1. #1
    TPowell
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    Spread/Moneyline Converter for NFL?

    Looks a little off. A 10 point favorite should be -700? That doesn't seem right. Have looked around and it looks way off. Anybody else?

  2. #2

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    That is what TPowell is looking at. And I agree that -700 seems awfully high.

  4. #4
    Cookie Monster
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    It is not broken. Just has the setting of keeping the same EV on moneyline and spread (-4.55% at -110). Sportsbooks have smaller hold on MLs, so you will not find -700/+480 lines, more like -620/+490. So, just input reduced juice on the spread (like -106 or less, depending on the spread).

  5. #5
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    That is what TPowell is looking at. And I agree that -700 seems awfully high.
    Ahhh, I see. He's making a good point then because Atlanta is -550 this week.

  6. #6
    TPowell
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    anybody have an explanation?

  7. #7
    bubblebuttluv
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    Here's a good one:

    http://www.sportility.net/nfl/moneyline_points.html

    And no, I don't have an explanation for SBR's converter.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    anybody have an explanation?
    Quote Originally Posted by bubblebuttluv View Post
    Here's a good one:

    http://www.sportility.net/nfl/moneyline_points.html

    And no, I don't have an explanation for SBR's converter.
    Cookie Monster explained it perfectly, the SBR converter is computing straight 4.55% hold across the board, while in the real world the hold percentage gets lower as the odds go up.

  9. #9
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Cookie Monster explained it perfectly, the SBR converter is computing straight 4.55% hold across the board, while in the real world the hold percentage gets lower as the odds go up.
    ahhh, doesn't make much sense to me but alright

  10. #10
    Zombie Woof
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    That's what they want you to think.

  11. #11
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cookie Monster View Post
    It is not broken. Just has the setting of keeping the same EV on moneyline and spread (-4.55% at -110). Sportsbooks have smaller hold on MLs, so you will not find -700/+480 lines, more like -620/+490. So, just input reduced juice on the spread (like -106 or less, depending on the spread).

    somebody explain this better?

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