1. #281
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    Why not take MIN and NASH winning margin 1 and 2, (4 possible combos, Bet 365). Obviously the values down a bit, but the increased win rate would be worh it, no?
    Preds to win by 1 is at +225
    Preds to win by 2 is at +450
    Min to win by 1 is at +250
    min to win by 2 is +550

    interesting thinking......problem is that if they win by 3 or more its a shot ticket. I know the likelyhood of a win by 1 or 2 is there...but we would have to have em both hit at least win by 1 in order to yield a profit.......
    if one of em loses, it would be a loss. hmm.....this might be worth looking into further......

    maybe a play for now to see how it goes

    $2.50 Preds to win by 1 is at +225
    $2.50 Preds to win by 2 is at +450
    $2.50 Min to win by 1 is at +250
    $2.50 Min to win by 2 is +550


    Lets hit em!

  2. #282
    Deol
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    I meant a parlay like this: (so they both have to win and not by more than 2). I would only do this with a few teams in the NHL. First I have to think they are gonna win, and then obviously they have to be a low scoring team (NASH/MIN/CLB/EDM/FLA etc)

    NASH wm1 MIN wm1 (+1040)
    NASH wm 2 MIN wm1 (+1825)
    NASH wm 1 MIN wm 2 (+2025)
    NASH wm 2 MIN wm2 (+3500)

    Either way, GL

  3. #283
    pickemtowinem
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    UFC FIGHT CARD FOR TONIGHT:

    $10 Bader (-400) + dos anjos (+150) + kampmann (+110) + cung le (-188)
    $50 kung le (-188)
    $25 dos anjos (+150)
    $25 kampmann (+110)

    Lets get ready to rumble!!!
    Last edited by pickemtowinem; 11-19-11 at 04:33 PM. Reason: corrected typo/forgot line on fight

  4. #284
    pickemtowinem
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    $10 in game live flyers ml (+1650) (why not!??!?)

  5. #285
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    I meant a parlay like this: (so they both have to win and not by more than 2). I would only do this with a few teams in the NHL. First I have to think they are gonna win, and then obviously they have to be a low scoring team (NASH/MIN/CLB/EDM/FLA etc)

    NASH wm1 MIN wm1 (+1040)
    NASH wm 2 MIN wm1 (+1825)
    NASH wm 1 MIN wm 2 (+2025)
    NASH wm 2 MIN wm2 (+3500)

    Either way, GL
    sick. i never tried to parlay these before. maybe i'll look at this scheme tomorrow afternoon! thanks man!

    get em!

  6. #286
    pickemtowinem
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    I somehow forgot to add this play to the list: my bad. all excited for Kung Le's UFC debut. This kid is an animal.


    $10 blues/wild u6 (-240) + cjb/nash u6 (-200) + pits/fla u6.5 (-260) + oil/blackhawks o4.5 (-250)

  7. #287
    pickemtowinem
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    $33 In game live o5.5 (-110) Bruins/Islanders

  8. #288
    leafs_ducks
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    Good Call on the over in bos/nyi! Go Preds Go!

