1. #1
    Actionbrett
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    Losing Streaks

    A while ago someone had an article regarding the odds of losing an 'x' amount of games in a row in Football, both pro and college combined and was wondering if anyone had an answer or guesstimate to my question below.

    I have an action account at betphoenix and use the money in that account to follow a few good services that have won me some money over a good period of time. Today capped off a 1-15-1 run the past 20 days. I could blindly do better and we were wondering how mathematically this is very very tough to do. 14 of those loses were in a row. Anyone know what the odds are of pulling off this feat?

  2. #2
    Unitage
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    this is basically a 14 team parlay so i checked out the parlay calculator at sbr and duno if this is right but at EVEN +100 odds per game, $100 would net
    Mathematical Odds: +1638300 True Parlay Odds: +1638300 True Parlay
    Win Amount: $1,638,300.00 Premium Paid Over
    Mathematical Odds: 99.99% Premium Paid Over
    True Parlay Odds: 99.99%

  3. #3
    Flight
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    Assuming that you are playing 'even' wagers, that is -110/-110 on each side, there is 50% chance of winning each wager. Therefore to lose 2 in a row you have:

    p= (0.5)(0.5) = 0.25

    To lose 3 in a row you have:

    p = (0.5)(0.5)(0.5) = 0.125 = 1/8

    And so on... let x be the number of times you lose a wager (or win for that matter)

    p = (odds)^x

    So for 14 games in a row:

    p = (0.5)^14
    = 0.00006103515625

    Which is 1/16384

  4. #4
    Actionbrett
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flight View Post
    So for 14 games in a row:

    p = (0.5)^14
    = 0.00006103515625

    Which is 1/16384

    Glad i can hit those odds, Thanks bud.

  5. #5
    SR
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    I have just about gone insane when i was incorrect on 6 in a row, 14 would probably have me quitting for awhile.

  6. #6
    blix177
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    Next time you hit 5 in a roll wrong, buy both team for the 6th game and make sure you make it a 1/2 pointer so it wont tie.

  7. #7
    juuso
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    Quote Originally Posted by blix177 View Post
    Next time you hit 5 in a roll wrong, buy both team for the 6th game and make sure you make it a 1/2 pointer so it wont tie.
    What's the point of doing that?

  8. #8
    poker_dummy101
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    Quote Originally Posted by juuso View Post
    What's the point of doing that?
    uhh so he wins 1. it was a joke?

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