I have been using the pythagorean/log5 formulas for capping the NBA and I get a win percentage for each team, which I can convert to a moneyline. My main problem is that I am trying to incorporate injuries and rest into the formulas (which are used most easily through a plus/minus rating).
Does anyone know a way to either convert my win percentages into a spread or convert my win percentages into a predicted score so I can accurately incorporate injuries and rest? If I could convert it to a spread, then I would be able to make my formulas more accurate including injuries and rest.
I know there is the calculator on SBR, but I would like a formula so I can just enter it into excel instead of going through the website everytime.
Thanks