1. #36
    HeeeHAWWWW
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    I look at money line odds. Bet the ML fav of the day. Let the books do the work for you.

  2. #37
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeeHAWWWW View Post
    19 ML fav of the day wins in a row this month? 22-3 so far? Don't hurt your head.

  3. #38
    bozeman
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    ask pimike how to do it - if anyone here knew they would leave the forum

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  4. #39
    TheMoneyShot
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    Almost willing to offer $100 to any of these posters... to post all your plays.... NO LIVE WAGERING.... and show me that you're PLUS at the end of the year...

    I guarantee you I'll still have my $100 in my pocket.

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  5. #40
    bozeman
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    kid aint lying - it is 22-3 - average odd -220/-230

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  6. #41
    Waterstpub87
    Life-Style Arbitrage
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    A 25 sample size is nothing. At one bet a day, call it 180 bets in a year, you would need to do this for like 10 years to have a decent sample size to know for sure.

    Rkelly110 is a good dude. I hope he continues to win. But I doubt laying the largest favorite less than -200 each day is the holy grail and will profit long term. I would never tell anyone how to bet their money.
    Last edited by Waterstpub87; 05-25-17 at 05:46 PM.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/09/2017

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  7. #42
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Almost willing to offer $100 to any of these posters... to post all your plays.... NO LIVE WAGERING.... and show me that you're PLUS at the end of the year...

    I guarantee you I'll still have my $100 in my pocket.
    I finished +93 units here in the forum two years ago and in a bad year last season, still managed to finish +5. Entered today -1 unit this season, let's see how the rest of the year goes.

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  8. #43
    bozeman
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    waterstpub i agree one shouldnt pick games just by odds comparison to other games played that day i think its in the line for resullts to even out eventually by the end of the season - i was just surprised there hasnt been more upsets - i bet houston under 4.5 runs yesterday and houston totally blew the game3-6 - glanced at who was the fav at -180

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  9. #44
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    A 25 sample size is nothing. At one bet a day, call it 180 bets in a year, you would need to do this for like 10 years to have a decent sample size to know for sure.

    Rkelly110 is a good dude. I hope he continues to win. But I doubt laying the largest favorite less than -200 each day is the holy grail and will profit long term. I would never tell anyone how to bet their money.
    Thanks man. I do have 5 years of records. MLB is consistently over 60%

    It's not all fun and games. While this month is doing good, last month sucked. 13-16

  10. #45
    bozeman
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    rkelly - dont u think 60 percent is a bit too low hit percetntage for the biggest fav of the day?

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  11. #46
    bozeman
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    Baseball
    Money Line

    MLB
    Game

    5/25/2017 16:41

    Detroit Tigers
    J. Verlander must start.
    -vs-
    Houston Astros
    M. Fiers must start.

    Detroit Tigers
    @ 2.070 D
    Risk: CAD 100.00
    Win: CAD 107.00

    ID: 729662927
    Pending


    Baseball: Texas Rangers -vs- Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox Under 2.5 @ 2.180 D
    Risk: CAD 100.00
    Win: CAD 118.00

    Pending


    Baseball: San Diego Padres -vs- New York Mets
    San Diego Padres Over 4 @ 2.020 D
    Risk: CAD 100.00
    Win: CAD 102.00


    here's what i bet based on battors vs pitchers compatability

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  12. #47
    chopperocker
    Hang on baby, cuz life's a BITCH!!!
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    random # generator, looks like tomorrow i'm on Rotation #904 Pittsburgh Pirates
    Points Awarded:

    bubbabubba gave chopperocker 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  13. #48
    oilcountry99
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    Quote Originally Posted by chopperocker View Post


    random # generator, looks like tomorrow i'm on Rotation #904 Pittsburgh Pirates
    Awesome!

  14. #49
    HeeeHAWWWW
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    19 ML fav of the day wins in a row this month? 22-3 so far? Don't hurt your head.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance

  15. #50
    tsty
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    17092 posts and still has no idea lol

  16. #51
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeeHAWWWW View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tsty View Post
    17092 posts and still has no idea lol
    I put myself out there. Where are your strategies? I'm plus units, have been the last 5 years in MLB.
    What do you got? Put up or shut up. Simple.

  17. #52
    grey area
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    Like rkelly style

  18. #53
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    This means there are only bets of -222 or higher triggered?



    At -222, a bettor needs to hit about 69% of the bets to break even. If that price is a minimum, you’re breakeven is much higher than the percentages above.

    This seems to be a losing proposition, or am I missing something?

    Keep an eye on break even points when betting moneylines, win percentages are near meaningless.

    Listen to this guy and listen closely. He is one of the very few that knows how to win long term.

  19. #54
    stevenash
    OK, Philly isn't going to win 67.5 games
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Rule 1 for you to learn how to handicap MLB....Ignore this whole post
    You'll be in good shape already
    Rule two, fade this jackass, saves you hours of paperwork.
    Guy is still buried from 2015 with the Mets.

  20. #55
    SBRMAN23
    Be humble sit down
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    Check stats weather lineups then flip a coin

    SBR Bash
    Punta Cana
    Attendee 1/31/2015


  21. #56
    BennyBigNuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Rule two, fade this jackass, saves you hours of paperwork.
    Guy is still buried from 2015 with the Mets.
    Yeah, that's why I have a group and you're still stuck on here writing essays, giving out losers while saying "I was on the right side though, the stats told me so", and porking that grotesque pig of a wife.
    Truth hurts brother.
    Last edited by BennyBigNuts; 05-29-17 at 05:48 PM.

  22. #57
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    KVB... been on this site for many years. A lot of posters have come and gone... Not one poster has ever been + money at the end of the season wagering baseball. So why wager it? Clearly isn't beatable.
    not true Tim...I finished 21 - 6 last year in my "Nail it, Pound it" plays for MLB...finished (+15 units) on the year...all validated and verified here on SBR...I played only totals and looked for certain numbers and applied my handicapping techniques to see if there was a good probability that wager would hit...i'm gonna start playing bases consistently real soon so be on the lookout for my "nail it, pound it" plays!...

  23. #58
    RisingDough
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    Think

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