1. #1
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
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    This Weeks Best Play

    Colorado -2 1/2 vs Arizona State. Colorado is 4-0, 3-0 ATS. They just put a beating on UCLA at home. Some fear that Colorado may be looking ahead to next weeks game at USC, but when you are picked to finish 5th in the conference, you do not overlook anyone. Arizona State has come back down to earth after upsetting Big 10 foe Mchigan State at home in the desert. Who knows how bad the Big10 really is this season, but they certainly are not nearly as good as last season. Arizona State is 1-2 since that game, with both losses coming on the road. Colorado is the better team, especially in that mile high altitude.

  2. #2
    veriableodds
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    Saturday, 10/6/2018 at 4:00 PM ARIZONA ST (3-2) at COLORADO (4-0)
    Expanded Matchup | FoxSheet Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
    Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P TO RY RYPA PY PYPA RY RYPA PY PYPA
    355: ARIZONA ST OFF 31.6 19.8 3-2 4-1-0 3-2-0
    +5
    181.2
    5.1
    244.8
    7.2
    161.6
    3.8
    201.6
    6.6
    356: COLORADO -2.5 40.3 17.8 4-0 3-1-0 0-3-0
    +3
    205.5
    4.7
    284.3
    9.0
    156.3
    4.1
    195.8
    5.6


    10/6 Arizona St at Colorado Arizona St No Odds No Odds No Odds 50% 28.70 57.31
    Colorado No Odds No Odds No Odds 50% 28.60

  3. #3
    veriableodds
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    Arizona St at Colorado: Overview

    Saturday Oct 6, 2018 4:00 pm - Boulder, CO
    Odds: Colorado by 2.5, Total Points: 60.5

    Matchup Menu: ASU @ COL



    More Games From Week 6



    Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
    Colorado Subscribe to view
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    ATS Pick Confidence Projection
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    Totals Pick Confidence Projection
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    Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
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    Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied
    Arizona St Subscribe to view Subscribe 29.0
    Colorado Subscribe to view Subscribe 31.5
    Offensive Stat Comparison

    Stat ASU COL
    Yards/Play 6.1 6.3
    Points/Play 0.450 0.496
    Rush Play % 50.14% 52.56%
    Pass Play % 49.86% 47.44%
    Completion % 63.53% 76.47%
    3D Conv % 41.54% 43.90%
    RZ Scoring % 94.12% 83.33%

    Defensive Stat Comparison

    Stat ASU COL
    Opp Yards/Play 4.8 4.9
    Opp Points/Play 0.260 0.248
    Opp Completion % 56.86% 54.46%
    Opp 3D Conv % 38.03% 35.42%
    Opp RZ Scoring % 88.89% 85.71%


    College Football Matchups

    Georgia State +15.5 Oct. 4 7:30PM
    Troy -15.5 Predictions & Stats

    Tulsa +18.0 Oct. 4 8:00PM
    Houston -18.0 Predictions & Stats

    GA Tech -3.5 Oct. 5 7:00PM
    Louisville +3.5 Predictions & Stats

    Middle Tenn +6.5 Oct. 5 7:30PM
    Marshall -6.5 Predictions & Stats

    Utah State +3.0 Oct. 5 9:00PM
    BYU -3.0 Predictions & Stats

    Tulane +7.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Cincinnati -7.5 Predictions & Stats

    Northwestern +11.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Michigan St -11.5 Predictions & Stats

    Buffalo -7.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Central Mich +7.5 Predictions & Stats

    Kansas +29.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    W Virginia -29.5 Predictions & Stats

    E Carolina +11.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Temple -11.5 Predictions & Stats

    Texas +7.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Oklahoma -7.5 Predictions & Stats

    Illinois -3.0 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Rutgers +3.0 Predictions & Stats

    Maryland +17.0 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Michigan -17.0 Predictions & Stats

    Missouri +2.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    S Carolina -2.5 Predictions & Stats

    Alabama -33.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    Arkansas +33.5 Predictions & Stats

    E Michigan +3.5 Oct. 6 12:00PM
    W Michigan -3.5 Predictions & Stats

    Syracuse -5.5 Oct. 6 12:20PM
    Pittsburgh +5.5 Predictions & Stats

    Boston Col +4.0 Oct. 6 12:30PM
    NC State -4.0 Predictions & Stats

    N Illinois -3.5 Oct. 6 3:00PM
    Ball State +3.5 Predictions & Stats

    S Alabama +14.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    GA Southern -14.0 Predictions & Stats

