1. #1996
    Alldayeveryday7
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    Sorry for the stupid question, I am trying to follow this... Can someone tell me what the play is:
    #57 resumes V1(B)

    thanks in advance

  2. #1997
    Alldayeveryday7
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    Minnesota ML?

  3. #1998
    dalogester
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    v1 plays are fades for teams that have won 3 games in a row straight up, so for the (B) bet you are to fade Anaheim again and their next game is Thurs. Mar. 14th @ Dallas. The bet will be Dallas and either Dallas M/L or Dallas +1.5 depending on what it closes at. Take losses from (A) bet PLUS what you were trying to profit and multiply this by the odds and thats your bet amount.

  4. #1999
    Wallco99
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    Join Date: 01-01-11
    Posts: 7,232
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 56-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +35.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 1 (-1.15 units)

    (3/12/13):
    #53 Vancouver (M/L) v1 (C) - Win
    #56 Vancouver (M/L) v2 (B) - Win
    #57 Minnesota (M/L) v1 (A) - Loss
    #58 Pittsburgh (M/L) v1 (A) - Win

    v1 Plays
    (A) 22-19
    (B) 12-6

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 8-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/13/13):
    #57 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/14/13
    #59 Detroit @ Calgary (+1½) v2 (A) (9:35 pm EDT)
    #60 Ottawa (+1½) @ Montreal v1 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 03-13-13 at 05:24 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    cadetduke gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    cutchemist42 gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  5. #2000
    cadetduke
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    Good wins tonight. Had to make my wager earlier in the day and had Calgary on ML but I won my parlay with that also.

  6. #2001
    Wallco99
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 58-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +37.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 1 (-1.15 units)

    (3/13/13):
    #59 Calgary (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #60 Ottawa (+1½) v1 (A) - Win

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-19
    (B) 12-6

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 9-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/14/13):
    #57 Anaheim @ Dallas (M/L) v1 (B) (8:35 pm EDT)
    #61 Washington (+1½) @ Carolina v2 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)
    #62 Pittsburgh @ Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 03-14-13 at 05:46 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    SteelerNation704 gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Grinder12000 gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    OFS gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    GeorgeLynch gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    dalogester gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    analyzer gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  7. #2002
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by cadetduke View Post
    Good wins tonight. Had to make my wager earlier in the day and had Calgary on ML but I won my parlay with that also.
    Why the frown face? Calgary won 5-2, M/L was a winner.

  8. #2003
    cadetduke
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
    Why the frown face? Calgary won 5-2, M/L was a winner.
    Oh I know. Frown face because if they did happen to lose the ML but they won the PL it would have been a loss for me.

  9. #2004
    Alldayeveryday7
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    Quote Originally Posted by dalogester View Post
    v1 plays are fades for teams that have won 3 games in a row straight up, so for the (B) bet you are to fade Anaheim again and their next game is Thurs. Mar. 14th @ Dallas. The bet will be Dallas and either Dallas M/L or Dallas +1.5 depending on what it closes at. Take losses from (A) bet PLUS what you were trying to profit and multiply this by the odds and thats your bet amount.
    Thanks for the explanation!!! Best of luck!

  10. #2005
    Wallco99
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 58-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +37.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 1 (-1.15 units)

    (3/13/13):
    #59 Calgary (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #60 Ottawa (+1½) v1 (A) - Win

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-19
    (B) 12-6

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 9-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/14/13):
    #57 Anaheim @ Dallas (M/L) v1 (B) (8:35 pm EDT)
    #61 Washington (+1½) @ Carolina v2 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)
    #62 Pittsburgh @ Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.

