1. 09-29-22 04:21 PM #1
    usma1992
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    Computer Model... Back at in again... Ready for 2022 NCAAF season...

    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
    8:00 PM UTA 14 BYU 44 58 -24 60 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM TUL 33 HOU 19 52 -2.5 54.5 Away ML Too Close
    7:30 PM UTS 39 MID 27 66 4 62.5 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM SAN 6 BOI 20 26 -6.5 39 Too Close Under
    10:30 PM WAS 37 UCL 29 66 3 65 Too Close Too Close
    11:00 PM NEW 4 UNL 33 37 -14 42 Home Minus Too Close
    12:00 PM ILL 28 WIS 25 53 -7 43 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM LOU 36 BOS 12 48 15.5 51 Away Minus Too Close
    12:00 PM GEO 27 ARM 39 66 -7.5 54.5 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM PUR 24 MIN 37 61 -12 52 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM NAV 10 AIR 34 44 -14 37.5 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM TEM 13 MEM 27 40 -19 51 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM KEN 14 OLE 31 45 -7 53.5 Too Close Too Close
    12:00 PM TEX 38 KAN 26 64 -8 57 Away ML Too Close
    12:00 PM OKL 37 TCU 25 62 6.5 69 Away Minus Too Close
    12:00 PM MIC 25 IOW 0 25 11 42.5 Away Minus Too Close
    1:30 PM TEX 13 JAM 38 51 -22 52 Too Close Too Close
    2:00 PM NIL 25 BAL 38 63 3.5 60 Too Close Too Close
    2:00 PM MAS 15 EMI 32 47 -19.5 53.5 Too Close Too Close
    2:00 PM ORE 16 UTA 34 50 -10 54.5 Too Close Too Close
    2:30 PM ECA 43 SFL 11 54 8.5 57 Away Minus Too Close
    3:30 PM NOR 28 PEN 44 72 -25.5 51 Away Plus Over
    3:30 PM WAK 25 FLO 34 59 -7 63.5 Too Close Too Close
    3:30 PM MIC 24 MAR 32 56 -8.5 60 Too Close Too Close
    3:30 PM VIR 30 NCA 29 59 -8.5 52 Too Close Too Close
    3:30 PM OKL 36 BAY 28 64 -2 56.5 Away ML Too Close
    3:30 PM IOW 34 KAN 16 50 3 59 Away Minus Too Close
    3:30 PM RUT 3 OHI 43 46 -40 59 Too Close Under
    3:30 PM ALA 47 ARK 16 63 17 61 Away Minus Too Close
    3:30 PM CMI 36 TOL 30 66 -7 57 Away ML Too Close
    3:30 PM MIA 21 BUF 31 52 -1.5 50.5 Too Close Too Close
    3:30 PM FRE 50 CON 1 51 24 52 Too Close Too Close
    3:30 PM BOW 40 AKR 32 72 9.5 51.5 Too Close Over
    3:30 PM OHI 34 KEN 36 70 -11.5 65 Away Plus Too Close
    4:00 PM GAS 42 COA 33 75 -10.5 64 Away ML Too Close
    4:00 PM TEX 10 MIS 30 40 -3.5 44.5 Home Minus Too Close
    4:00 PM FLA 42 NOR 32 74 3.5 68 Away Minus Too Close
    5:00 PM SAL 37 LAL 14 51 9 47 Away Minus Too Close
    5:30 PM CAL 29 WAS 25 54 -4 53 Away Plus Too Close
    6:00 PM LIB 33 OLD 15 48 3 42.5 Away Minus Too Close
    6:00 PM UTE 40 CHA 22 62 3 52.5 Away Minus Too Close
    7:00 PM CIN 40 TUL 30 70 9.5 58.5 Too Close Over
    7:00 PM LSU 39 AUB 9 48 8 46 Away Minus Too Close
    7:00 PM LAM 16 ARK 36 52 -7 59 Home Minus Too Close
    7:00 PM TRO 25 WKE 37 62 -5 55 Home Minus Too Close
    7:30 PM NCS 29 CLE 29 58 -6.5 42.5 Too Close Over
    7:30 PM VIR 27 DUK 22 49 -2.5 52 Away ML Too Close
    7:30 PM WVI 37 TEX 24 61 -9.5 61.5 Away ML Too Close
    7:30 PM GEO 46 MIS 4 50 28 54 Away Minus Too Close
    7:30 PM IND 48 NEB 35 83 -4.5 60.5 Away ML Over
    7:30 PM UAB 28 RIC 19 47 10 51.5 Too Close Too Close
    7:30 PM SAN 24 WYO 10 34 2.5 42.5 Away Minus Too Close
    8:00 PM GEO 7 PIT 37 44 -22 49.5 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM FLA 27 NEW 24 51 -14.5 53.5 Away Plus Too Close
    9:30 PM COL 15 ARI 45 60 -17.5 57 Home Minus Too Close
    10:30 PM ARI 7 USC 41 48 -25 60 Too Close Under
    11:00 PM STA 23 ORE 44 67 -17 64.5 Too Close Too Close
    1:00 PM SMU 36 UCF 36 72 -3 64.5 Too Close Too Close

    Doing my best effort to make this work. Not asking for anything other than critique in the picks. Tell me what you see so I can work on my weaknesses. I can't take weather or injuries into account so be careful.

    Dave
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  2. 09-29-22 05:33 PM #2
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Found ya good stuff I will be watching
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  3. 09-29-22 11:11 PM #3
    iwantcougars
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    thanks
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  4. 09-30-22 08:49 AM #4
    usma1992
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    BYU game was close to perfect. It was 58 points with 1 minute left. And it could have gone under or over and the spread could have gone either way too... when I watched the game. Good game to stay away from.
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  5. 09-30-22 01:38 PM #5
    Ponch
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    Looks awesome, I'll be following along as well. What constitutes being too close in this model?
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  6. 10-01-22 09:53 AM #6
    usma1992
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    Depends on the type of bet Over... I think it is 11 points... Under is 12 points. Spread different also. 1-2 to start but Boise started a different QB that I can't account for on the fly. This week will be interesting for sure.

    My system is most helpful in eliminating the bets you think are sure things. It is mathematical so it eliminates bias. Pick and choose.

    Dave
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  7. 10-01-22 10:56 AM #7
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    If I'm reading this right I took Alabama and Michagan as aplay???
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  8. 10-01-22 09:56 PM #8
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Both won thanks do u have nfl
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