1. #1
    Rich Boy
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    Join Date: 02-01-09
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    Fai price on team hits, fair assumption?

    Say the team total for a game is

    Over 4 -110
    Under 4 -110

    Also assume that historically Hits/Run = 1.95 (ie. it takes 1.95 hits per run on average)

    Couldnt you just multiply 4 * 1.95 = 7.8

    7.8 hits would be the expected average for this team, no?

  2. #2
    donjuan
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    Keep in mind a team total of 4 (with even payout odds on each side) doesn't translate to an expected total of 4 runs as the team total is a median, not a mean.

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