  11. #2006
    Wallco99
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    Join Date: 01-01-11
    Posts: 7,232
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 59-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +38.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-6.12 units)

    (3/14/13):
    #57 Dallas (M/L) v1 (B) - Loss
    #61 Washington (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #62 Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-20
    (B) 12-7

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 10-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/15/13):
    #57 Resumes v1 (C) on 3/16/13
    #62 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/16/13
    #63 Detroit (M/L) @ Edmonton v2 (A) (9:35 pm EDT)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 03-15-13 at 05:13 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    OFS gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    analyzer gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  12. #2007
    Bawth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 59-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +38.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-6.12 units)

    (3/14/13):
    #57 Dallas (+1½) v1 (B) - Loss
    #61 Washington (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #62 Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-20
    (B) 12-7

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 10-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/15/13):
    #57 Resumes v1 (C) on 3/16/13
    #62 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/16/13
    #63 Detroit @ Edmonton (**) v1 (A) (9:35 pm EDT)

    ** Denotes line not available at time of post


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    Detroit is on a three game losing streak so aren't they the play?

  13. #2008
    Grinder12000
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    SO - a poll

    would you rather have a 2u play at -110 that wins 52% of the time

    OR

    a 2u play at -300 that wins 75% of the time.

    I would rather have the -300 You?

  14. #2009
    Andy3568
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    Wallco, I think you made a mistake.

    Shouldn't the #63 play be to bet on Detroit to beat Edmonton as a V2 play?

  15. #2010
    Joboarder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 59-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +38.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-6.12 units)

    (3/14/13):
    #57 Dallas (+1½) v1 (B) - Loss
    #61 Washington (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #62 Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-20
    (B) 12-7

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 10-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/15/13):
    #57 Resumes v1 (C) on 3/16/13
    #62 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/16/13
    #63 Detroit @ Edmonton (**) v1 (A) (9:35 pm EDT)

    ** Denotes line not available at time of post


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    WHY do you have#57 Dallas +1.5 last night a loss ?.....do you really play these games...seems you would know your 3 plays from the night before ?...because you even list it as moving on to a C bet on 3/16

  16. #2011
    Andy3568
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    The play was actually a M/L (see post right above that one), and it was a loss.

  17. #2012
    OFS
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joboarder View Post
    WHY do you have#57 Dallas +1.5 last night a loss ?.....do you really play these games...seems you would know your 3 plays from the night before ?...because you even list it as moving on to a C bet on 3/16
    Do you really read the rules of the chase before posting sarcastic questions? Final lines from scoresandodds means final lines.

  18. #2013
    alexknyc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post
    SO - a poll

    would you rather have a 2u play at -110 that wins 52% of the time

    OR

    a 2u play at -300 that wins 75% of the time.
    I would rather have the -300 You?
    Doing the math, on 100 plays, you wind up down 0.8 units on the -110 plays and even on the -300 plays.

  19. #2014
    Grinder12000
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    Doing the math, on 100 plays, you wind up down 0.8 units on the -110 plays and even on the -300 plays.
    Sorry - 52.4% stop being so anal! Read between the lines! You know what I was trying to say - Or at least I hope you did unless you don't know English.

    WHY do you have#57 Dallas +1.5 last night a loss ?.....do you really play these games...seems you would know your 3 plays from the night before ?.
    OBVIOUSLY - someone does not have the balls to play the games or else he would have known LOL
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-15-13 at 10:09 AM.

  20. #2015
    alexknyc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post
    Sorry - 52.4% stop being so anal! Read between the lines! You know what I was trying to say - Or at least I hope you did unless you don't know English.
    I have no idea what you were trying to say. I speak English but apparently need to brush up on my Grinder12000 English.

    In your new scenario, you're up 0.4 units after 1000 bets. It's not much but it still beats the break-even of the -300 plays.

  21. #2016
    Andy3568
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    I think the point was: If your net gains are equal, would you rather pay high juice with more wins or less juice with fewer wins?

  22. #2017
    alexknyc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andy3568 View Post
    I think the point was: If your net gains are equal, would you rather pay high juice with more wins or less juice with fewer wins?
    If my net gains are equal? I don't care which.

