1. #1
    No coincidences
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    I want to take Arkansas big, BUT

    75-80% of the public is on the Razorbacks ML, depending on where you look.

    50-60% is on Arkansas plus the points.

    Line opened at -2.5 in favor of Ohio State, and is now -3.5 at some shops?

    Razorbacks are a public play, and worse, a public dog. If I don't see the sharp books scale back the Ohio State ML, I may lay off.

  2. #2
    texhooper
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    oh well. hogs win. who gives a f*ck about all that other shit, books aren't gonna give anything away with trademark line moves in a hugely wagered upon bowl game, you just gotta go with what you know dude. hogs...win...outright.

  3. #3
    beerman2619
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    alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.

  4. #4
    Cuse0323
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    Same things going through my head. Big 10 has laid an egg, Arkansas seems like easy money but Ohio State is on a different level. Tough game to pick.

  5. #5
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerman2619 View Post
    alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.
    and how often does the public win

  6. #6
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerman2619 View Post
    alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.
    Line moved accordingly.

    Stanford opened at -1 and was immediately pounded up to -3.

    I may just take tomorrow off, given I'm going to lay the hammer with Middle Tennessee State on Wednesday.

  7. #7
    astrodomer
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    hog fan here.....Ive picked every game correctly on them this season........Mallett usually lays a big egg in huge games......I went with my heart with the hogs which is a no no.....if you wanna make some money take ohio st. my gutt feels it......Ohio st wins this game and also covers......hogs were to tempting at that price and I bitt

  8. #8
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by astrodomer View Post
    hog fan here.....Ive picked every game correctly on them this season........Mallett usually lays a big egg in huge games......I went with my heart with the hogs which is a no no.....if you wanna make some money take ohio st. my gutt feels it......Ohio st wins this game and also covers......hogs were to tempting at that price and I bitt
    Mallett is the key, and the guy worries me -- especially at crunch time. All the talent in the world, but he always seems to make the one bad throw that costs Arkansas.

  9. #9
    kylehen_son
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    leaning heavy on the over 57 here, I feel it'll get driven up to 59-60 by tomorrow so it's safe to say you should lock it in tonight if you like it

  10. #10
    CBASS
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    Same things going through my head. Big 10 has laid an egg, Arkansas seems like easy money but Ohio State is on a different level. Tough game to pick.

    On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.

  11. #11
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by CBASS View Post
    On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.
    I hate Ohio State but they came up big last year in the Rose Bowl.

  12. #12
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by CBASS View Post
    On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.
    I meant that Ohio State is on a different level from other Big 10 teams that flopped in bowls, besides maybe Wisconsin who barely lost to an undefeated team.

  13. #13
    Sidetracked
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    big 10 didnt fair all that well last year...and ohio st destroyed oregon....and the only thing thats different from this years oregon team and last years oregon team is the qb...take all that for what u will but its either ohio st or no play for me

  14. #14
    RJ89
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    I think Ohio St. is the play. There is a huge public overreaction to the Big Ten going 0-5 on New Years. They were underdogs in all 5 games so it doesn't make sense to draw conclusions from that. Ohio St. is a better team than Arkansas, their rested defense is going to be the best defense Arkansas has seen all year, and I don't think Ohio St. will have trouble moving at all. Ohio St. will also be super-motivated for this game because all they have heard about is how they the Big Ten sucks and went 0-5, and how they can't win against teams from the SEC. They definitely want to prove everyone wrong, and this is their best chance to do so.

  15. #15
    aznjeff07
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    and how often does the public win
    probably at least 40-50%....

  16. #16
    RJ89
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    I would say it's closer to 40% when most of the public is on a side and the line doesn't move at all..

  17. #17
    BookiesBernanke
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    anyone like the under? I havent really been that impressed with Ohio States offense against high ranked teams

  18. #18
    frankzig
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    mant ideas here still like razorbacks

  19. #19
    thenate023
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    tough one even though osu is terrible vs sec opp

  20. #20
    firehoyt
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    I thought about taking the Under but I'm worried Ark will run up the score like Stanford did. Thinking about making a play on the OSU TT. I think the Ark D will shut them down



    Quote Originally Posted by BookiesBernanke View Post
    anyone like the under? I havent really been that impressed with Ohio States offense against high ranked teams

  21. #21
    spongerat
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    geez you guys overanalyze the line movement way too much sometimes. The public is right 50% the same as flipping a coin

  22. #22
    Adr3nalin3 Ru5h
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    Buckeyes -3 is the play but i like everyone being on Arkansas

  23. #23
    HoulihansTX
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    Take off your panties No Coin, and bet the Hogs..

    BIG

  24. #24
    gardner47
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    where are you seeing public on ARK. Sportsoptions has 54% on OSU.

  25. #25
    Boscoe
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    i'm in the same boat..... oh well..... i'm going with the hogs anyway.

  26. #26
    mlb
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    I like ohio st .. think they will bring it ... I'm not buying Arkansas even though big ten has been shasty

  27. #27
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by mlb View Post
    I like ohio st .. think they will bring it ... I'm not buying Arkansas even though big ten has been shasty
    You mean Shitty.

    Outside of Wisconsin, all of the Big Ten teams looked average or worse.

  28. #28
    RiverBoatGambler
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    It's 60/40 with the public on Arkansas. Hell the public pounded Stanford last night. The team with the best QB will win(Arkansas), and yes I'm a huge Razorback fan. I saw almost all their games this season and caught a few Ohio State games. OSU is good, make no mistake about it. The X factor is Bobby Petrino, the man can call an offensive football game. He will be in the zone tonight with all the prep time his staff has had. Arkansas D is going to be more than up to stopping Ohio State. Speed, speed, speed, and lots of it Arkansas has. The D has gotten better as the season went on.


    You guys can over analyze the lines and shit or you can man up and pick the best team...

  29. #29
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by RiverBoatGambler View Post
    It's 60/40 with the public on Arkansas. Hell the public pounded Stanford last night. The team with the best QB will win(Arkansas), and yes I'm a huge Razorback fan. I saw almost all their games this season and caught a few Ohio State games. OSU is good, make no mistake about it. The X factor is Bobby Petrino, the man can call an offensive football game. He will be in the zone tonight with all the prep time his staff has had. Arkansas D is going to be more than up to stopping Ohio State. Speed, speed, speed, and lots of it Arkansas has. The D has gotten better as the season went on.


    You guys can over analyze the lines and shit or you can man up and pick the best team...
    I watched almost every Arkansas game this year, and Mallett makes a lot of crunch-time mistakes.

  30. #30
    RiverBoatGambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I watched almost every Arkansas game this year, and Mallett makes a lot of crunch-time mistakes.
    So besides 2 bad throws at Alabama what crunch time mistakes did he make??

  31. #31
    RiverBoatGambler
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    What about the 4th and 3 against LSU that Mallet threw a 30+ yd TD? That was pretty crunch time and he seemed to do ok then....

  32. #32
    BetWeather
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    bet the Hogs..

  33. #33
    drgonzo111
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    would prefer to see Arkansas win, but I'm afraid I may be blinded by my hatred for ohio state.

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