1. 01-06-12 03:35 PM #1
    statictheory
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    Please explain this move

    Im sure this is easy stuff for the more experienced guys but this confuses me a little.

    NFL Houston Cinci game opens at Pinny :Houston -3 +110 / Cinci +3 -119
    Now the line is at 3-1/2 and houston is at -111 and cinci is at +103

    I know that the half point is worth aprox 23 cents but isnt it moving in the wrong direction as the favorite now has a 1/2 point taking it off a key number? How does the half point benifit the favorite more?

    is it simply a matter of the favorite getting more action despite the 1/2 point change? Thanks
    for an explanation in advance.
    Last edited by statictheory; 01-06-12 at 03:39 PM.
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  2. 01-06-12 04:15 PM #2
    EddieMunster
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    Its just a matter of lots of early action on Houston, books trying to get some action on Cincy.
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  3. 01-06-12 05:09 PM #3
    FourLengthsClear
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    I really have no idea what you are asking here. From -3 +100 to -3.5 -111 is a substantial move indicating a lot of money for Houston.
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  4. 01-06-12 05:37 PM #4
    LT Profits
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    Because line as actually rising. It seems you are asking why wasn't there a lateral move to -3.5 +133ish.
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  5. 01-07-12 12:38 PM #5
    statictheory
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Because line as actually rising. It seems you are asking why wasn't there a lateral move to -3.5 +133ish.
    right, so I guess my first thought was right that houston was being bet heavy but im used to see a half point move the direction of the dog off of +3. thx
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  6. 01-07-12 12:55 PM #6
    chopperocker
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    two factors - # of total wagers on each side and then size of action on each side. the two are never the same so they move the juice before the #. larger size wagers on CIN +3 early. mid week action on HOU. now theyre begging for CIN side.
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  7. 01-07-12 05:09 PM #7
    statictheory
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    Quote Originally Posted by chopperocker View Post
    two factors - # of total wagers on each side and then size of action on each side. the two are never the same so they move the juice before the #. larger size wagers on CIN +3 early. mid week action on HOU. now theyre begging for CIN side.
    thx
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