    Bowling Grn +20.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Toledo -20.0 Predictions & Stats

    Iowa State +10.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Oklahoma St -10.5 Predictions & Stats

    S Florida -13.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    U Mass +13.5 Predictions & Stats

    Navy -4.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Air Force +4.0 Predictions & Stats

    San Diego St +14.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Boise State -14.5 Predictions & Stats

    LSU -3.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Florida +3.0 Predictions & Stats

    Kansas St +4.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Baylor -4.5 Predictions & Stats

    Ohio -12.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Kent State +12.5 Predictions & Stats

    Clemson -17.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Wake Forest +17.0 Predictions & Stats

    Iowa -6.0 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Minnesota +6.0 Predictions & Stats

    Miami (OH) +3.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Akron -3.5 Predictions & Stats

    Florida St +12.5 Oct. 6 3:30PM
    Miami (FL) -12.5 Predictions & Stats

    LA Monroe +22.0 Oct. 6 4:00PM
    Mississippi -22.0 Predictions & Stats

    Arizona St +2.5 Oct. 6 4:00PM
    Colorado -2.5 Predictions & Stats

    New Mexico +11.5 Oct. 6 4:00PM
    UNLV -11.5 Predictions & Stats

    Indiana +25.0 Oct. 6 4:00PM
    Ohio State -25.0 Predictions & Stats

    Old Dominion +14.5 Oct. 6 5:00PM
    Fla Atlantic -14.5 Predictions & Stats

    S Methodist +24.0 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    Central FL -24.0 Predictions & Stats

    UAB +9.0 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    LA Tech -9.0 Predictions & Stats

    Connecticut +35.0 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    Memphis -35.0 Predictions & Stats

    Kentucky +5.5 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    Texas A&M -5.5 Predictions & Stats

    LA Lafayette -3.5 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    Texas State +3.5 Predictions & Stats

    TX-San Ant +2.0 Oct. 6 7:00PM
    Rice -2.0 Predictions & Stats

    Washington -21.0 Oct. 6 7:30PM
    UCLA +21.0 Predictions & Stats

    North Texas -25.5 Oct. 6 7:30PM
    TX El Paso +25.5 Predictions & Stats

    Nebraska +20.5 Oct. 6 7:30PM
    Wisconsin -20.5 Predictions & Stats

    Vanderbilt +26.5 Oct. 6 7:30PM
    Georgia -26.5 Predictions & Stats

    Auburn -3.0 Oct. 6 7:30PM
    Miss State +3.0 Predictions & Stats

    Notre Dame -5.0 Oct. 6 8:00PM
    VA Tech +5.0 Predictions & Stats

    Liberty -4.0 Oct. 6 8:00PM
    N Mex State +4.0 Predictions & Stats

    Wash State -16.0 Oct. 6 9:00PM
    Oregon St +16.0 Predictions & Stats

    California +1.5 Oct. 6 10:00PM
    Arizona -1.5 Predictions & Stats

    Fresno St -10.5 Oct. 6 10:30PM
    Nevada +10.5 Predictions & Stats

    Colorado St -3.0 Oct. 6 10:30PM
    San Jose St +3.0 Predictions & Stats

    Utah +5.0 Oct. 6 10:30PM
    Stanford -5.0 Predictions & Stats

    Wyoming +3.5 Oct. 6 11:59PM
    Hawaii -3.5 Predictions & Stats



  4. #4
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
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    The problem with that is everything is based on past performance.

  5. #5
    veriableodds
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    I understand that complete, but sitautional isnt that how you came to your theory on this game as a best bet.

  6. #6
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    I understand that complete, but sitautional isnt that how you came to your theory on this game as a best bet.
    Situational is part of the equation, but certainly not all of it. I look at the fact that Arizona State started off surprisingly well this season. Arizona State also has an edge as far as trends go. They are 2-7 ATS vs State in their last 9 efforts. What gets overlooked is Colorado's two covers both came at home in their past two games in Colorado. I see this as a 6-7 point game. Herman's name cut the line down too much. ASU will be very happy to get into a Bowl Game this season and that is far from a lock. This is almost a "must" win for ASU with games against Stanford, at USC Utah, and at Oregon coming up, and the season finale at Arizona. The only sure winner they have left on the schedule is pathetic UCLA.

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