (+1½) v1 (A) - Win
v1 Fades
(A) 21-5
(B) 3-0
(C) 0-0
Losses: None
v2 Plays
(A) 6-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-0
Losses: None
Games for (11/5/13):
#26 Philadelphia @Carolina (+1½) v2 (C) (7:35 pm EST)
#27 Vancouver (+1½) @ Phoenix v1 (B) (9:05 pm EST)
#29 Resumes v1 (B) on 11/6/13
#34 Ottawa @ Columbus (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.Last edited by Wallco99; 11-05-13 at 01:39 PM.
Points Awarded:
analyzer gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-05-13 01:36 PM #2890
I think Wallco just numbered the Columbus game wrong. Instead of #20 it should be #34.
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11-05-13 01:40 PM #2891
I fixed that before I reposted it, must not have saved it. It was 5:00 in the morning, guess I was still sleeping. Originally Posted by skyscrapers
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11-05-13 01:42 PM #2892
There's always bingo or bridge at your local geriatric center if this is too much. Originally Posted by ridersonthestorm
LOL, to be 90% sure, better place Carolina +2,5 bet. Just a 100+ units to win (for these series overall) a whopping single.
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11-05-13 02:30 PM #2893 Hi..
It's not too much for me, I just want to make sure I'm doing it right since I'm a newbie. I've been on Carolina since the A bet. Originally Posted by Wallco99
If I risked $70 to win $25 (+1.5, -280) and lost the A bet, then my B bet should have been risking $166 to win $95 (+1.5, -175), thus making my C bet tonight:
Risking $835 to win $261. (+1.5, -320)
Correct?
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11-05-13 02:33 PM #2894
Well informed guy, I see. Tell me more. Originally Posted by Wallco99
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11-05-13 03:19 PM #2895
Unfortunately, I don't feel like this C bet falls into the normal system. I noticed that Carolina is starting their 3rd goalie and he has been absolutely ATROCIOUS, giving up 18 goals in 5 games.
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11-05-13 03:23 PM #2896
Originally Posted by Wallco99
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11-05-13 04:15 PM #2897
Correct Originally Posted by agkil1125
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11-05-13 05:09 PM #2898
Depending on the odds you got on all three games of the #26 series, the total risk for the series will be in the ballpark of 40 - 45 units. This is about as stressful as it gets.
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11-05-13 05:43 PM #2899
That AND the fact that this team totally sucks, can't score, and is on a 3rd string goalie who has been atrocious. Originally Posted by Andy3568
At least they're at home.
Fingers crossed.
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11-05-13 05:45 PM #2900
That looks correct. Originally Posted by agkil1125
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11-05-13 05:58 PM #2901
I am about to take my Xanax guys LOL!! Seriously though GL to us today!!
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11-05-13 06:07 PM #2902
I must confess, I'm taking the risk of ML here. Do not want risk losing huge chunk of the purse before positive income has been accelerated well enough to take the hit without blinking.
BOL, gentlemen. With current state in Carolina we'll certainly need it.
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11-05-13 06:34 PM #2903
balls to the wall
-bonhammer
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11-05-13 06:55 PM #2904
That's the beauty of this system. With all the paranoia of the Carolina bet, the Vancouver 8 1/2 unit bet is just an afterthought.
Last edited by Wallco99; 11-05-13 at 08:11 PM.
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11-05-13 07:42 PM #2905
Should stop watching this game. Don't think I will make it till the end of this game without a heart attack.
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