1. #1
    Justin7
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    Hypothetical wager

    If you have the opportunity to bet every single college football dog, getting 8 extra points but laying -240, would you?

    Same thing for favorites. Would you lay -240 to buy 8 points on favs? You can choose to not cross the "0" with the point buying... pass on all favs of 7.5 or less (or any other cutoff you choose).

  2. #2
    xyz
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    Using the half point calculator, it seems like there is value in taking -240 to buy 8 points on the favorite when the spread is around 10 points. There are probably other spreads that would work. But crossing key numbers like 10, 7, and 3 seems valuable.
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  3. #3
    Toples
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    yea there's value in those bets, but where can you get those odds???

  4. #4
    RickySteve
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    Not blindly profitable, but many good spots.

    Quote Originally Posted by xyz View Post
    Using the half point calculator, it seems like there is value in taking -240 to buy 8 points on the favorite when the spread is around 10 points. There are probably other spreads that would work. But crossing key numbers like 10, 7, and 3 seems valuable.
    You're doing it wrong.

  5. #5
    Cookie Monster
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    And you must parlay 2 bets or more... it is called teaser / pleaser

  6. #6
    trixtrix
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cookie Monster View Post
    And you must parlay 2 bets or more... it is called teaser / pleaser
    you get 8pts in a +100 teaser?? where?

  7. #7
    wrongturn
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    quick, somebody run a database query to see if 71+% of games covers the spread plus 8 points. if they do, the answer is yes, otherwise no.

  8. #8
    CHUBNUT
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    People need to understand odds like these quoted are across the board and literally hypothetical like most questions on here. In reality there's a good chance you will hit a bad run and go skint as you will not be getting the best of it on a regular basis. When are posters like Austin 7 going to give real life situations where prices move before you know it and betting stale lines mean discontinued accounts.

  9. #9
    HedgeHog
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    There's definitely value if you can pick your spots. For example, taking dogs of +2.5 and favs of -10.5, an 8pt buy has fair value of -300 if my math is right.

    PS Betting all games at -240 with the 8 points would be -ev.
    Last edited by HedgeHog; 09-14-10 at 06:02 PM.
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  10. #10
    Nomadik
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    No...

  11. #11
    HedgeHog
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    [quote=Justin7;6315093]If you have the opportunity to bet every single college football dog, getting 8 extra points but laying -240, would you?

    Same thing for favorites. Would you lay -240 to buy 8 points on favs? You can choose to not cross the "0" with the point buying... pass on all favs of 7.5 or less (or any other cutoff you choose).[/quote]

    I choose to only bet 2.5 dogs and 10.5 favs. How would I do at the 8pt buy for -240?

  12. #12
    Justin7
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    I think at 8.5, it becomes profitable to bet all of them. But at 8, the ones ID'ed by Hedgehog work well.

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