you guys want a model...here you go: bet against the SF Giants scoring runs.

51 of the last 77 they have scored 3 or less.

27 of the last 36 they have scores 3 runs or less

the last 5 games they have scored 3 tuns or less.

take the UNDER giants runs scored, its normally 4 or at worst 3.5

Good luck gentlemen.