[Poogs]

In your book you write that the minimum spread to total ratio for a parlay to be profitable is 2.7. What would be the number for a half time line? What about 2h?

[Justin7]

Sorry, Poogs. You'll have to figure that out yourself

[mminkovski]

Poogs, you can do some backtesting for NCAAF. It's not a hard task, just need a good database

[wrongturn]

The reason for Justin's response is in page 201 of his book.

[coinpusha]

Hey guys, quick question. Is it possible to win long term betting 2 and 3 leg parlays? During NCAAB, I usually only bet 1st and 2nd halves, parlaying totals and spreads(correlated) for the same game. Last season, I placed 325 2 leg parlays, hitting 31%, my 3 leg parlays were about 12%. I'm trying to learn, and I'm getting better at the math behind it, but a "sharp" told me that I'm throwing away money(eventhough I was up at the end of the year), saying I would've made more doing straight bets. He didn't really elaborate on his reasoning.

I really don't use Kelly or any other methods to determine my bet amount, I usually for my 2 team parlays bet 2% of my bankroll. Anything thoughts/suggestions on how to "reorganize" my parlay bets into straight bets to make more profit.

Thanks, sorry if my post is sorta confusing.

[Peregrine Stoop]

if the bets are correlated, you should be parlaying them

[coinpusha]

ok, thanks