I play a lot of road dogs on the -1.5 runline (alternate runline) So my average play is in the +230 to +270 range
Over the last 3-4 months here are my numbers...
79-215 (a win percentage of 26.87%)
Pinny (no-juice) closer average is ~30%
I entered these numbers into a binomial distribution calculator and got this
Does this mean there is only a 13.36% chance of this happening?
If anyone has some insight or more ways to analyze this data I would appreciate it.