Adding:
SMU ML/Over 51.5 parlay (+170) MGM
SMU faced TCU and Maryland and they're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.
Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.
Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence
I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM
Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing