70kgman NHL 2011-2012
Have been working on a totals model that is ready to deploy. Will post plays in here. No guarantee's, but the model hypothetically looks good conceptually and mathematically to me. It is a spin off of sorts to of other successful models I have used in other sports.
ytd: 1-0 (+1.00)
10/15
New York R / New York I Under 5.5 (-125)
Ottawa / Washington Over 5.5 (-115)
Detroit / Minnesota Under 5.5 (-115)
1-2 Saturday. Screwed on a last minute empty netter in the New York game. Like this Pitt under even with Johnson as the probable starting goalie.
10/18
Pittsburgh / Minnesota Under 5.5 (-135)
10/21
Columbus / Detroit Under 5.5 (-115)
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ytd: 2-3 (-1.8 units)
10/24
Philadelphia / Toronto Over 5.5 (-125)
1P: Philadelphia / Toronto Over 1.5 (-120)
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ytd: 2-4 (-2.95 units)
Last edited by 70kgman; 10-24-11 at 02:45 PM .
10/25
Vancouver / Edmonton Under 5.5 (-140)
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ytd: 4-4 (-0.95 units)
Going to add one or two more tomorrow.
10/27
LA / Dallas Under 5 (-120)
1P: LA / Dallas Under 1.5 (-145)
Boston (-190 )
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ytd: 5-4 (+0.05 units)
Last edited by 70kgman; 10-27-11 at 05:31 PM .
Added the 1P under for the LA/Dal game. Probably will add one ML play later.
Added Boston ML. Worth laying the juice in this spot imo.
10/29
TB/Winnipeg Over 5.5 (-130)
1P: TB/Winnipeg Over 1.5 (-120)
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ytd:
1P/Game totals model : 6-5 (-0.10 units)
ML : 0-1 (-1.90 units)