1. #1
    Rich Boy
    Rich Boy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-09
    Posts: 9,713
    Betpoints: 1106

    You think you have bad luck? Look at these numbers...

    I play a lot of road dogs on the -1.5 runline (alternate runline) So my average play is in the +230 to +270 range

    Over the last 3-4 months here are my numbers...

    79-215 (a win percentage of 26.87%)
    Pinny (no-juice) closer average is ~30%

    I entered these numbers into a binomial distribution calculator and got this



    Does this mean there is only a 13.36% chance of this happening?

    If anyone has some insight or more ways to analyze this data I would appreciate it.

  2. #2
    Pancho sanza
    Pancho sanza's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-07
    Posts: 386

    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    Does this mean there is only a 13.36% chance of this happening?
    Yes, and guess what, thats nothing unusual at all, in fact if you gamble long enough you'll experience much more variance than that, good and bad.

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