  9. #289
    pickemtowinem
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    $7.50 det/la o4 (-375) + buf/phx o4.5 (-260) + wash/tor o4.5 (-320) + bos/nyi o4.5 (-275) + cbj/nas o4 (-375) WIN $22.32
    $7.50 det/la u6 (-205) + wash/tor u6.5 (-185) + nyr/mon o4 (-320) + pits/fla o4.5 (-240) + njd/tb u6.5 (-270) LOSS
    $7.50caps -1.5 (+195) + nyi +1.5 (-225) + phx +1.5 (-275) + pred -1.5 (+145) LOSS
    $15 Preds -1.5 (+145) LOSS
    $15 Preds ml (-210) + u5 (+125) LOSS
    $15 Preds ml (-210) + o5 (-145) LOSS
    $7.50 min/stl u5 (+100) + sjs/dal o5.5 (-105) + was ml (-150) + pits ml (-125) LOSS
    $7.50 kings ml (-120) + phx ml (+105) + nash ml (-210) + sharks ml (-150) LOSS
    $15 Capitals -1.5 (+195) LOSS
    $15 caps ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110) LOSS
    $15 caps ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110) LOSS
    $7.50 det ml (+100) + njd ml (+110) + min ml (+100) WIN $55.50
    $7.50 oilers ml (+120) + devils +1.5 (-270) + leafs +1.5 (-235) + sharks ml (-150) win $46.22
    $7.50 lak/det o5 (-140) + phx/buf o5.5 (+110) + bos/nyi o5.5 (+105) + min ml (+100) WIN $57.07 (push on kings game lowered payout from $103.20)
    $5 Final score Preds win 4-1 (+1000) LOSS
    $5 Final score Preds win 4-2 (+1400) LOSS
    $5 Final score Preds win 5-1 (+2500) LOSS
    $5 Final score Min win 3-1 (+1200) LOSS
    $5 Final score Min win 3-2 (+650) WIN $32.50
    $7.50 Leafs ml (+130) + Nash ml (-210) + sharks ml (-150) + devils +1.5 (-270) + nry/mon o5 (-125) LOSS
    $55 in game live flyers/jets o8.5 (-150) WIN $33.33
    $2.50 Preds to win by 1 (+225) LOSS
    $2.50 Preds to win by 2 (+450) LOSS
    $2.50 Min to win by 1 (+250) WIN $6.25
    $2.50 Min to win by 2 (+550) LOSS
    $10 in game live flyers ml (+1650) LOSS
    $10 blues/wild u6 (-240) + cjb/nash u6 (-200) + pits/fla u6.5 (-260) + oil/blackhawks o4.5 (-250) LOSS
    $33 In game live o5.5 (-110) Bruins/Islanders WIN $30

    Risk $300.50
    Get back: $408.69
    Profit: $108.19

    NHL SEASON:
    -$630.60

  10. #290
    pickemtowinem
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    $75 salami o22.5
    $25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Redwings/Ducks o5.5 (+110)
    $25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Leafs/Hurricanes o5.5 (-110)
    $10 Hurricanes -1.5 (+190)
    $10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110)
    $10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110)

    $10 Sharks -1.5 (+215)
    $10 Sharks ml (-140) + o5.5 (-120)
    $10 Sharks ml (-140) + u5.5 (+100)

    $10 sharks ml (-140) + leafs/hurricanes o5.5 (-110) + ducks ml (+100)
    $15 Leafs/Hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + sharks/avalanche o4.5 (-350) + rewings/ducks o4.5 (-260) + sens/canucks u6.5 (-175)

    LETS HAVE A GOOD DAY.
    GOOD LUCK TO YOU ALL!

    sorry for the ufc picks not panning out. Kung Le while entertaining, could not stay away from the axe murderer and lost a entertaining fight. Bader and Kampmann did their jobs. ah well, good card!

    onwards!

  11. #291
    pickemtowinem
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    $75 salami o22.5 LOSS

    $25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Redwings/Ducks o5.5 (+110) LOSS
    $25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Leafs/Hurricanes o5.5 (-110) LOSS

    $10 Hurricanes -1.5 (+190) LOSS
    $10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110) LOSS
    $10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110) WIN $21.81

    $10 Sharks -1.5 (+215) WIN $21.50
    $10 Sharks ml (-140) + o5.5 (-120)
    $10 Sharks ml (-140) + u5.5 (+100) WIN $24.28

    $10 sharks ml (-140) + leafs/hurricanes o5.5 (-110) + ducks ml (+100)
    $15 Leafs/Hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + sharks/avalanche o4.5 (-350) + redwings/ducks o4.5 (-260) + sens/canucks u6.5 (-175) WIN $40.07

    Risk $210
    Get Back: $152.66
    net loss -$57.34

    NHL SEASON:
    -$687.94

    This horrible day in NFL was the worst I have seen all season. This night in the NHL could have been profitable had I stayed away from the salami. ergh!

    Back at it tomorrow.....and I am in love with the card. for now.

