1. 04-12-10 10:22 PM #1
    rfr3sh
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    MLB +200 teams

    Anyone know how many games a year have a team valued at over +200, and how many times they win?
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  2. 04-18-10 01:54 AM #2
    rfr3sh
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    maybe ill rephrase, does anyone know where I would be able to find the old lines to check these stats for myself
    or if someone has them and is willing to share that would be appreciated
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  3. 04-18-10 04:30 AM #3
    skrtelfan
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    Read the other posts from the last few days take the big favorite -140 and preferably -1.5 -120 that's the road to riches.
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  4. 04-18-10 07:21 AM #4
    ljump12
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    Quote Originally Posted by skrtelfan View Post
    Read the other posts from the last few days take the big favorite -140 and preferably -1.5 -120 that's the road to riches.
    Dur. No

    You can find historical team lines on SBR, which you could then copy and paste into excel, and do some math that way. I suspect you'll find no one area that stands out as more profitable than others. Even if you do, I would then test that against more previous years to see if it holds up.
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  5. 04-18-10 01:35 PM #5
    Sawyer
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    If you blindly play all +200 dogs in hockey, you make profit on the long run. (for last 5 seasons)
    However, I'm not sure about baseball. It may be profitable during September and April but I don't have numbers for that. I'm not sure.
    Favs are winning a lot during July&Aug..
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  6. 04-18-10 04:45 PM #6
    Justin7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
    If you blindly play all +200 dogs in hockey, you make profit on the long run. (for last 5 seasons)
    I bet you they won't make money next season.
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  7. 04-18-10 05:39 PM #7
    rfr3sh
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    i was not / am not planning on blindy betting +200 dogs
    just a question of curiosity
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  8. 04-18-10 05:55 PM #8
    Peeig
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    People with databases will know, but might not share............do some research and see.
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  9. 04-18-10 06:20 PM #9
    Thremp
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    long ago this and home dogs were printing money. You don't see faves as heavily favored though anymore and like all undervalued historical subsets you have the fundamental issue of only knowing when its no longer undervalued via a nice large sample of losing wagers.
    Points Awarded:

    Justin7 gave Thremp 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  10. 04-19-10 05:49 AM #10
    betyuda
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    there are difficulties winning with plus 200 numbers in the mlb, but i believe you only need to win about 32% of the time to make a profit which is incredible in comparison because at a even line you need up to 53-54% to make a profit. I m sure there are those making profits from betting the extreme underdogs in the mlb.
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  11. 04-19-10 07:14 AM #11
    Sawyer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    I bet you they won't make money next season.
    A friend of mine said same words 3 seasons ago.
    +200 dogs produced 35 units (betting 1 unit per game) that season

    +200 Dogs in NHL

    2005 = +24.8 units
    2006 = +12.8 units
    2007 = +35.2 units

    Prejudice is not a good thing Justy. What makes you think they won't make money next season, do you have a crsytall ball? I'll get your 10k betpoints if they make money next season Justy, LoL!
    Last edited by Sawyer; 04-19-10 at 07:19 AM.
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  12. 04-19-10 09:37 AM #12
    Thremp
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    Quote Originally Posted by betyuda View Post
    there are difficulties winning with plus 200 numbers in the mlb, but i believe you only need to win about 32% of the time to make a profit which is incredible in comparison because at a even line you need up to 53-54% to make a profit. I m sure there are those making profits from betting the extreme underdogs in the mlb.
    Math fail.
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  13. 04-19-10 10:06 AM #13
    will2survive
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    hmmmm+ 200---sounds like an idea
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  14. 04-19-10 10:07 AM #14
    will2survive
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    I could see how it would work with hockey
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  15. 04-19-10 03:39 PM #15
    wantitall4moi
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    Without getting too specific +200 or more dogs (average +236) are 203-513. Thats from a total of almost 15K games, so roughly 100 games a year will see +200 or higher dogs.
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  16. 04-19-10 05:47 PM #16
    bachngocduong
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thremp View Post
    Math fail.
    Math fail but maybe he right
    lost 68 won 64 but Ml 200++++++++
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  17. 04-19-10 06:18 PM #17
    skrtelfan
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    Per Statfox's lines, there were 117 +200 dogs last year, all away, and betting all of them would have yielded a loss of 6 units.
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