[Dark Horse]

Was going over some NCAAF records, and this one jumped out at me.

In lined games over the last five seasons (not counting bowl games), Miami FL is 43-13 SU, but only 23-33 ATS. Unusual.

Looking closer, I found that Miami's record for games with spreads 14 pts and lower was 13-13 ATS. Perfectly balanced. But they went 10-20 ATS for games with a spread over 14 pts.

In these games with spreads higher than 14 pts, Miami went 27-3 SU (only 10-20 ATS). Some people might consider games in this spread range, err ...

... didn't Tim Donaghy live in Florida? (apparently the Heat was 1-7 SU this season when Timmy blew his whistle).

[Dark Horse]

I think I'll pour myself a tequila, sit back, and after a hard day's work enjoy some good old basketball movies. Let's see, game 5 from last year's finals may be just the thing... The 101-100 win that gave the Heat the 3-2 series lead, before going back to Dallas.

Game 5 Officials: Bennett Salvatore , Joe Crawford , Joe Derosa
Dallas 25 FT's, Miami 49 FT's

[pags11]

dark horse, had no clue on this Miami info...thanks...

[Helmut]

I think Michigan or Alabama probably has the same type of records. None of these are margin teams.

[Dark Horse]

For last five seasons. Alabama somewhat, although 5-5 ATS for spreads over 17 pts. Michigan is 9-8 for spreads over 17 pts and 11-8 for spreads over 14 pts. The reason I mentioned Miami FL is that they really stood out.

[bigboydan]

I've taken quite a notice to those numbers you mentioned over years DH. I know each year is different due to the graduations and players leaving early for the NFL. However, The trends seem to continue year after year. Now why would I think anything different this year