  12. #292
    pickemtowinem
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    Lets start the love fest:

    $25 Flames/Bluejackets u6.5 (-230) + Pits/Nyi o4.5 (-300) + Caps/Coyotes o4.5 (-250)

    $25 Stars -1.5 (+215)
    $25 Stars ml (-140) + o5.5 (+125)
    $25 Stars ml (-140) + u5.5 (-145)

    $25 Islanders -1 (+340) (Additional Puckline)
    $25 Islanders ml (+200) + o5.5 (-105)
    $25 Islanders ml (+200) + u5.5 (-115)

    $25 Flyers -1.5 (+140)
    $25 Flyers ml (-210) + o6 (+120)
    $25 Flyers ml (-210) + u6 (-140)

    $25 Capitals -1.5 (+220)
    $25 Capitals ml (-150) + o5.5 (+115)
    $25 Capitals ml (-150) + u5.5 (-135)

    $10 stars -1.5 (+215) + caps -1.5 (+215) + flyers ml (-210)

    $5 Final Score Pits win 4-3 (+900)
    $5 Final Score islanders win 4-3 (+1100)
    $5 Final Score Devils win 3-2 (+650)
    $5 Final Score Panthers win 3-2 (+650)
    $5 Final Score Philly/Carolina any other score (any team scores 7 goals and it cashes)

    $7.50 Flyers ml (-210) + Habs +1.5 (-240) + islanders +1.5 (-145) + devils +1.5 (-270)
    $7.50 Flyers ML (-210) + Devils +1.5 (-270) + islanders +1.5 (-145)
    $7.50 Islanders ml (+200) + Flyers -1.5 (+140)
    $7.50 Hurricanes ML (+175) + Oilers +1.5 (-260) + caps ml (-150) + devils ml (+105)
    $15 Panthers -1.5 (+220) + Bluejackets +1.5 (-310) + Stars -1.5 (+215)

    lucky Angel?


  13. #293
    pickemtowinem
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    adding one more: im going to chase the salami over until it hits.

    $165 Salami o38.5 (-110)
    Last edited by pickemtowinem; 11-21-11 at 04:37 PM. Reason: forgot price -110 added.

  14. #294
    pickemtowinem
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    Close on a few combinations, but close don't cut it:

    results:

    $25 Flames/Bluejackets u6.5 (-230) + Pits/Nyi o4.5 (-300) + Caps/Coyotes o4.5 (-250) WIN $41.95

    $25 Stars -1.5 (+215) WIN $53.75
    $25 Stars ml (-140) + o5.5 (+125) LOSS
    $25 Stars ml (-140) + u5.5 (-145) WIN $47.41

    $25 Islanders -1 (+340) (Additional Puckline) LOSS
    $25 Islanders ml (+200) + o5.5 (-105) LOSS
    $25 Islanders ml (+200) + u5.5 (-115) LOSS

    $25 Flyers -1.5 (+140) LOSS
    $25 Flyers ml (-210) + o6 (+120) LOSS
    $25 Flyers ml (-210) + u6 (-140) LOSS

    $25 Capitals -1.5 (+220) LOSS
    $25 Capitals ml (-150) + o5.5 (+115) WIN $64.58
    $25 Capitals ml (-150) + u5.5 (-135) LOSS

    $10 stars -1.5 (+215) + caps -1.5 (+215) + flyers ml (-210) LOSS

    $5 Final Score Pits win 4-3 (+900) LOSS
    $5 Final Score islanders win 4-3 (+1100) LOSS
    $5 Final Score Devils win 3-2 (+650) LOSS
    $5 Final Score Panthers win 3-2 (+650) LOSS
    $5 Final Score Philly/Carolina any other score (any team scores 7 goals and it cashes) LOSS

    $7.50 Flyers ml (-210) + Habs +1.5 (-240) + islanders +1.5 (-145) + devils +1.5 (-270) LOSS
    $7.50 Flyers ML (-210) + Devils +1.5 (-270) + islanders +1.5 (-145) LOSS
    $7.50 Islanders ml (+200) + Flyers -1.5 (+140) LOSS
    $7.50 Hurricanes ML (+175) + Oilers +1.5 (-260) + caps ml (-150) + devils ml (+105) LOSS
    $15 Panthers -1.5 (+220) + Bluejackets +1.5 (-310) + Stars -1.5 (+215) LOSS

    $165 Salami o38.5 (-110): LOSS

    Risk $570
    Get Back: $307.69
    Net loss: $262.31

    NHL SEASON:
    -$950.25

  15. #295
    pickemtowinem
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    $75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333)
    $346.50 salami O16.5 (-105)
    $25 leafs ml (+145)
    $25 kings ml (+110)
    $25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130)



    This salami chase is starting to hurt........

  16. #296
    leafs_ducks
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    Been a hard weekend on us both. Lets get them today!

  17. #297
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by leafs_ducks View Post
    Been a hard weekend on us both. Lets get them today!
    Amen.

  18. #298
    pickemtowinem
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    Adding:

    $25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280)

  19. #299
    pickemtowinem
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    all NHL plays for tonight:

    $75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333)
    $346.50 salami O16.5 (-105)
    $25 leafs ml (+145)
    $25 kings ml (+110)
    $25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130)
    $25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280)

    Adding:

    $25 Kings/Blues to OT (+250)
    $25 Leafs/Lightning to OT (+300)
    $25 Oilers/Predators to OT (+275)

    get some.

  20. #300
    JuniorAnalyst
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    i cant see any overtime games tonight

  21. #301
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by JuniorAnalyst View Post
    i cant see any overtime games tonight
    I need Leafs and lightning to net me 11 more goals this game. lets go 8-7 leafs in OT!!

  22. #302
    Ryencee
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    you cleaned up tonight! GJ

  23. #303
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ryencee View Post
    you cleaned up tonight! GJ
    Was sweating' for a good bit there.
    Now we chase the salami under.

    $75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333) WIN$92.64
    $346.50 salami O16.5 (-105) WIN $330
    $25 leafs ml (+145) WIN $36.25
    $25 kings ml (+110) to WIN $27.50
    $25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130) LOSS
    $25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280) WIN $53.40
    $25 Kings/Blues to OT (+250) LOSS
    $25 Leafs/Lightning to OT (+300) LOSS
    $25 Oilers/Predators to OT (+275) LOSS

    Risk $596.50
    Get Back: $1038.29
    Profit $441.79

    NHL SEASON:
    -$508.46

  24. #304
    pickemtowinem
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    time to get er' goin'.

    $75 Salami u71 (+100)
    $15 Sharks ml (-140) + Bruins ml (-120) + preds/wild o5 (-110)
    $15 Ducks ml (+120) + Flames ml (+115)
    $15 Stars ml (-105) + Sharks ml (-140) + wings/flames o5.5 (+115)
    $25 Devils/bluejackets u6 (-205) + habs/hurricanes u6 (-205) + flames/redwings o4.5 (-250) + sabers/bruins u6.5 (-230)
    $15 Devils/bluejackets u5 (-120) + devils ml (-165) + stars ml (-105) + sharks ml (-140)
    $15 flames/wings o5.5 (+115) + Preds/wild o5 (-110) + Panthers/rangers o5.5 (-120)


    maybe more later...maybe not.
    Last edited by pickemtowinem; 11-23-11 at 07:45 PM. Reason: edit: panthers rangers not panthers caps bolded

  25. #305
    leafs_ducks
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    i haven't looked at any of the games yet. GL tonight!

  26. #306
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by leafs_ducks View Post
    i haven't looked at any of the games yet. GL tonight!
    Thanks man. Looks tougher than it appears tonight. I think so at least.
    Good luck to you as well!


  27. #307
    pickemtowinem
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    just some interesting #'s on public money and where it was going tonight:. (according to- twominutewarning dot com as of 6:57pm)

    54% on Boston
    58% on Devils
    80% on Flyers
    85% on Pittsburgh
    62% on Washington
    56% on Montreal
    72% on Detroit
    69% on Rangers
    60% on Minnesota
    51% on Dallas
    51% on Phoenix
    76% on Vancouver
    51% on Chicago

    So, if you are someone who goes against the public often, tonight you would be rooting for:

    sabers
    Bluejackets
    islanders
    blues
    jets
    hurricanes
    flames
    panthers
    predators
    kings
    ducks
    avalanche
    sanjose

    im posting these just so i can follow how fading the public plays actually work out if this is a strategy that one would employ for making wagers.
    I have no idea as to how money factors into NHL, its not like the NFL and NBA where it's blatant and sways the outcome of the games, at least I don't think so.....but I guess this might be one thing to look at....

    going to track for the sake of seeing if this is effective and to see if there are possibly any trends to look for with percentages vs outcomes and so forth. anyone wanting to chime in on this with any feedback, be it positive or negative, please do so...id like to hear what your thoughts are on this. have you already done this? can you send me some info on this if you have already done it?

    please and thanks!!

    pickem'

  28. #308
    pickemtowinem
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    $30 in game live philly/islanders o7.5 (-135)

  29. #309
    pickemtowinem
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    Late game:

    $15 Predators ml (-105)
    $15 Ducks ml (+120)
    $15 avalanche ml (+120)
    $15 blackhawks ml (+120).

