[illfuuptn]

I have hit hockey totals at a rate of 58% this year at an average line of -106. Bookmaker obviously reacts when I place my bets for hockey. The line almost always moves 5 or 10 points. My question is:why don't they move it way more?

For example: if a line starts at 05.5 -110 u5.5 -110 and I bet, shouldn't they move the line to about -135 on the side I bet to more accurately match my 58% instead of only moving it to -115 or-120 as they typically do?

[Justin7]

There are two likely causes I know (and more I don't).
1. How big is your sample size? Maybe you're likely to hit 55%, so the market is reflecting a 10-cent move, because
2. The right side usually never gets "all the way there". sharps pass on 52% plays at -110... So yes, it should move 10 cents, but it doesn't due to market inefficiency.

[Tuna Fish Riot]

lol, your thread title is so penis.

[yisman]

This is complete nonsense.

[illfuuptn]

There are two likely causes I know (and more I don't).
1. How big is your sample size? Maybe you're likely to hit 55%, so the market is reflecting a 10-cent move, because
2. The right side usually never gets "all the way there". sharps pass on 52% plays at -110... So yes, it should move 10 cents, but it doesn't due to market inefficiency.

Good points

[Cookie Monster]

If they move the line too much, they could be an easy target for line manipulation.

Besides "this year" is a sample too small, only 7 days