i'm using kambour.net although if i used predictiontracker.com it would be very close.
power ratings have done very well this year. i assume that week 1 is often just last year's final power ratings.
so in terms of strength of pick:
wkentucky
liberty
vt
minn
louis
istate
ncs
wm
stan
kan state (wv.. i wouldn't play this personally... heisman candidate for WV so run up score)
troy
oks
utsa
i will put in point spread as i think power ratings model works much better for tighter spread games. big point spread games = too arbitrary.