    $7.50 preds ml (-105) + blackhawks ml (+120)
    $7.50 avalanche ml (+120) + ducks ml (+120)
    $7.50 preds ml (-105) + avalanche ml (+120)
    $7.50 blackhawks ml (+120) + avalanche ml (+120)

  30. #310
    pickemtowinem
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    would have been nice without the late plays. damn stupid.....

    $75 Salami u71 (+100) WIN $75
    $15 Sharks ml (-140) + Bruins ml (-120) + preds/wild o5 (-110) WIN $32.14 (push lowered payout)
    $15 Ducks ml (+120) + Flames ml (+115) LOSS
    $15 Stars ml (-105) + Sharks ml (-140) + wings/flames o5.5 (+115) WIN $92.93
    $25 Devils/bluejackets u6 (-205) + habs/hurricanes u6 (-205) + flames/redwings o4.5 (-250) + sabers/bruins u6.5 (-230) LOSS
    $15 Devils/bluejackets u5 (-120) + devils ml (-165) + stars ml (-105) + sharks ml (-140) WIN $132.82
    $15 flames/wings o5.5 (+115) + Preds/wild o5 (-110) + Panthers/rangers o5.5 (-120) LOSS
    $30 in game live philly/islanders o7.5 (-135) LOSS
    $15 Predators ml (-105) LOSS
    $15 Ducks ml (+120) LOSS
    $15 avalanche ml (+120) LOSS
    $15 blackhawks ml (+120). LOSS

    $7.50 preds ml (-105) + blackhawks ml (+120) LOSS
    $7.50 avalanche ml (+120) + ducks ml (+120) LOSS
    $7.50 preds ml (-105) + avalanche ml (+120) LOSS
    $7.50 blackhawks ml (+120) + avalanche ml (+120) LOSS

    Risk $295
    Get Back 452.89
    Profit: $157.89

    NHL SEASON:
    -$350.57
    Last edited by pickemtowinem; 11-24-11 at 01:03 AM. Reason: forgot to add totals and season update.

  31. #311
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by pickemtowinem View Post
    just some interesting #'s on public money and where it was going tonight:. (according to- twominutewarning dot com as of 6:57pm)

    54% on Boston WIN
    58% on Devils WIN
    80% on Flyers LOSS
    85% on Pittsburgh LOSS
    62% on Washington WIN
    56% on Montreal WIN
    72% on Detroit WIN
    69% on Rangers LOSS
    60% on Minnesota WIN
    51% on Dallas WIN
    51% on Phoenix WIN
    76% on Vancouver WIN
    51% on Chicago LOSS


    Public Money wins' 9 of 13 games tonight.

  32. #312
    leafs_ducks
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    nice job coming back

  33. #313
    pickemtowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by leafs_ducks View Post
    nice job coming back
    Thanks buddy. not quite out of that hole yet.....but if i can get back to even by months end......Dec usually brings xmas cash.
    Lets get er done!!!!

  34. #314
    leafs_ducks
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    a week left till December! you can do it!

  35. #315
    pickemtowinem
    a.k.a. Dr.Money
    pickemtowinem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-03-11
    Posts: 1,446

    $50 Salami u72.5 (-105)
    $50 Redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100)
    $50 Devils/Islanders o5 (-140)
    $75 Oilers/Wild o5 (-110)

    $20 Wild/Oilers o5 (-110) + redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100)
    $20 Wild/oilers o5 (-110) + sabers -1.5 (+210)
    $20 Panthers/Lightning u5.5 (-110) + sabers ml (-135)
    $20 redwings/bruins o4.5 (-280) + habs/flyers o4.5 (-320) + oilers/wild o4 (-280) + sabers/bluejackets o4.5 (-300) + tampa/panthers u6.5 (-185)
    $10 Islanders ml (+105) + Oilers ml (+120) + Leafs ml (+110)

    Might have more later, might not. busy day.

    good luck to YOU and YOU and YOU!!

    GET EM!

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