  23. #2018
    Grinder12000
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    I think the point was: If your net gains are equal, would you rather pay high juice with more wins or less juice with fewer wins?
    Exactly - obviously alex has no feelings.

    a 300u play at -900 and a 300u play at -110 are have absolutely zero anxiety involved.

  24. #2019
    Joboarder
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    seems to me you would be a lot better off forgetting ALL the A plays pick up the B and C plays and be done with it ...up your play lower your BR exposure ....am I wrong ?

  25. #2020
    Joboarder
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    anybody have the total numbers on the bets placed/bank roll exposure/ROI ?

  26. #2021
    Andy3568
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joboarder View Post
    seems to me you would be a lot better off forgetting ALL the A plays pick up the B and C plays and be done with it ...up your play lower your BR exposure ....am I wrong ?
    With hockey, I would think that only betting B and C plays or only betting C plays might not be as profitable as doing so in other sports since so many +1.5 bets win; you might miss out on a lot of "A" wins. But I have not tested it. I have tracked it somewhat in other sports, and IN GENERAL, what I have found is that in good seasons, playing only B's and C's, or playing only C's, is better than playing the full series provided you risk the same amount on the series in each case. However, when you have a bad season (more C losses), you take a bigger hit by not playing the whole series. This year, there have been a lot of C plays, and they have done well so far, so it might have been a good strategy this year. It might be something to backtest if I had time.

  27. #2022
    Wallco99
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2012-13 System to date: 59-1 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +38.84 unitsL(fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-6.12 units)

    (3/14/13):
    #57 Dallas (M/L) v1 (B) - Loss
    #61 Washington (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #62 Toronto (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss

    v1 Plays
    (A) 23-20
    (B) 12-7

    (C) 6-0

    v2 Plays
    (A) 10-9
    (B) 4-5

    (C) 4-1
    Losses: NJ (-20.16 u)


    Games for (3/15/13):
    #57 Resumes v1 (C) on 3/16/13
    #62 Resumes v1 (B) on 3/16/13
    #63 Detroit (M/L) @ Edmonton v2 (A) (9:35 pm EDT)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 03-15-13 at 05:13 PM.

  28. #2023
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andy3568 View Post
    Wallco, I think you made a mistake.

    Shouldn't the #63 play be to bet on Detroit to beat Edmonton as a V2 play?
    Yeah, I wrote that one down in the wrong column. Sorry for the confusion. Detroit is the play, update has been fixed.

  29. #2024
    Wallco99
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    Can people please ask questions without quoting the plays post. There is absolutely no reason the plays have to be quoted to ask a question. I have fixed the erroneous play, now since people quoted the incorrect play post, the fixed one as well as the old one are still open in the thread. Can the people who quoted the plays please delete my quoted portion from your posts, before there is any more confusion today Thanks.

  30. #2025
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joboarder View Post
    WHY do you have#57 Dallas +1.5 last night a loss ?.....do you really play these games...seems you would know your 3 plays from the night before ?...because you even list it as moving on to a C bet on 3/16
    Pay attention before acting like a jackass.

  31. #2026
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post

    OBVIOUSLY - someone does not have the balls to play the games or else he would have known LOL
    Really! Do I actually have to post my bet sheets again for that clown?

  32. #2027
    OFS
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    34/59 wins to date have been on the A bet

  33. #2028
    Grinder12000
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    Well, I had Edmonton with the PL. SHOULD have bet both.
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-16-13 at 09:16 AM.

  34. #2029
    slohar
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    Time to make the doughnuts.

    Did Wallco sleep in this morning? I'm so used to being able to log on in the morning to see the picks. I suppose I should get off of my lazy butt and figure out the wagers on my own for once.

    Nice comeback by the Red Wings last night.

  35. #2030
    Grinder12000
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    Nice comeback by the Red Wings last night.
    And nice hang on for us guys on Edmonton :-)

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