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Coorelated Parlays - Edge
I'm sorry if this has been discussed before, I've done several searches and haven't found anything...
Has there been any research or is there any sharable data on the edge that can be found in an NCCA football coorelated parlay??
I would imagine that the lower the ratio of the total to the spread the greater the edge, but is there a way to calculate this?
Last edited by smitch124; 09-18-08 at 07:19 PM.
Originally Posted by smitch124
It's because you're searching for the wrong thing. It's "correlated" parlays.
lol thanks for the heads up, but I did type it correctly when doing the searches...
Your first step might be to examine a portion of the historical data as a means of determining in-sample conditional win probabilities.
You could then attempt to extrapolate from there and see how it holds up out-of-sample.
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